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Hit Parade: Schwarber, Hays & Albies Lead the Charge
Why Schwarber, Hays, and Albies Are Set to Cash on H+R+RBI Lines
Sage Davis & Brian McAbee
May 27, 2025
Yesterday was a bit of a mixed bag, but we’ll take it—1-1 on official plays with 2 voids, good for a +0.4 unit profit on the day. It wasn’t flashy, but profit is profit, and we’ll never complain about stacking green. Today, we’re going right back to the well with three hot bats who are crushing recent trends and stepping into matchups that scream production. Schwarber’s power, Hays’ consistency, and Albies’ dominance vs Suárez make them prime targets in the H+R+RBI market. Let’s break down why all three are in a great spot to keep the momentum rolling.
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Table of Contents
📊 WagerLens Performance Review
Yesterday (05/26): 1-1 (50%; +0.42 Units)
MLB: 84-76 (53%; +13.1 Units)
May ‘25: 45-35 (56%; +2.6 Units)
All-Time: 209-177 (54%; +48.3 Units)
💎 Today’s Featured Props
🎯 Kyle Schwarber OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
Best Price: -105 on BetMGM
Recent Performance
Last Game: 2 H/R/RBIs
Last 3-Game Average: 3 H/R/RBIs per game
Last 5-Game Average: 2.6 H/R/RBIs per game
Season Average: 2.453 H/R/RBIs per game
Confidence Score: 90
How Has This Prop Performed?
2 out of last 3 over
4 out of last 5 over
8 out of last 10 over
Key Analysis
Kyle Schwarber’s OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs prop at -105 on BetMGM offers strong value based on recent trends and matchup data. Schwarber has cleared this line in 4 of his last 5 games and 8 of his last 10, averaging 2.6 H/R/RBIs over his last 5—well above the line. His season average of 2.453 further supports consistent production. He faces Spencer Strider, who’s struggled recently, giving up 6 runs on 11 hits in his last 9.1 innings, creating a favorable spot for Schwarber. While Schwarber's .229 average vs RHP isn’t elite, his .931 OPS with runners in scoring position highlights his ability to deliver in high-leverage spots. With a Confidence Score of 90, this prop is backed by both performance trends and matchup context.
Risk Factors
Just 4-for-21 career against Strider
🎯Austin Hays OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
Best Price: -125 on ESPN Bet
Recent Performance
Last Game: 4 H/R/RBIs
Last 3-Game Average: 4 H/R/RBIs per game
Last 5-Game Average: 3.6 H/R/RBIs per game
Season Average: 2.862 H/R/RBIs per game
Confidence Score: 86
How Has This Prop Performed?
2 out of last 3 over
4 out of last 5 over
7 out of last 10 over
Key Analysis
Austin Hays’ OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs at -125 on ESPN Bet presents a strong play supported by both recent performance and favorable splits. Hays has gone over this line in 4 of his last five games, averaging an impressive 3.6 H/R/RBIs over his last five and 4 per game over his last three—well above the target number. His season average of 2.862 also signals long-term consistency. He draws a plus matchup against Daniel Lynch, a struggling lefty who has allowed 15 hits and 4 runs over his last 15 innings. Hays owns a .435 batting average vs LHP, a .343 average with RISP, and is hitting .429 (3-for-7) against Lynch specifically. With a Confidence Score of 86 and both data and matchup in his favor, this prop looks well-positioned to hit again.
Risk Factors
Likely a “bullpen” game
🎯 Ozzie Albies OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
Best Price: -110 BetMGM
Recent Performance
Last Game: 4 H/R/RBIs
Last 3-Game Average: 2.67 H/R/RBIs per game
Last 5-Game Average: 2.4 H/R/RBIs per game
Season Average: 1.827 H/R/RBIs per game
Confidence Score: 94
How Has This Prop Performed?
2 out of last 3 over
4 out of last 5 over
8 out of last 10 over
Key Analysis
Ozzie Albies’ OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs at -110 on BetMGM is a high-confidence play, backed by strong recent form and a favorable history against opposing pitcher Ranger Suárez. Albies has gone over this line in 4 of his last 5 games and 8 of his last 10, averaging 2.4 H/R/RBIs over the last 5—well above his season average of 1.827. While his season-long production is slightly under the line, recent momentum and matchup upside tilt this prop in his favor. Albies has crushed Suárez in his career, batting .300 with 3 home runs and 11 RBIs in just 20 at-bats. Despite a modest .236 average vs LHP, he’s a proven run producer with a .288 average with RISP. Suárez has allowed 22 hits and 10 runs in his last 24.1 innings, offering additional upside. With a Confidence Score of 94, this prop is one of the strongest on the board.
Risk Factors
May need help from others in lineup to cash
MLB Home Run Hitters Edge
MLB hitters with higher probability to hit a home run based on season stats, matchups with starting pitchers and other key stats (odds from DraftKings)
Ozzie Albies +700
Cody Bellinger +475
Juan Soto +370
Pete Crow-Armstrong +500
Today's Featured Props Recap
We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:
Best Value Plays
🔥 Kyle Schwarber OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-105 BetMGM)
Most consistent trend: 8/10 in L10
Averaging 2.6 H/R/RBIs per game over last 5
While Schwarber's .229 average vs RHP isn’t elite, his .931 OPS with runners in scoring position highlights his ability to deliver in high-leverage spots
Trending Overs
1. 📈 Austin Hays OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-125 ESPN Bet)
Hot streak: 4/5 in L5
Averaging 3.6 H/R/RBIs in L5
Hays owns a .435 batting average vs LHP, a .343 average with RISP, and is hitting .429 (3-for-7) against Lynch specifically
2. ⚡ Ozzie Albies OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-110 BetMGM)
8/L10 games going OVER
Averaging 2.4 H/R/RBIs in L5
Albies has crushed Suárez in his career, batting .300 with 3 home runs and 11 RBIs in just 20 at-bats,and Suárez has allowed 22 hits and 10 runs in his last 24.1 innings
All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.
As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!
— The WagerLens Team