We went 2-1 yesterday profitting about 1.5 units. today brings a full 4 game division series slate and tons of MLB action. Were breaking down a few props with a strong edge.

Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (10/07): 2-1 (67%; +1.5 Units)

MLB: 234-211 (53%; +17.92 Units)

October ‘25: 12-9 (57%; +2.46 Units)

All-Time: 395-351 (53%; +55.63 Units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Quinn Priester OVER 12.5 Outs

Best Price: +110 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 15 Outs

• Last 3-Game Average: 16 Outs/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 17.4 Outs/G

• Season Average: 16.276 Outs/G

• Confidence Score: 88

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 5 out of last 5 over

• 10 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Quinn Priester’s outs line is set at 12.5, and the over looks appealing given his steady efficiency and recent form. He’s cleared this number in 10 straight starts, averaging 16.3 outs per game on the season and 17.4 over his last five. Priester’s ability to work deep into games has been consistent, and he’s coming off a 15-out performance in his last outing. With the Brewers up 2-0 in the series, there’s less pressure to pull him early, allowing room for a longer leash on the mound. Milwaukee has also kept the Cubs to just 5 hits per game through the first two NLDS matchups, suggesting Priester can work efficiently against a lineup that’s struggled to make solid contact. At +110, the over carries solid value backed by both trend and circumstance.

Risk Factors

• Brewers are aggressive to win and go to the bullpen early

🎯 Casey Mize OVER 1.5 Earned Runs

Best Price: +109 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 1 ER

• Last 3-Game Average: 2 ER/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 2.2 ER/G

• Season Average: 2.29 ER/G

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Casey Mize’s earned runs line is set at 1.5, and recent trends point toward value on the over. He’s averaging 2.29 earned runs per game this season and has cleared this mark in 8 of his last 10 starts, including 4 of his last 5. While he allowed just 1 ER in his last outing, his recent averages, 2.0 over his last three and 2.2 over his last five, show consistent vulnerability to giving up a few runs per start. The matchup adds to the case: the Mariners have scored 11 runs in their last two games against the Tigers and tagged Mize for 6 earned runs across two regular-season meetings. Given Seattle’s offensive momentum and Mize’s history versus this lineup, this looks like a strong plus-money opportunity on the over.

Risk Factors

• As many as 10 SO in a single start this season

• Could get pulled early in a must win game

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🎯 Daulton Varsho OVER 0.5 Hits

Best Price: -118 on BetRivers

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 1 hit

• Last 3-Game Average: 2.33 H/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 1.8 H/G

• Season Average: 0.89 H/G

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Daulton Varsho’s hits line is set at 0.5, and his recent production makes the over a strong play. He’s averaging 2.33 hits over his last three games and 1.8 over his last five, both well above his season average of 0.89. Varsho has recorded at least one hit in 8 of his last 10 games, including four of his last five, showing reliable contact and consistency. He’s also handled right-handed pitching well, carrying an .865 OPS vs RHP, which plays directly into tonight’s matchup against Schittler, who has allowed 4.2 hits per start across 15 outings this year. With steady recent form and a favorable handedness split, Varsho has a strong chance to continue his hitting streak.

Risk Factors

• Varsho tends to be streaky

Think line movement doesn’t matter? Think again.

Price shifts are where the market shows its hand. Knowing how to read them can be the edge between cashing and chasing.

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team