Yesterday was a grind as we finished just about even, dropping only 0.16 units — essentially a break-even day. But today’s slate is stacked, and we’re locked in with four high-confidence plays ready to turn the corner and see some serious green. From red-hot hitters to reliable NRFI trends, we’ve got the edges to cash in big. Let’s get after it and finish the day in profit!

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Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

• Today's Featured Props Recap

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (07/26): 2-2 (50%; -0.16 Units)

MLB: 153-132 (54%; +20.5 Units)

July ‘25: 24-21 (53%; +2.14 Units)

All-Time: 278-233 (54%; +55.7 Units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 J.T. Realmuto OVER 0.5 Singles

Best Price: -130 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 1 single

• Last 3-Game Average: 0.66 1B/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 0.80 1B/G

• Season Average: 0.729 1B/G

• Confidence Score: 97

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 9 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

J.T. Realmuto OVER 0.5 Singles (-130 on DraftKings) looks like a sharp value play given his consistent recent production and favorable matchup. Realmuto has recorded at least one single in 9 of his last 10 games, including 4 of his last 5 and 2 of his last 3. His recent 5-game average of 0.80 singles per game is close to todays line, and he maintains a solid season average of 0.729. He’s hitting .310 against right-handed pitching this year and draws a soft contact matchup with Marcus Stroman, who has allowed 4.7 hits per start this season.

Risk Factors

• XBH will not cash

🎯 Miguel Vargas OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: +100 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 5 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: 3 H/R/RBIs per game

• Last 5-Game Average: 4.2 H/R/RBIs per game

• Season Average: 1.79 H/R/RBIs per game

• Confidence Score: 91

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Miguel Vargas OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+100 on DraftKings) offers great value given his recent surge at the plate. Vargas is averaging 4.2 H/R/RBIs over his last 5 games and has cleared this line in 8 of his last 10, including a 5 H/R/RBI performance in his most recent outing. His season average of 1.79 H/R/RBIs already hovers near the line, and his recent form suggests he's trending upward. He’ll face Cade Horton, who enters with a 4.04 ERA and has allowed 5.33 hits per game across 12 appearances—leaving plenty of opportunity for Vargas to stay hot.

Risk Factors

• Might depend on others in the lineup to help cash

🎯 Baltimore Orioles UNDER 5.5 Team Runs

Best Price: +100 on BetRivers

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 5 Runs

• Last 3-Game Average: 3.67 R/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 3.8 R/G

• Season Average: 4.09 R/G

• Confidence Score: 93

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 under

• 5 out of last 5 under

• 10 out of last 10 under

Key Analysis

Baltimore Orioles UNDER 5.5 Team Runs (+100 on BetRivers) stands out as a strong value based on both recent team trends and the opposing pitcher’s consistency. The Orioles have scored under 5.5 runs in 10 straight games, averaging just 3.67 runs over their last 3 and 3.8 over their last 5. Their season average of 4.09 runs per game also falls well below the line. They’ll face Antonio Senzatela, who has been solid, allowing more than 5 runs in just 2 of his last 10 starts.

Risk Factors

• Senzatela’s high ERA

🎯 Marlins @ Brewers NRFI

Best Price: -109 on Pinnacle

Recent Performance

• Last Game: NRFI

• Last 3-Game Average: Brewers 3/L3 NRFI Marlins 1/L3

• Last 5-Game Average: Brewers 5/L5 NRFI Marlins 3/L5

• Last 10-Game Average: Brewers 10/L10 NRFI Marlins 6/L10

Key Analysis

Marlins @ Brewers NRFI (-109 on Pinnacle) looks like a solid play backed by strong recent trends and reliable starting pitching. The Brewers have been a consistent NRFI team lately, hitting in 10 straight games and a perfect 5-for-5 over their last five. The Marlins have been more hit-or-miss but still managed the NRFI in 3 of their last 5. On the mound, Janson Junk (3.09 ERA) and José Quintana (3.49 ERA) both bring stability and effectiveness early in games, giving this play added support. With recent history and solid arms on the bump, this NRFI holds strong value at near-even odds.

Risk Factors

• Marlins have scored in first inning 2 of last 3

MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

MLB hitters with higher probability to hit a home run based on season stats, matchups with starting pitchers and other key stats

• Kyle Schwarber

• Ketel Marte

• Tyler O’Neill

• Manny Machado

Today's Featured Props Recap

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

1. 🔥 Miguel Vargas OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+100 DraftKings)

   • Most consistent trend: 8/10 in L10

   • Averaging 4.2 H/R/RBIs per game over last 5

   • Facing Cade Horton, who enters with a 4.04 ERA and has allowed 5.33 hits per game across 12 appearances

Trending Overs

1. 📈 J.T. Realmuto OVER 0.5 Singles (-130 DraftKings)

• Hot streak: 9/10 in L10

• Averaging 0.8 singles per game in L5

• He’s hitting .310 against right-handed pitching this year and draws a soft contact matchup with Marcus Stroman, who has allowed 4.7 hits per start this season

Trending Unders

1. 📉 Baltimore Orioles UNDER 5.5 Team Runs (+100 BetRivers)

• 10/L10 games staying UNDER

• Averaging just 3.8 R/G over last 5 games

• They’ll face Antonio Senzatela, who has been solid, allowing more than 5 runs in just 2 of his last 10 starts

2. ⬇️ Marlins @ Brewers NRFI (-109 Pinnacle)

• On the mound, Janson Junk (3.09 ERA) and José Quintana (3.49 ERA) both bring stability and effectiveness early in games, giving this play added support

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team