Everyone’s Watching the Wrong Matchup

Shai. The Thunder defense. Big-name scorers. That’s where the spotlight is.

But real value lives elsewhere, and we’re specifically talking in Haliburton’s three-point line for Game 3, which is holding near 2.5 and hasn't fully accounted for how OKC defends.

The Thunder’s paint-first scheme forces kick-outs and leaves room for shooters. That’s Haliburton’s sweet spot, and the opportunities showed up big in Games 1 and 2 where he had 15 total attempts.

Why This Prop is Mispriced

Popular public props like points, rebounds, and assists are inflated. Three-point markets tend to lag behind when defensive matchups shift.

Smart bettors are targeting Haliburton because:

• He gets cleaner looks when the defense collapses

• His off-ball movement punishes help-heavy defenses

• OKC’s coverage leaves corner and wing threes open

It’s not about his season average. It’s about where the shots will come from in this series, and how few people are betting them.

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How to Capitalize

Here’s how to approach it:

• If Haliburton’s line stays at 2.5 threes made in Game 3, BET. ON. IT.

  • Pro tip: Use the WagerLens Props Screen to find the best price

• Consider plus-money props like "most threes in the game" if you’re looking for upside

• Pair with overs or live lines if Indiana’s spacing becomes a focus again

This Is the Edge Most Bettors Miss

Props like this show up when you understand the why behind a defense, not just the box score.

Catch the breakdown in full detail on our blog:

👉 Read the full breakdown →

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team