10-3 Run: Goldy, Abrams & Heaney Headline Tonight’s Best MLB Props

Red-hot trends, sharp lines, and a no-nonsense edge for 5/10

Author

Brian McAbee
May 10, 2025

We’re on a heater over here at WagerLens, going 10-3 over the last 3 days, and tonight’s MLB slate is loaded with a lot of great value. Goldschmidt’s scoring surge, Abrams’ all-around production, and Heaney’s hit suppression all point to solid value. Let’s cash in before the lines move.

Ready to Raise Your Betting Game?

Step up your game at WagerLens.com, where sharp bettors find their edge.

🔥 Unlock killer tools, exclusive data, expert insights, and a winning community.

Join WagerLens now and bet like a pro.

Don’t miss a play. Follow WagerLens on X for daily drops!

Table of Contents

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (05/09): 2-1 (67%; +.88 Units)

MLB: 56-54 (51%; +10.72 Units)

NBA: 115-85 (57.5%; +42.38 Units)

May ‘25: 17-12 (58.6%; +1.214 Units)

All-Time: 181-154 (54%; +46.9 Units)

🎯 Paul Goldschmidt Over 0.5 Runs Scored

Best Price: -115 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 2 Runs

  • Last 3-Game Average: 1.33 Runs

  • Last 5-Game Average: 1.0 Runs

  • Season Average: 0.605 Runs/Game

  • Confidence Score: 92

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 2 out of last 3

  • 4 out of last 5

  • 8 out of last 10

Key Analysis

Paul Goldschmidt’s OVER 0.5 Runs prop is a compelling bet today, backed by strong recent performance and favorable matchup conditions. In yesterday's game against the Athletics, Goldschmidt went 2-for-4 with a solo home run and scored two runs, showcasing his current form. This performance contributes to his impressive .345 batting average and .883 OPS for the season.

Risk Factors

  • JP Sears is one of the better starts on the A’s pitching staff

🎯 Andrew Heaney UNDER 5.5 Hits Allowed

Best Price: -125 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 8 Hits

  • Last 3-Game Average: 4.67 Hits

  • Last 5-Game Average: 4.4 Hits

  • Season Average: 4.43 Hits/Game

  • Confidence Score: 87

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 2 out of last 3

  • 4 out of last 5

  • 6 out of last 7

Key Analysis

Andrew Heaney has demonstrated consistent control over hits allowed, averaging 4.43 hits per game this season . Despite allowing 8 hits in his last game, his 3-game and 5-game averages remain below the 5.5 line. His performance trend suggests a strong likelihood of staying under this threshold.

Risk Factors

  • 8 Hits and 4 walks allowed last outing could signal control issues

🎯 CJ Abrams OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -140 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 3 H/R/RBI

  • Last 3-Game Average: 4.33 H/R/RBI

  • Last 5-Game Average: 3.2 H/R/RBI

  • Season Average: 2.35 HRRBI/Game

  • Confidence Score: 86

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 2 out of last 3

  • 4 out of last 5

  • 7 out of last 10

Key Analysis

CJ Abrams is exhibiting a strong offensive performance, with a .304 batting average and an .888 OPS for the season. In his recent games, he has consistently surpassed the 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs line, including a 3 H/R/RBI performance in his last game. His recent 3-game average of 4.33 H/R/RBI and 5-game average of 3.2 H/R/RBI indicate a strong upward trend.

Risk Factors

  • Abrams currently has a 30% strikeout rate on the season

MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

MLB hitters with higher probability to hit a home run based on season stats, matchups with starting pitchers and other key stats (odds from DraftKings)

  • Shohei Ohtani +350

  • Ketel Marte +500

  • Byron Buxton +560

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

  1. 🔥 Paul Goldschmidt Over 0.5 Runs Scored (-115 ESPN Bet)

    • Most consistent trend: 8/10 games

    • Hits in 4 straight games (2 runs last game)

    • Elite scoring form + matchup upside

Trending Overs

1. 📈 CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-140 ESPN Bet)

  • Hot streak: 4/5 games over

  • Averaging 4.33 HRRBI in last 3

  • Batting .304 on the season with leadoff volume

Trending Unders

1. 📉 Andrew Heaney Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-125 ESPN Bet)

  • 6/7 games staying UNDER

  • Averaging 4.4 hits allowed per start

  • Consistent mid-rotation control with solid WHIP trends

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team