We hit pause on the usual slate of straight plays and deep-dive stat breakdowns yesterday to focus on something just as important—MLB betting education. It's all about sharpening the tools, not just swinging the bat, and we hope it gave you a better feel for how to approach props with purpose. That said, we're still rolling strong—profitable in May, profitable overall, and locked in for another big day. We've crunched the numbers, studied the matchups, and come away with some sharp picks for today’s slate. Let’s ride the momentum and cash in together—because smart bets aren’t just lucky, they’re b

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Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

• Today's Featured Props Recap

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (05/22): 1-1 (50%; ± 0 Units)

MLB: 80-70 (53%; +14.8 Units)

May ‘25: 41-29 (58.6%; +4.3 Units)

All-Time: 205-171 (55%; +50 Units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -140 ESPN Bet

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 3 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: 1.67 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Last 5-Game Average: 2 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Season Average: 2.085 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Confidence Score: 93

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. presents a strong case for hitting the OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs at -140 on ESPN Bet, backed by both recent performance and favorable matchup data. He's averaging 2 H/R/RBIs over his last 5 games and 2.085 on the season, exceeding the prop line consistently—going over in 8 of his last 10 games. Guerrero also owns a .286 average against starter Drew Rasmussen, with a homer and 3 RBIs in that span. Notably, Rasmussen has struggled recently, surrendering 14 runs on 31 hits and 9 walks in his last 7 starts, which could further tilt the matchup in Guerrero’s favor. His .296 average in May and .295 with runners in scoring position add additional confidence, supported by a 93 Confidence Score. This trend leans heavily toward the over with both form and matchup indicators aligned.

Risk Factors

• Vlad has a high walk rate

🎯 Josh Jung OVER 0.5 Singles

Best Price: -130 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 2 1B

• Last 3-Game Average: 1 1B/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 0.8 1B/G

• Season Average: 0.7 1B/G

• Confidence Score: 92

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 3 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Josh Jung’s OVER 0.5 Singles prop at -130 on FanDuel offers solid value given his recent consistency and a favorable matchup. Jung has recorded at least one single in 8 of his last 10 games, averaging 1 single per game over his last 3 and 0.8 over his last 5—both above his season average of 0.7. He’s batting .302 against right-handed pitchers and .303 on the road, showing comfort in both key splits. Facing Sean Burke, who’s allowed 33 hits over his last 34.2 innings, Jung is in a strong position to keep this trend going. With a 92 Confidence Score and recent form to match, this prop looks like a smart play for bettors seeking consistent production.

Risk Factors

• XBH will not cash

🎯 Tommy Edman OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: +100 on BetMGM

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 3 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: 1.67 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Last 5-Game Average: 2.6 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Season Average: 2.303 H/R/RBIs per game

• Confidence Score: 79

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

Key Analysis

Tommy Edman’s OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs at +100 on BetMGM offers intriguing value, especially given his recent surge in production. He's averaging 2.6 H/R/RBIs over his last 5 games and 2.303 on the season, both well above the line. Edman has cleared this number in 4 of his last 5 games and 2 of his last 3, indicating strong recent form. Although he's just 1-for-4 in his career against Griffin Canning, that lone hit was a 3-run homer. Edman also boasts a .268 average versus right-handed pitchers and an impressive .409 average with runners in scoring position. With Canning allowing 10 runs on 36 hits in his last 7 starts, Edman is positioned well to capitalize, making this even-money prop a worthy consideration despite a slightly lower 79 Confidence Score.

Risk Factors

• Edman’s numbers are down in May

🎯 Gavin Sheets OVER 0.5 Hits

Best Price: -130 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 1 Hit

• Last 3-Game Average: .67 H/G

• Last 5-Game Average: .50 H/G

• Season Average: .907 H/G

• Confidence Score: 78

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 3 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Gavin Sheets' OVER 0.5 Hits prop at -130 on ESPN Bet is supported by solid underlying trends despite a moderate confidence score of 78. He’s hit safely in 8 of his last 10 games and comes into this matchup batting .317 in May and .321 on the road—both strong indicators of current form. While his recent 3- and 5-game averages (.67 and .50 hits per game, respectively) trail his season average of .907, his consistency across various splits offers reason for optimism. Sheets has held his own against left-handed pitching with a .250 average and now faces Chris Sale, who has given up 40 hits over his last 40 innings. With the matchup and trends aligning, this prop holds value for bettors backing Sheets to grab at least one base hit.

Risk Factors

• Sheets numbers slightly lower VS LHP

MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

MLB hitters with higher probability to hit a home run based on season stats, matchups with starting pitchers and other key stats (odds from DraftKings)

• Heliot ramos +450

• Seiya Suzuki +400

• Bryan Reynolds +850

• Teoscar Hernandez +475

• Marcell Ozuna +275

Today's Featured Props Recap

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

1. 🔥 Tommy Edman OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+100 BetMGM)

   • Most consistent trend: 4/5 in L5

   • Averaging 2.6 H/R/RBIs per game over last 5

   • Canning has allowed 10 runs on 36 hits in his last 7 starts

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-140 ESPN Bet)

• Hot streak: 8/10 in L10

• Averaging 2.085 H/R/RBIs per game this season

• Rasmussen has struggled recently, surrendering 14 runs on 31 hits and 9 walks in his last 7 starts

2. ⚡ Josh Jung OVER 0.5 Singles (-130 FanDuel)

• 8/L10 games going OVER

• Averaging 1 single per game over last 3

• He’s batting .302 against right-handed pitchers and .303 on the road, showing comfort in both key splits. Plus, he is facing Sean Burke, who’s allowed 33 hits over his last 34.2 innings

3. 💥 Gavin Sheets OVER 0.5 Hits (-130 ESPN Bet)

• 8/L10 games going OVER

• Averaging .907 hits per game this season

• He’s hit safely in 8 of his last 10 games and comes into this matchup batting .317 in May and .321 on the road—both strong indicators of current form

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team