We wrapped up July hovering around even—nothing flashy, but we stayed steady through the swings. Now it's August, and we're gearing up for a strong push with sharp reads, a fresh board, and momentum on our side. Football is right around the corner, and we’ve got some exciting new app features in the pipeline that’ll take everything to the next level. Let’s lock in and make this month our best yet.

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Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

• Today's Featured Props Recap

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

MLB: 159-140 (53%; +17.94 Units)

July ‘25: 30-29 (51%; -0.40 Units)

All-Time: 284-241 (54%; +53.12 Units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Giancarlo Stanton OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -125 on Caesars

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 4 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: 2.33 H/R/RBIs per game

• Last 5-Game Average: 2.8 H/R/RBIs per game

• Season Average: 2.125 H/R/RBIs per game

• Confidence Score: 93

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Giancarlo Stanton continues to mash, clearing this line in 8 of his last 10 games and averaging 2.8 H/R/RBIs over his last 5. He’s coming off a 4 H/R/RBI performance and has a strong season average of 2.125, backed by a 93 confidence score. Stanton owns a .365 OBP vs right-handed pitching, and he draws a favorable matchup against Janson Junk, who despite a solid 3.28 ERA, has allowed 5+ hits in 4 of his last 5 starts. With Stanton locked in and Junk proving hittable, the Yankees slugger is in a prime spot to keep filling the stat sheet.

Risk Factors

• Will likely need others in the lineup to help cash

🎯 Josh Naylor OVER 0.5 Singles

Best Price: +115 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 1 1B

• Last 3-Game Average: 0.33 1B/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 0.60 1B/G

• Season Average: 0.76 1B/G

• Confidence Score: 92

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 3 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Josh Naylor is a strong value play to notch a single today at plus money. He’s hit safely in 8 of his last 10 games, clearing the single prop in 3 of his last 5, and holds a season average of 0.76 singles per game. He’s batting .298 against right-handed pitching and draws a favorable matchup against Jack Leiter, who’s allowed 4+ hits in 7 of his last 8 starts. With Naylor seeing the ball well and facing a hittable righty, this is a sneaky-good spot to back him to drop in a base knock.

Risk Factors

• XBH wont cash

🎯 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -125 on Caesars

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 3 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: 1.33 H/R/RBIs per game

• Last 5-Game Average: 2.2 H/R/RBIs per game

• Season Average: 2.287 H/R/RBIs per game

• Confidence Score: 92

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 1 out of last 3 over

• 3 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Vlad Jr. has quietly been producing, clearing this line in 8 of his last 10 games and averaging 2.2 H/R/RBIs over his last 5. He’s hitting .385 OBP with a .449 slugging percentage against righties and gets a beatable matchup against Michael Wacha, who’s allowed 3+ hits in 7 of his last 10 starts—including three outings with 8+ hits allowed. With Guerrero’s strong season average of 2.287 H/R/RBIs and a 92 confidence score, he’s well-positioned to stuff the stat sheet again in a plus matchup.

Risk Factors

• Wacha respectable 3.53 ERA

🎯 Milwaukee Brewers @ Washington Nationals NRFI

Best Price: -105 on Pinnacle

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 NRFI

• 4 out of last 5 NRFI

• 8 out of last 10 NRFI

Key Analysis

This matchup sets up well for a NRFI at near-even odds. The Brewers and Nationals have combined for a NRFI in 8 of their last 10 games, with Milwaukee scoring in the 1st just once in that span and Washington failing to plate a 1st-inning run in 8 of their last 10. On the mound, Mitchell Parker (4.91 ERA) and José Quintana (3.50 ERA) aren’t elite, but they've both been effective enough early to trust a scoreless start. With both offenses trending slow out of the gate and recent NRFI success, this is a sharp angle at -105.

Risk Factors

• Brewers hit Parker hard in July 11th matchup

🎯 Jose Ramirez OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Best Price: +106 on BetRivers

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 3 TB

• Last 3-Game Average: 1.67 TB/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 1.6 TB/G

• Season Average: 1.962 TB/G

• Confidence Score: 92

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 3 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

José Ramírez continues to be a reliable source of total bases, clearing this line in 8 of his last 10 games and coming off a 3-TB performance. He’s averaging 1.67 TB over his last 3 games and holds a strong season average of 1.962 TB/G. Against righties, he’s slugging an impressive .514, and he draws a favorable matchup against Joe Ryan, who’s allowed 5+ hits in 5 of his last 6 starts. With Ramírez locked in and facing a hittable arm, this plus-money prop offers strong value backed by a 92 confidence score.

Risk Factors

• Will need a multi-hit game or XBH

MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

MLB hitters with higher probability to hit a home run based on season stats, matchups with starting pitchers and other key stats

• Jared Kelenic

• Nick Castellanos

• Andrew McCutchen

• Teoscar Hernandez

Today's Featured Props Recap

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

1. 🔥 Josh Naylor OVER 0.5 Singles (+115 DraftKings)

   • Most consistent trend: 8/10 in L10

   • Averaging 0.76 1B/G this season

   • He’s batting .298 against right-handed pitching and draws a favorable matchup against Jack Leiter, who’s allowed 4+ hits in 7 of his last 8 starts

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Giancarlo Stanton OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-125 Caesars)

• Hot streak: 8/10 in L10

• Averaging 2.8 H/R/RBIs per game in L5

• Stanton owns a .365 OBP vs right-handed pitching, and he draws a favorable matchup against Janson Junk, who despite a solid 3.28 ERA, has allowed 5+ hits in 4 of his last 5 starts

2. ⚡ Vladimir Guerrero Jr. OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-125 Caesars)

• 8/L10 games going OVER

• Averaging 2.2 H/R/RBIs per game over last 5

• He’s hitting .385 OBP with a .449 slugging percentage against righties and gets a beatable matchup against Michael Wacha, who’s allowed 3+ hits in 7 of his last 10 starts—including three outings with 8+ hits allowed

3. 🚀 Jose Ramirez OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+106 BetRivers)

• 8/L10 games going OVER

• Averaging 1.962 TB/G this season

• Against righties, he’s slugging an impressive .514, and he draws a favorable matchup against Joe Ryan, who’s allowed 5+ hits in 5 of his last 6 starts

Trending Unders

1. 📉 Brewers @ Nationals NRFI (-105 Pinnacle)

• 8/L10 games staying UNDER

• The Brewers and Nationals have combined for a NRFI in 8 of their last 10 games, with Milwaukee scoring in the 1st just once in that span and Washington failing to plate a 1st-inning run in 8 of their last 10

• On the mound, Mitchell Parker (4.91 ERA) and José Quintana (3.50 ERA) aren’t elite, but they've both been effective enough early to trust a scoreless start

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team