Yesterday didn’t go as planned—our ladder challenge ended on Day 3 after the Yankees batted around five times in the first seven innings, giving Goldschmidt more than enough chances to clear his line. Massive MLB slate today and were locked in ready to make some money.

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Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• Today's Featured Props Recap

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

NBA: 115-85 (57.5%; 42.4 Units)

MLB: 38-39 (49%; 11.6 Units)

Apr ‘25: 53-47 (53%; 23.6 Units)

All-Time: 163-139 (54%; 47.8 Units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Kyle Manzardo OVER 0.5 Hits

Best Price: -145 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 2 Hits

• Last 3-Game Average: 1.3 H/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 1 H/G

• Season Average: 0.769 H/G

• Confidence Score: 97

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 9 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Kyle Manzardo’s prop to go OVER 0.5 hits looks like a strong play based on both recent performance and matchup data. He’s cleared this line in 9 of his last 10 games, including each of his last 5, and is currently averaging 1.3 hits per game over his last 3 contests—well above his season average of 0.769 H/G. This upward trend signals improved form or better matchups. Supporting the case further, Pablo López, the opposing pitcher, has given up 20 hits in his last 21.2 innings pitched, suggesting Manzardo should have opportunities to get on base.

Risk Factors

• BA decreases against RHP

🎯 Aaron Judge OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Best Price: -115 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 5 TB

• Last 3-Game Average: 3.67 TB/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 2.8 TB/G

• Season Average: 2.767 TB/G

• Confidence Score: 90

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Aaron Judge’s OVER 1.5 total bases prop is backed by both elite form and a favorable matchup, making it a compelling play at -115 on ESPN Bet. Judge has gone over this line in 8 of his last 10 games, including each of his last 3, while posting a 3.67 TB average over his last 3 games—well above the required mark. His season average of 2.767 TB/G further reinforces his consistency. The matchup is especially juicy: he’s 1-for-1 with a home run against Povich, and owns a .476 batting average against left-handed pitchers. Additionally, Povich has allowed 34 hits over his last 25 innings, suggesting Judge will have plenty of chances to deliver again.

Risk Factors

• Povich has tallied 23 Ks

🎯 Pete Crow-Armstrong OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -135 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 4 H/R/RBI

• Last 3-Game Average: 2 H/R/RBI per Game

• Last 5-Game Average: 3.4 H/R/RBI per Game

• Season Average: 2.567 H/R/RBI per Game

• Confidence Score: 85

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 7 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Pete Crow-Armstrong’s OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs is a solid value play at -135 on ESPN Bet, especially considering his recent production and the matchup. He’s averaging 3.4 H/R/RBI over his last 5 games and has hit this prop in 4 of his last 5, with a strong season average of 2.567—well above the line. He also just delivered 4 combined H/R/RBI in his last outing, showing he's in rhythm at the plate. The matchup against Mlodzinski is favorable: the righty has surrendered 31 hits and 17 runs over his last 22 innings, and PCA has a .302 batting average vs RHP, along with 14 RBIs against them.

Risk Factors

• 0-2 career against Mlodzinski

🎯 Cincinnati Reds Moneyline (Game 1)

Best Price: -138 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

• Last Game: Won

• Last 3-Game Average: 3-0

• Last 5-Game Average: 5-0

• Season Average: 16-13

• Confidence Score: 75

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 won

• 5 out of last 5 won

Key Analysis

The Cincinnati Reds Moneyline (Game 1) at -138 on FanDuel offers solid value, backed by both current form and a statistical edge over their opponent. The Reds are red-hot, riding a 5-game win streak and winning each of their last 3, pushing their season record to 16-13. Their offensive production sits at 5.3 runs per game, while limiting opponents to 3.8 RPG, creating a clear run differential advantage over a Cardinals team that scores just 4.5 RPG and gives up 4.7. St. Louis starter Miles Mikolas has struggled out of the gate, going 0-2 with 15 earned runs and 27 hits allowed over 5 starts, signaling a prime opportunity for the Reds to stay hot.

Risk Factors

• Double header could keep Singer in longer than normal

Today's Featured Props Recap

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

1. 🔥 Aaron Judge OVER 1.5 Total Bases (-115 ESPN Bet)

   • Most consistent trend: 4/5 in L5

   • Averaging 2.8 TB.G over last 5

   • 1-for-1 with a home run against Povich, and owns a .476 batting average against left-handed pitchers. Additionally, Povich has allowed 34 hits over his last 25 innings

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Kyle Manzardo OVER 0.5 Hits (-145 DraftKings)

• Hot streak: 9/10 in L10

• Averaging 1 H/G in L5

• Pablo López, the opposing pitcher, has given up 20 hits in his last 21.2 innings pitched

2. ⚡ Pete Crow-Armstrong OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-135 ESPN Bet)

• 4/L5 games going OVER

• Averaging 3.4 H/R/RBIs per game over L5

• Mlodzinski has surrendered 31 hits and 17 runs over his last 22 innings, and PCA has a .302 batting average vs RHP, along with 14 RBIs against them

3. 💥 Cincinnati Reds Moneyline (Game 1) (-138 FanDuel)

• 5/L5 games Won

• Offensive production sits at 5.3 runs per game, while limiting opponents to 3.8 RPG, creating a clear run differential advantage over a Cardinals team that scores just 4.5 RPG and gives up 4.7. St

• Miles Mikolas has struggled out of the gate, going 0-2 with 15 earned runs and 27 hits allowed over 5 starts

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team