Everyone is focused on Ravens vs Bills and Cowboys vs Eagles. But the best Week 1 value often comes from games no one is talking about. That is where the numbers stay soft and perception drives mistakes.

Why Week 1 is Different

Lines have been posted since spring. They are shaped by hype, not updated information. Public money piles onto headlines and big names, leaving room to find mispriced numbers if you know where to look.

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Three Matchups to Watch:

• Seahawks +2.5 vs 49ers
  San Francisco’s receivers are thin, the offensive line is unsettled, and more than 80% of bets are on the 49ers. Seattle at home is undervalued at this number.

• Rams +2 vs Texans
  Houston hype is everywhere, but their secondary is already dealing with injuries and off-field distractions. Los Angeles quietly won the division last year, and the line is holding steady.

• Titans +7.5 at Broncos
  Denver is the largest Week 1 favorite, yet the total is low. Each point matters more in that setting. Despite heavy betting on Denver, the spread is stuck at 7.5 which signals resistance.

The Bigger Blueprint

Week 1 misprices often create Week 2 opportunities. Since 2005, underdogs have covered more than 54% in Week 2 as the market overreacts to the openers. Spot the headlines, then grab the early Week 2 lines before they correct.

Check the full write-up with injury notes, market splits, and strategy tips here:

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team