Let’s be real: most casual MLB bettors are chasing name-brand teams and overpriced pitcher props. Meanwhile, sharp bettors are locking in value from overlooked trends that the books haven’t caught up to. This week’s blog breaks down five of them.

What You’ll Learn in the Blog

🔍 Home Underdogs Are Quietly Profitable

They’re winning just under 46% of the time—but that win rate at plus-money odds is quietly crushing. Especially strong after a win or with rested bullpens.

🔥 NRFI Bets Still Have an Edge

No-Run First Inning markets are booming, but most lines still don’t account for pitcher-specific first-inning stats. Think: Crochet, Skubal, Gore.

📉 “Bad Teams After Wins” = Consistent Gold

Since 2005, betting bad teams the game after a win has delivered profit every season. It’s all about fading public assumptions.

🎯 Mid-Tier Strikeout Props = Hidden Value

Guys like Luis Ortiz and Matthew Liberatore are gaining Ks fast—but props aren’t keeping up. Market still lags on lesser-known arms.

📈 On-Base Streak Hitters Are Undervalued

Forget just HR props—guys like James Wood are smashing hit props thanks to streaks and high exit velo. Books are slow to adjust.

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Why It Matters

These aren’t gimmicks. They’re repeatable edges that sharp bettors use daily. If you want to stop guessing and start betting smarter, this is the playbook.

👉 Read the Full Breakdown →

You’ll get real examples, betting filters to use, and the angles we track in our own daily dashboards.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team