We’re off to a strong start in July, building momentum and stacking slips early. Today’s board is loaded with high-confidence props backed by sharp trends and favorable matchups. The reads are locked in, the value is there, and we’re ready to keep things rolling. Let’s stay dialed in, trust the numbers, and keep piling up wins—let’s get it!

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Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

• Today's Featured Props Recap

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

MLB: 142-120 (54%; +22.22 Units)

July ‘25: 13-9 (59%; +3.87 Units)

All-Time: 267-221 (55%; +57.41 Units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

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🎯 Trevor Story OVER 0.5 Runs Scored

Best Price: -120 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 2 Runs

• Last 3-Game Average: 1.33 R/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 1.6 R/G

• Season Average: 0.528 R/G

• Confidence Score: 95

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 5 out of last 5 over

• 9 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Trevor Story has been a steady run scorer lately, making the over on 0.5 runs scored a strong play at -120. He’s crossed the plate in 9 of his last 10 games, including five straight, with a 5-game average of 1.6 runs per game—well above his season mark of 0.528. He’s slugging .402 vs righties and gets a great matchup against Antonio Senzatela, who’s struggled with a 6.57 ERA. With Story hitting well and Boston’s offense clicking, he’s in a prime spot to score again today.

Risk Factors

• Will need to get on base and likely requires help from others in lineup

🎯 Cody Bellinger OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -137 on Caesars

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 5 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: 3.67 H/R/RBIs per game

• Last 5-Game Average: 3.4 H/R/RBIs per game

• Season Average: 2.205 H/R/RBIs per game

• Confidence Score: 92

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 5 out of last 5 over

• 9 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Cody Bellinger is locked in, and the over on 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs is a strong play at -137. He’s cleared this line in 9 of his last 10 games, including five straight, with a 5-game average of 3.4 H/R/RBIs—well above his season average of 2.205. He owns a .306 OBP vs right-handed pitching and faces Logan Evans, who has a solid 2.96 ERA but has still allowed 3+ hits in seven straight starts and 3+ runs in four of his last seven. With Bellinger in great form and consistently producing across all categories, he’s in a great spot to stay hot.

Risk Factors

• Logan Evans has been hittable but solid

🎯 Bobby Witt Jr. OVER 0.5 Singles

Best Price: -120 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 1 1B

• Last 3-Game Average: 0.67 1B/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 1.2 1B/G

• Season Average: 0.667 1B/G

• Confidence Score: 91

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Bobby Witt Jr. has been finding gaps consistently, and the over on 0.5 singles at -120 is a well-supported spot. He’s hit this number in 8 of his last 10 games, with a 5-game average of 1.2 singles per game. He’s batting an impressive .343 with a .373 OBP vs left-handed pitching, and he faces Bailey Falter, who’s allowed 3+ hits in six straight starts. With Witt’s elite contact vs lefties and his steady production of late, he’s in a great position to notch at least one single today.

Risk Factors

• XBH does not cash

🎯 Roman Anthony OVER 2.5 Hits +Runs + RBIs

Best Price: +125 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 4 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: 4.67 H/R/RBIs per game

• Last 5-Game Average: 4 H/R/RBIs per game

• Season Average: 1.923 H/R/RBIs per game

• Confidence Score: 87

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 5 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Roman Anthony is on a tear, and the over on 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs at +125 offers serious upside. He’s cleared this number in five straight games and 8 of his last 10, with a 3-game average of 4.67 H/R/RBIs and a 5-game average of 4.0—both far above his season average of 1.923. He’s getting on base at a .403 clip vs right-handed pitching and faces Antonio Senzatela, who owns a 6.57 ERA and is allowing 1.53 hits per inning. With elite recent production and a soft pitching matchup, Anthony is well-positioned to stay hot and crush this number again.

Risk Factors

• Above his season average

MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

MLB hitters with higher probability to hit a home run based on season stats, matchups with starting pitchers and other key stats (odds from DraftKings)

• Cal Raleigh +175

• Trevor Story +425

• Will Smith +475

• Elly De La Cruz +350

• Carson Kelly +600

Today's Featured Props Recap

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

1. 🔥 Roman Anthony OVER 2.5 Hits +Runs + RBIs (+125 DraftKings)

   • Most consistent trend: 5/5 in L5

   • Averaging 4 H/R/RBIs per game over last 5

   • He’s getting on base at a .403 clip vs right-handed pitching and faces Antonio Senzatela, who owns a 6.57 ERA and is allowing 1.53 hits per inning

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Trevor Story OVER 0.5 Runs Scored (-120 FanDuel)

• Hot streak: 9/10 in L10

• Averaging 1.6 R/G in L5

• He’s slugging .402 vs righties and gets a great matchup against Antonio Senzatela, who’s struggled with a 6.57 ERA

2. ⚡ Cody Bellinger OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-137 Caesars)

• 9/L10 games going OVER

• Averaging 3.4 H/R/RBIs per game over last 5

• He owns a .306 OBP vs right-handed pitching and faces Logan Evans, who has a solid 2.96 ERA but has still allowed 3+ hits in seven straight starts and 3+ runs in four of his last seven

3. 💥 Bobby Witt Jr. OVER 0.5 Singles (-120 FanDuel)

• 8/L10 games going OVER

• Averaging 1.2 singles per game over last 5

• He’s batting an impressive .343 with a .373 OBP vs left-handed pitching, and he faces Bailey Falter, who’s allowed 3+ hits in six straight starts

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team