We’ve built up momentum and today’s slip is locked in with a balanced mix of value and upside. Ben Rice and Nolan Gorman bring hit potential, Julio Rodríguez and the Braves carry power on the overs, and the Brewers on the moneyline give us one of the hottest teams in baseball to anchor the card. The trends are lining up, the confidence is high, and we’re ready to keep stacking green.

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Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• Today's Featured Props Recap

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (08/16): 2-1 (67%; +0.72 Units)

MLB: 189-159 (54%; +25.4 Units)

August ‘25: 30-19 (61%; +7.5 Units)

All-Time: 314-260 (55%; +60.6 Units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Ben Rice OVER 0.5 Singles

Best Price: -130 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 1 Single

• Last 3-Game Average: 0.67 1B/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 0.8 1B/G

• Season Average: 0.398 1B/G

• Confidence Score: 79

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

Key Analysis

Ben Rice’s OVER 0.5 singles prop is priced at -130 on FanDuel and comes with a favorable setup. He’s cleared this number in 4 of his last 5 games, averaging 0.67 singles over his last three and 0.8 over his last five, both well above his 0.398 season average. While not all singles, Rice has hit safely 12 times over his last 10 games. Rice has been effective against right-handed pitching with a .360 OBP, and he draws a matchup against Miles Mikolas, who has allowed 5.6 hits per game over his last 10 starts, giving up 4 or more in 9 of those outings. With consistent recent production and a hittable pitcher on the mound, Rice has a strong chance to extend his singles streak.

Risk Factors

• XBH won’t cash

🎯 Nolan Gorman OVER 0.5 Singles

Best Price: +135 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 1 Single

• Last 3-Game Average: 0.33 1B/G

• Last 5-Game Average: .40 1B/G

• Season Average: 0.41 1B/G

• Confidence Score: 74

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 1 out of last 3 over

• 2 out of last 5 over

• 6 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Nolan Gorman’s OVER 0.5 singles at +135 on FanDuel comes with plus-money value but a lower confidence profile compared to your other props. He’s hit this in just 6 of his last 10 games, averaging 0.33 singles over his last three and 0.40 over his last five, right in line with his 0.41 season average. The matchup, however, does bring some upside. Gorman has a .325 OBP vs right-handed pitching and is hitting .270 in August, showing a bit more consistency at the plate lately. He’ll face Will Warren, a contact-oriented pitcher who’s giving up about 5 hits per game over his last 10 starts, which opens the door for Gorman to sneak in a base knock.

Risk Factors

• XBH will not cash and Gorman has been hit or miss at the plate this season

🎯 Julio Rodriguez OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Best Price: +105 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 4 TB

• Last 3-Game Average: 4 TB/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 3 TB/G

• Season Average: 1.886 TB/G

• Confidence Score: 72

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 7 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Julio Rodríguez’s OVER 1.5 total bases at +105 on DraftKings comes with some upside but carries a bit more risk compared to your other props. He’s cleared this number in 7 of his last 10 games, including each of his last three, averaging 4 TB over his last three and 3 over his last five, which is well above his 1.886 season average. The matchup adds value as Rodríguez has a .319 OBP vs right-handed pitching, and he’ll face Holmes, who has allowed 5.1 hits per game over his last 10 starts.

Risk Factors

• Will need a multi-hit game or an XBH to cash

🎯 Atlanta Braves OVER 4.5 Team Runs

Best Price: +105 on Caesars

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 10 Runs

• Last 3-Game Average: 5.33 R/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 6.1 R/G

• Season Average: 4.32 R/G

• Confidence Score: 87

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 1 out of last 3 over

• 3 out of last 5 over

• 7 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

The Braves’ OVER 4.5 team runs at +105 on Caesars comes with strong recent offensive form and a favorable matchup. Atlanta has topped this mark in 7 of their last 10 games, averaging 5.33 runs across their last three and 6.1 over their last five, well above their 4.32 season average. They erupted for 10 runs in their last outing and now face Logan Allen, who enters with a 3.94 ERA and has been hittable at times this year.

Risk Factors

• Today’s line is in line with the Braves season average and lately they have been scoring either under the total or well over

🎯 Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline

Best Price: +100 on Pinnacle

Recent Performance

• Last Game: Won

• Last 3-Game Average: 3-0

• Last 5-Game Average: 5-0

• Season Average: 78-44

• Confidence Score: 93

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 5 out of last 5 over

• 10 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

• The Brewers Moneyline at +100 on Pinnacle looks like one of the best values on the board. Milwaukee is riding history right now with the first 14-game win streak in franchise history and the first streak of that length by any MLB team since 2022. They hold a 78-44 record on the season, they’re one of baseball’s hottest clubs. José Quintana gets the start for Milwaukee with a 10-4 record and 3.44 ERA, providing steady production on the mound. Cincinnati counters with Andrew Abbott, who has been sharp at 8-3 with a 2.41 ERA, but the Brewers’ momentum and ability to produce runs against quality pitching tilt the edge in their favor.

Risk Factors

• Reds kept the game close in yesterday’s 6-5 extra-innings win

Today's Featured Props Recap

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

1. 🔥 Nolan Gorman OVER 0.5 Singles (+135 FanDuel)

   • Most consistent trend: 6/10 in L10

   • He’ll face Will Warren, a contact-oriented pitcher who’s giving up about 5 hits per game over his last 10 starts, which opens the door for Gorman to sneak in a base knock

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Ben Rice OVER 0.5 Singles (-130 FanDuel)

• Hot streak: 4/5 in L5

• Averaging 0.8 Singles per game in L5

• Rice has been effective against right-handed pitching with a .360 OBP, and he draws a matchup against Miles Mikolas, who has allowed 5.6 hits per game over his last 10 starts

2. ⚡ Julio Rodriguez OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+105 DraftKings)

• 4/L5 games going OVER

• Averaging 3 TB/G over last 5 games

• The matchup adds value as Rodríguez has a .319 OBP vs right-handed pitching, and he’ll face Holmes, who has allowed 5.1 hits per game over his last 10 starts

3. 💥 Atlanta Braves OVER 4.5 Team Runs (+105 Caesars)

• 7/L10 games going OVER

• Averaging 6.1 R/G over last 5 games

• They erupted for 10 runs in their last outing and now face Logan Allen, who enters with a 3.94 ERA and has been hittable at times this year

Watch List

1. ⚠️ Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline (+100 Pinnacle)

• Strong trend but the Reds put up a fight yesterday in the Brewers extra-innings 6-5 win

• Brewers are averaging 7.1 R/G over their last 10 with 3 double-digit score games

• All good things come to an end, and the Reds are starting their ace, Abbott, who holds a 8-3 record and 2.41 ERA

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team