Quick hits for Friday 8/15. We’re leaning into two hot bats/arms, fading two fragile ceilings, and flagging a team total that only needs three. Prices move, so shop the best number and lock when you see value.

Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• Today's Featured Props Recap

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

MLB: 183-157 (54%; +21.6 Units)

Aug ‘25: 24-17 (58.5%; +3.66 Units)

All-Time: 308-258 (54%; +56.79 Units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Jack Perkins Under 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

Best Price: -128 at FanDuel

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 5 Ks

• Last 3-Game Average: 3 Ks

• Last 5-Game Average: 2.8 Ks

• Season Average: 2.8 Ks

• Confidence Score: 96

How Has This Prop Performed?

• Under in 3 out of last 3

• Under in 5 out of last 5

• Under in 10 out of last 10

Key Analysis

Perkins has never recorded 6 strikeouts in an MLB game. In 10 appearances this season (28+ innings), his high is 5 Ks. The rookie right-hander typically works around 4–5 innings with a decent strikeout rate. Facing an Angels lineup that is middle-of-the-pack in K-rate, Perkins is unlikely to suddenly punch out 6 batters. Oakland will also be careful with his workload, so a deep outing (which he’d likely need to hit 6 Ks) is not expected. All signs point to the Under, as Perkins has averaged only ~3 strikeouts per game and stayed under 5.5 in every start so far.

Risk Factors

The biggest worry is if the Angels’ free-swinging hitters gift Perkins a few extra strikeouts early. Perkins did go 6 innings last outing with 5 Ks, so if he somehow gets an extra inning tonight, a 6th strikeout isn’t impossible. In a new ballpark environment, there’s some unpredictability as well.

🎯 Michael Harris II Over 1.5 Total Bases

Best Price: +140 at DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 4 TB

• Last 3-Game Average: ~3 TB

• Last 5-Game Average: 2.8 TB

• Season Average: 1.5 TB

• Confidence Score: 91

How Has This Prop Performed?

• Over in 3 out of last 3

• Over in 5 out of last 5

• Over in 8 out of last 10

Key Analysis

Harris has been red-hot at the plate. Since the All-Star break, something has clicked – he’s slugging .693 post-break, compared to .317 before. He’s on a five-game multi-hit streak, averaging 2.8 total bases in that span. In fact, he’s gone over 1.5 TB in each of those five games. The Braves center fielder has 3 homers in his last five contests and is consistently making hard contact. Facing Guardians rookie lefty Joey Cantillo (4.11 ERA) in Cleveland, Harris should have opportunities for extra-base hits or multiple singles. Even if he bats near the bottom of the order, his recent form – 20 doubles, 6 triples, 13 HR on the year – suggests two total bases is very achievable.

Risk Factors

Harris will be in a lefty-lefty matchup against Cantillo, which could dampen his production. He’s traditionally not as strong vs LHP, so that’s a concern. Also, betting on a hitter to get 2+ bases can always be derailed by factors like a few walks, Guardians pitchers working around him, or just an off-night (even hot streaks end eventually). Harris’ season average (~1.5 TB) is much lower than his recent surge, so regression is possible. If the game is low-scoring or Harris only manages a single in four at-bats, this over could fall short. Nonetheless, his current momentum makes the risk feel worth it.

Ready to Raise Your Betting Game?

Step up your game at WagerLens.com, where sharp bettors find their edge.

🔥 Unlock killer tools, exclusive data, expert insights, and a winning community.
🎯 Limited Time: Get 50% off your next month with code 50WAGERLENS at checkout!
💰 New: Our referral program is live!
Earn cash just by getting friends to sign up. No strings. Just share your promo code and stack rewards.

Join WagerLens now and bet like a pro.

Don’t miss a play. Follow WagerLens on X for daily drops!

🎯 James McCann Under 1.5 Total Bases

Best Price: -130 at DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 2 TB (2 singles)

• Last 3-Game Average: ~2 TB

• Last 5-Game Average: 1.2 TB

• Season Average: 1.0 TB

• Confidence Score: 89

How Has This Prop Performed?

• Under in 1 of last 3

• Under in 3 of last 5

• Under in 8 of last 10

Key Analysis

Even with a 2-hit game on Sunday, McCann is not a big threat with the bat at this stage. On the season he’s averaging just 1 total base a game. Often, all he musters is a single (if anything). He’s a part-time catcher who typically hits near the bottom of the lineup, and his opportunities can be limited (only ~3 plate appearances per game). Prior to his recent mini-surge, McCann had been ice-cold – he had 0 total bases in four of five games before that 2-hit. Overall in 2025 he’s slugging a modest .400 with a .255, indicating very few extra-base hits. In Coors Field against Colorado, the environment is hitter-friendly, but it often takes a lot to reach 2+ bases (unless you’re consistently driving the ball). McCann mostly hits singles; asking for two hits (or a double) is a stretch given his track record.

Risk Factors

The obvious risk is Coors Field magic as it’s the best hitting park in baseball. McCann will also likely face a subpar Rockies pitching staff (Colorado’s pitchers have been knocked around regularly), so the matchup is favorable. He’s coming off a confidence-boosting game (and even hit a pinch-hit homer on Wednesday), so if there’s ever a time he might exceed expectations, it’s now. There’s a chance he gets two singles or one well-struck ball for extra bases in the thin air. Still, we’re essentially betting on him not doing something he rarely does – multi-base hits – and living with it if Coors yields an outlier.

🎯 Landen Roupp Over 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown

Best Price: +120 at FanDuel

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 6 Ks
  Last 3-Game Average: 5.7 Ks
  Last 5-Game Average: 5.0 Ks
  Season Average: 5.3 Ks

• Confidence Score: 86

How Has This Prop Performed?

