We took a quick break from props yesterday to drop an educational piece, but we still fired off a 3-leg parlay on X. It came agonizingly close—just one H/R/RBI short thanks to Brandon Lowe stranding himself on third with no outs. Brutal. Today brings another full MLB slate, and we’re locked back in. Let’s keep June trending in the right direction.

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Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

• Today's Featured Props Recap

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

MLB: 93-87 (52%; +10.15 Units)

June ‘25: 6-4 (60%; +1.00 Units)

All-Time: 218-188 (54%; +45.35 Units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Wilyer Abreu UNDER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -115 on BetMGM

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 5 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: 1.67 H/R/RBIs per game

• Last 5-Game Average: 1.2 H/R/RBIs per game

• Season Average: 1.803 H/R/RBIs per game

• Confidence Score: 89

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 under

• 4 out of last 5 under

• 8 out of last 10 under

Key Analysis

Wilyer Abreu's UNDER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs is shaping up as a strong value play despite a big showing in his last game (5 H/R/RBIs). While that performance skews the recent average (1.67 over his last 3), a broader view shows more consistent unders: he’s gone under this line in 4 of his last 5 games and 8 of his last 10. His 5-game average sits at just 1.2, well below his season mark of 1.803, indicating a cooling trend. With a confidence score of 89 and a -115 price on BetMGM, this line may be reacting too much to a recent outlier rather than the overall trajectory.

Risk Factors

• 5 H/R/RBI last game

🎯 Kyle Schwarber OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -125 on BetMGM

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 2 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: 1 H/R/RBIs per game

• Last 5-Game Average: 2 H/R/RBIs per game

• Season Average: 2.387 H/R/RBIs per game

• Confidence Score: 85

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 1 out of last 3 over

• 3 out of last 5 over

• 7 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Kyle Schwarber's OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs is an appealing spot today, especially with a favorable matchup on deck. While his recent 3-game average is just 1.0, he’s cleared this number in 3 of his last 5 and 7 of his last 10, showing solid long-term consistency. His season average of 2.387 H/R/RBIs per game comfortably exceeds the line, and he’s coming off a 2 H/R/RBI performance. The matchup against lefty Bailey Falter looks promising—Schwarber is 2-for-3 off him lifetime and owns a .286 average and 1.107 OPS vs LHP. Though Falter’s ERA is a respectable 3.14, he's allowed 25 hits and 8 runs over his last 7 starts, signaling vulnerability. With the trends and matchup lining up, the over looks well-supported at -125 on BetMGM.

Risk Factors

• Missed this line in 2 of last 3

🎯Jeremy Pena OVER 1.5 Hits

Best Price: +180 on BetRivers

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 3 Hits

• Last 3-Game Average: 2 H/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 2 H/G

• Season Average: 1.21 H/G

• Confidence Score: 82

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

Key Analysis

Jeremy Peña’s OVER 1.5 Hits at +180 on BetRivers offers high-upside value backed by both form and matchup. Peña has been locked in at the plate lately, recording 2 hits per game over his last 3 and 5 games, well above his season average of 1.21. He’s hit this line in 4 of his last 5, and the matchup couldn’t be better: he’s a scorching 5-for-6 lifetime vs. Logan Allen, and sports a .333 average against lefties overall. Allen, meanwhile, has given up 35 hits in his last 27.2 innings, making him a hittable target. With a hot bat and a favorable split, Peña's over is a sharp play with juicy odds.

Risk Factors

• Volatility of multi-hit games

MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

MLB hitters with higher probability to hit a home run based on season stats, matchups with starting pitchers and other key stats (odds from DraftKings)

• Trent Grisham +370

• Amed Rosario +550

• Andrew McCutchen +550

• Tommy Edman +950

• Brandon Nimmo +400

Today's Featured Props Recap

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

1. 🔥 Jeremy Pena OVER 1.5 Hits (+180 BetRivers)

   • Most consistent trend: 4/5 in L5

   • Averaging 2 H/G over last 5

   • Pena is a scorching 5-for-6 lifetime vs. Logan Allen, and sports a .333 average against lefties overall

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Kyle Schwarber OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-125 BetMGM)

• Hot streak: 7/10 in L10

• Averaging 2 H/R/RBIs per game over last 5

• Schwarber is 2-for-3 off Falter lifetime and owns a .286 average and 1.107 OPS vs LHP

Trending Unders

1. 📉 Wilyer Abreu UNDER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-115 BetMGM)

• 8/L10 games staying UNDER

• His 5-game average sits at just 1.2, well below his season mark of 1.803, indicating a cooling trend

• Recent averages inflated by 5 H/R/RBI game

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team