We’re keeping the momentum rolling after another winning day — our only miss came on the surprising Aaron Judge total bases prop. As MLB’s Rivalry Weekend wraps up and the Nuggets face off with the Thunder in a do-or-die Game 7, we’ve dug up some juicy overs you won’t want to miss. Let’s finish the weekend strong — lock in!

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Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

• Today's Featured Props Recap

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (05/17): 3-1 (75%; +1.7 Units)

MLB: 74-63 (54%; +16.84 Units)

NBA: 115-85 (57.5%; +42.38 Units)

May ‘25: 35-21 (62.5%; +7.335 Units)

All-Time: 199-163 (55%; +53 Units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Isaac Paredes OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -115 on BetMGM

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 2 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: 2 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Last 5-Game Average: 2.6 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Season Average: 1.909 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Confidence Score: 92

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Isaac Paredes' OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs looks like a strong play today. He’s cleared this line in 8 of his last 10 games, including 4 of the last 5, showing consistent productivity. His recent averages — 2.6 over the last 5 games and 2.0 over the last 3 — are comfortably above the line, and his season average sits at 1.91. Paredes also boasts a .285 average vs righties and an impressive .333 with runners in scoring position, both positive indicators against Jack Leiter, who’s struggled mightily with 14 runs, 21 hits, and 14 walks allowed in his last 29 innings. With a confidence score of 92, the data points to high value at -115 on BetMGM.

Risk Factors

• Prop can depend on others in the lineup

🎯 Spencer Schwellenbach OVER 17.5 Outs

Best Price: -136 on BetRivers

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 21 Outs

• Last 3-Game Average: 16.67 Outs/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 17.8 Outs/G

• Season Average: 18.111 Outs/G

• Confidence Score: 82

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Spencer Schwellenbach's outs prop is shaping up as a solid value play at -136 on BetRivers. He’s gone over this number in 8 of his last 10 starts, including 4 of his last 5, and is coming off a strong outing where he recorded 21 outs. His recent averages — 17.8 over the last 5 games and 16.67 over the last 3 — suggest consistent reliability deep into games. While opposing pitchers have averaged just 16.47 outs against the Red Sox in their last 10, they’ve still managed to clear tonight’s line in 3 of the last 5. Schwellenbach’s season average of 18.1 outs per game and a confidence score of 82 further back the over, making this a data-supported option worth considering.

Risk Factors

• Low floor

🎯 Jamal Murray OVER 3.5 Rebounds

Best Price: -137 on BetRivers

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 8 Rebounds

• Last 3-Game Average: 5.33 Reb/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 4.8 Reb/G

• Season Average: 4.1 Reb/G

• Confidence Score: 99

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 5 out of last 5 over

• 10 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Jamal Murray’s OVER 3.5 rebounds is one of the most reliable props on the board, backed by elite consistency and a confidence score of 99. He’s hit this number in 10 straight games, including all 5 of his last 5, with recent averages of 5.33 over the last 3 and 4.8 over the last 5. Even his season average of 4.1 rebounds per game is above the line. In matchups against the Thunder, he’s averaging 5 rebounds per game this postseason and 4 in the regular season—both above the threshold. Coming off an 8-rebound performance and showing no signs of slowing down, Murray at -137 on BetRivers looks like a sharp and steady bet.

Risk Factors

• Starting on injured list due to illness

MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

MLB hitters with higher probability to hit a home run based on season stats, matchups with starting pitchers and other key stats (odds from DraftKings)

• Pete Alonso +425

• Gleyber Torres +650

• Nolan Arenado +700

• Shohei Ohtani +215

Today's Featured Props Recap

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

1. 🔥 Isaac Paredes OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-125 BetMGM)

   • Most consistent trend: 8/10 in L10

   • Averaging 2.6 H/R/RBIs per game over last 5 games

   • Paredes boasts a .285 average vs righties and an impressive .333 with runners in scoring position, both positive indicators against Jack Leiter, who’s struggled mightily with 14 runs, 21 hits, and 14 walks allowed in his last 29 innings

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Spencer Schwellenbach OVER 17.5 Outs (-136 BetRivers)

• Hot streak: 8/10 in L10

• Averaging 18.111 Outs/G this season

• While opposing pitchers have averaged just 16.47 outs against the Red Sox in their last 10, they’ve still managed to clear tonight’s line in 3 of the last 5

2. ⚡ Jamal Murray OVER 3.5 Rebounds (-137 BetRivers)

• 10/L10 games going OVER

• Averaging 4.8 Reb/G over last 5

• Against the Thunder, he’s averaging 5 rebounds per game this postseason and 4 in the regular season—both above the threshold

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team