Hot Bats, Prop Picks & a Full MLB Slate

Marte, Yelich, and Kiner-Falefa Carry the Value

AuthorAuthor

Sage Davis & Brian McAbee
June 04, 2025

We’re kicking off June on a high note with a 4-2 record and +1.54 units in the bank. Today's full MLB slate — featuring several day games — gives us a great chance to keep the momentum rolling. We’ve got our eye on some high-value props and we’re ready to stay hot. Let’s cash.

Ready to Raise Your Betting Game?

Step up your game at WagerLens.com, where sharp bettors find their edge.

🔥 Unlock killer tools, exclusive data, expert insights, and a winning community.

Join WagerLens now and bet like a pro.

Don’t miss a play. Follow WagerLens on X for daily drops!

Table of Contents

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

MLB: 91-85 (52%; +10.7 Units)

June ‘25: 4-2 (67%; +1.54 Units)

All-Time: 216-186 (54%; +45.9 Units)

🎯 Ketel Marte OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -135 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 8 H/R/RBIs

  • Last 3-Game Average: 3.33 H/R/RBIs per game

  • Last 5-Game Average: 3 H/R/RBIs per game

  • Season Average: 2.294 H/R/RBIs per game

  • Confidence Score: 91

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 2 out of last 3 over

  • 4 out of last 5 over

  • 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Ketel Marte’s OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs prop is in a strong position heading into today’s matchup. Priced at -135 on DraftKings, the over has hit in 4 of his last 5 and 8 of his last 10 games, highlighting a consistent run of production. Marte is averaging 3 H/R/RBIs over his last 5 games, well above the required threshold, and his season average of 2.294 also supports value on the over. He’s coming off a dominant game with 8 H/R/RBIs, and his .733 OPS vs lefties bodes well against Chris Sale. While Sale has been solid overall, he’s allowed 34 hits and 7 earned runs in his last 44.1 IP, leaving the door open for a hot hitter like Marte to stay hot. With a confidence score of 91, this prop looks like a solid play today.

Risk Factors

  • .133 BA vs Sale

🎯 Christian Yelich OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -137 on Caesars

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 3 H/R/RBIs

  • Last 3-Game Average: 2 H/R/RBIs per game

  • Last 5-Game Average: 4.2 H/R/RBIs per game

  • Season Average: 2.136 H/R/RBIs per game

  • Confidence Score: 91

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 2 out of last 3 over

  • 4 out of last 5 over

  • 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Christian Yelich’s OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs prop is another high-upside spot today, listed at -137 on Caesars. Yelich has cleared this line in 8 of his last 10 games, including 4 of the last 5, showing excellent consistency. He’s averaged 4.2 H/R/RBIs over his last 5 games, nearly tripling the required mark, and his season average of 2.136 continues to support the over. He’s coming off a solid outing with 3 H/R/RBIs, and he holds a .333 batting average against starter Andrew Abbott, who has allowed 27 hits and 6 earned runs over his last 36.2 IP. With a confidence score of 91, Yelich is in a great spot to stay productive and cash this prop again.

Risk Factors

  • Yelich’s stats drop against LHP

🎯 Isiah Kiner-Falefa OVER 0.5 Singles

Best Price: -120 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 2 1B

  • Last 3-Game Average: 1.33 1B/G

  • Last 5-Game Average: 1.2 1B/G

  • Season Average: .837 1B/G

  • Confidence Score: 91

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 over

  • 5 out of last 5 over

  • 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s OVER 0.5 Singles prop, priced at -120 on FanDuel, offers strong value based on recent trends and matchup data. He’s hit this mark in 8 of his last 10 games, including a perfect 5-for-5 streak over his last five outings. Over that span, he’s averaged 1.2 singles per game, comfortably above the line, and his season average of .837 singles per game further supports the over. Kiner-Falefa is batting .331 against right-handed pitching with an .800 OPS, which aligns well with today’s matchup against Ryan Gusto, who has given up 24 hits in his last 22 innings. With a confidence score of 91, this prop has a strong statistical foundation and looks like a sharp play.

Risk Factors

  • XBH wont cash

MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

MLB hitters with higher probability to hit a home run based on season stats, matchups with starting pitchers and other key stats (odds from DraftKings)

  • Jose Ramirez +340

  • Jorge Soler +390

  • Austin Riley +330

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

  1. 🔥 Isiah Kiner-Falefa OVER 0.5 Singles (-120 FanDuel)

    • Most consistent trend: 5/5 in L5

    • Averaging 1.2 1B/G over last 5 games

    • Kiner-Falefa is batting .331 against right-handed pitching with an .800 OPS, which aligns well with today’s matchup against Ryan Gusto, who has given up 24 hits in his last 22 innings

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Ketel Marte OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-135 DraftKings)

  • Hot streak: 8/10 inL10

  • Averaging 3 H/R/RBIs per game in L5

  • He’s coming off a dominant game with 8 H/R/RBIs, and his .733 OPS vs lefties bodes well against Chris Sal

2. ⚡ Christian Yelich OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-137 Caesars)

  • 8/L10 games going OVER

  • Averaging 4.2 H/R/RBIs per game over last 5

  • He’s coming off a solid outing with 3 H/R/RBIs, and he holds a .333 batting average against starter Andrew Abbott, who has allowed 27 hits and 6 earned runs over his last 36.2 IP

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team