• Over in 2 of last 3

• Over in 4 of last 5

• Over in 8 of last 10

Key Analysis

Roupp was a strikeout machine before hitting the IL. The Giants righty earned a rotation spot with his swing-and-miss stuff and posted 95 Ks in his first 18 starts (3.11 ERA). He fanned 6 and 8 batters in his two most recent starts before injury. Overall, he cleared 3.5 Ks in 12 of his 18 outings this year (two-thirds of the time). Notably, he’s already faced several AL teams and struck them out at a high clip – 43 Ks in 37.1 IP vs AL lineups. Facing the Rays tonight, Roupp should have a good shot at 4+ Ks if he goes around 5 innings. Tampa’s lineup has a mix of patient hitters and high-K bats, and the Rays are unfamiliar with him (first career matchup), which often favors the pitcher. Given his average of about 5+ strikeouts per start, a total of 4 is a reasonable expectation if Roupp is near his usual form.

Risk Factors

Roupp is making his first start back after a three-week layoff (elbow inflammation). There’s risk of rust or a shorter leash. The Giants may cap his pitch count or pull him after, say, 4 innings to be cautious. If that happens, he might get only 3 Ks before getting the hook. Additionally, the Rays offense, while prone to some strikeouts, can be pesky – if they work counts and keep Roupp’s pitch count rising, he might exit early. Any post-injury inconsistency (missing spots or reduced velocity) could also limit his K’s. Essentially, this bet assumes Roupp is close to his pre-injury self. If he isn’t stretched out or isn’t sharp, it could fall short – but reports indicate he’s ready to go, making 4 strikeouts very attainable if he pitches to his capability.

🎯 Baltimore Orioles Over 2.5 Team Totals

Best Price: -135 at DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 1 run

• Last 3-Game Average: 2.3 runs

• Last 5-Game Average: 2.5 runs

• Season Average: 4.1 runs

• Confidence Score: 86

How Has This Prop Performed?

• Over in 2 out of last 3

• Over in 3 out of last 5

• Over in 7 out of last 10

Key Analysis

This is an extremely low team total – 2.5 runs is basically asking Baltimore to scratch out three runs in a full game. Even against a strong pitcher like Framber Valdez, three runs is very doable in today’s game. The Orioles’ lineup still has pop and talent; Gunnar Henderson (.283, 14 HR, 51 RBI) leads the team and is capable of an extra-base hit or two to generate runs. One swing with men on base can get us over this number. The Astros’ pitching staff hasn’t been untouchable lately, either – Houston’s team ERA over the last 10 games is 4.50, and their games have gone over the total in 7 of those 10. That suggests opponents have been scoring. Plus, Minute Maid Park can yield runs via the short left-field porch (a cheap homer or two is not out of the question for Baltimore’s righty bats). With the Orioles as sizable underdogs, we could also see Houston use lower-leverage relievers if they lead, giving Baltimore a chance to pick up a few late runs. In short, asking a competent MLB lineup to get to 3 runs, even against an ace, is a modest ask — the value leans to the over on such a low total.

Risk Factors

The recent trend for Baltimore’s offense is, in a word, bad. They’ve averaged only 2.8 runs over their last 10 games, and in 8 of those 10 they scored 2 or fewer. If you’ve been watching, you know the Orioles have struggled mightily to string hits together. Valdez (11-5, 2.97 ERA) is exactly the kind of pitcher who could continue that struggle – he’s an elite lefty who can go 7+ innings and completely stifle a lineup. It’s very possible Baltimore heads to the 7th inning with zero or one run on the board. Essentially, this bet might come down to garbage-time runs or one clutch hit. If the O’s remain cold and Valdez is dealing, they could finish with 1-2 runs and it wouldn’t be shocking. Betting an over on a team total that the team has fallen below in 8 of its last 9 games is inherently risky. We’re banking on some positive regression for the bats, but there’s no guarantee it comes tonight.

Today's Featured Props Recap

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

1. 🔥 Jack Perkins UNDER 5.5 Strikeouts (-128 Fanduel)

   • Most consistent trend: 10/10 Unders in last 10 games

   • 2.8 K avg (season across 10 apps)

   • He’s never hit 6 Ks and rarely works deep. Angels’ K rate is middling, so he likely needs a career outlier to clear this.

2. 🔥 Michael Harris II OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+140 DraftKings)

   • 5/5 Overs in last 5 games

   • 2.8 TB avg (last 5; post-break slug surge)

   • Red-hot bat with extra-base pop, facing a rookie lefty. Multiple paths to two bases via gap power or multi-hit game.

3. 🔥 Landen Roupp OVER 3.5 Strikeouts (+120 FanDuel)

   • 4/5 Overs in last 5 games

   • 5.7 K avg (last 3; 95 Ks in 18 starts)

   • Real swing-and-miss stuff and first-look advantage vs Rays. Four Ks in ~5 innings is firmly in range.

Trending Unders

1. ⬇️ James McCann UNDER 1.5 TB (-130 DraftKings)

   • 8/10 games staying UNDER

   • 1.0 TB per game on the season

   • Bottom-order bat who mostly singles. Coors is the risk, but two bases still asks a lot.

Watch List

1. ⚠️ Baltimore Orioles OVER 2.5 Team Total (-135 DraftKings)

   • Strong trend but cold offense and Valdez’s ceiling are real caveats

   • Recent slump, but 3 runs clears and Minute Maid can gift a cheap HR

   • Monitor lineup card and roof status. If Valdez pitch count climbs early or Houston goes to middle relief, O’s can sneak to three late.

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team