From Hot Streak to Heat Wave: Weekend Winners Ahead

Collins, Doyle, Barger & Elder headline today’s card

After a perfect 7-0 run on Tuesday and Wednesday, stacking +5.21 units, we’re riding serious momentum into the weekend. Today’s card is loaded with high-confidence props — from hot bats to exploitable pitching matchups — and we’re looking to keep the streak alive and the bankroll growing.

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Table of Contents

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

MLB: 174-149 (54%; +20.85 Units)

August ‘25: 15-9 (63%; +2.85 Units)

All-Time: 299-250 (54%; +56 Units)

🎯 Isaac Collins OVER 0.5 Hits

Best Price: -139 on BetRivers

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 3 Hits

  • Last 3-Game Average: 2 H/G

  • Last 5-Game Average: 2 H/G

  • Season Average: 0.806 H/G

  • Confidence Score: 97

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 over

  • 5 out of last 5 over

  • 9 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Isaac Collins has been locked in at the plate, making his OVER 0.5 hits prop a strong look at -139 on BetRivers. He’s recorded a hit in 9 of his last 10 games, including each of his last five, and is averaging 2 hits per game over both his last three and last five contests — well above his 0.806 season average. Collins owns an impressive .428 OBP against right-handed pitching, and he’ll face Kodai Senga, who has allowed 4+ hits in four straight outings. With a 97 confidence score, all signs point to Collins extending his hitting streak tonight.

** Consider taking Collins TB or HRRBI prop

Risk Factors

  • Heavy juice

🎯 Brenton Doyle OVER 0.5 Singles

Best Price: +115 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 1 Single

  • Last 3-Game Average: 0.67 1B/G

  • Last 5-Game Average: 1 1B/G

  • Season Average: 0.585 1B/G

  • Confidence Score: 91

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 2 out of last 3 over

  • 4 out of last 5 over

  • 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Brenton Doyle’s OVER 0.5 singles prop offers solid value at +115 on FanDuel. He’s recorded a single in 8 of his last 10 games, including 4 of his last 5, and is averaging 1 single per game over his past five — well above his 0.585 season average. While his .231 OBP vs right-handed pitching isn’t eye-popping, Doyle has tallied 12 singles over his last 10 games, showing a consistent ability to find the basepaths. He’ll face Zac Gallen, who has allowed 5+ hits in 10 straight starts, including four outings with 8+ hits allowed. With a 91 confidence score and plus-money price, this spot carries both form and value.

Risk Factors

  • XBH will not cash

🎯 Addison Barger OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: +115 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 5 H/R/RBIs

  • Last 3-Game Average: 4 H/R/RBIs per game

  • Last 5-Game Average: 2.8 H/R/RBIs per game

  • Season Average: 2.109 H/R/RBIs per game

  • Confidence Score: 89

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 over

  • 4 out of last 5 over

  • 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Addison Barger’s OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs prop comes in at a favorable +115 on DraftKings, backed by strong recent production. He’s cleared this mark in 8 of his last 10 games, including each of his last three, while averaging 4 H/R/RBIs over his past three contests and 2.8 over his last five — both well above his 2.109 season average. While his .269 OBP vs right-handed pitching isn’t elite, he draws a matchup against Clayton Kershaw, who has allowed 5+ hits in 5 of his last 6 starts. With an 89 confidence score and consistent recent output, Barger has multiple paths to hitting this over tonight.

Risk Factors

  • Might rely on others in the lineup to cash

🎯 Bryce Elder UNDER 16.5 Outs

Best Price: +100 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 20 Outs

  • Last 3-Game Average: 14.33 Outs/G

  • Last 5-Game Average: 15.6 Outs/G

  • Season Average: 15.667 Outs/G

  • Confidence Score: 82

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 2 out of last 3 under

  • 3 out of last 5 under

  • 7 out of last 10 under

Key Analysis

Bryce Elder’s UNDER 16.5 outs prop presents value at +100 on DraftKings given both his recent trends and the matchup. While he did reach 20 outs in his last outing, he’s averaged just 14.33 outs over his past three starts and 15.6 over his last five, hitting the under in 7 of his last 10 appearances. Elder carries a 6.17 ERA into this game and faces a hot Marlins lineup averaging 9.67 hits and 5 runs per game over their last three contests, with 4.67 runs coming in the first five innings alone. With Miami’s early scoring pressure and Elder’s struggles to work deep into games, the 82 confidence score suggests a strong case for the under.

Risk Factors

  • 3 of last 10 going 20+ outs

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

  1. 🔥 Addison Barger OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+115 DraftKings)

    • Most consistent trend: 8/L10

    • Averaging 4 H/R/RBIs per game over last 3

    • While his .269 OBP vs right-handed pitching isn’t elite, he draws a matchup against Clayton Kershaw, who has allowed 5+ hits in 5 of his last 6 starts

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Isaac Collins OVER 0.5 Hits (-139 BetRivers)

  • Hot streak: 9/10 in L10

  • Averaging 2 H/G in L5

  • Collins owns an impressive .428 OBP against right-handed pitching, and he’ll face Kodai Senga, who has allowed 4+ hits in four straight outings

2. ⚡ Brenton Doyle OVER 0.5 Singles (+115 FanDuel)

  • 8/L10 games going OVER

  • Averaging 1 single per game over last 5

  • Despite a modest .231 OBP vs righties, Doyle has 12 singles in his last 10 games and now faces Zac Gallen, who’s allowed 5+ hits in 10 straight starts, including four with 8+

Trending Unders

1. 📉 Bryce Elder UNDER 16.5 Outs (+100 DraftKings)

  • 7/L10 games staying UNDER

  • Averaging just 14.33 outs per game over last 3

  • Elder carries a 6.17 ERA into this game and faces a hot Marlins lineup averaging 9.67 hits and 5 runs per game over their last three contests, with 4.67 runs coming in the first five innings alone

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team