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Hot Starts & Full Slates: Chasing Back-to-Back Sweeps
Targeting value with steady hitters, a dominant ace, and a plus-money spot

We kicked off the week with a clean 4-0 sweep on Monday, banking 3.37 units of profit. Today, we’re looking to ride that momentum by targeting hot bats and strong arms across a full MLB slate — with action starting as early as 2:10 PM ET. We’re locked in and ready to keep cashing. Keep an eye out for our upcoming ladder challenge dropping soon.
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Table of Contents
📊 WagerLens Performance Review
MLB: 116-104 (53%; +13.4 Units)
June ‘25: 29-21 (58%; +4.26 Units)
All-Time: 241-206 (54%; +47.6 Units)
💎 Today’s Featured Props
🎯 Zack Wheeler UNDER 5.5 Hits Allowed
Best Price: -125 on DraftKings

Recent Performance
Last Game: 4 Hits
Last 3-Game Average: 3.67 H/G
Last 5-Game Average: 3.6 H/G
Season Average: 4.2 H/G
Confidence Score: 93
How Has This Prop Performed?
3 out of last 3 under
5 out of last 5 under
10 out of last 10 under
Key Analysis
Zack Wheeler has been lights out lately, making the under on 5.5 hits allowed a strong play. He’s stayed under this line in 10 straight starts, with a season average of just 4.2 hits allowed and a 5-game average of 3.6. Over his last three outings, he’s allowing only 3.67 hits per game. The matchup also works in his favor—the Astros have averaged just 7 hits per game over their last 3 and 8.59 on the season, trending slightly down. With Wheeler in dominant form and Houston’s offense cooling off, the under looks like the sharper side once again.
Risk Factors
Astros strong offense
🎯 Christian Yelich OVER 0.5 Total Bases
Best Price: -140 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance
Last Game: 5 TB
Last 3-Game Average: 3.33 TB/G
Last 5-Game Average: 3.6 TB/G
Season Average: 1.743 TB/G
Confidence Score: 91
How Has This Prop Performed?
3 out of last 3
5 out of last 5
8 out of last 10
Key Analysis
Christian Yelich is seeing the ball well, and the over on 0.5 total bases looks like a strong value despite the tough matchup. He’s cleared this number in 8 of his last 10 games, including 5 straight, with a 5-game average of 3.6 TB and a season mark of 1.743. He owns a .357 OBP vs righties and faces Paul Skenes, who’s allowed 3+ hits in 9 of his last 10 starts. While Skenes is a high-strikeout arm, Yelich’s recent consistency and ability to find barrels make him a solid bet to reach at least one base today.
Risk Factors
Skenes’ high K rate
🎯 Jake Mangum OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
Best Price: -135 on DraftKings

Recent Performance
Last Game: 3 H/R/RBIs
Last 3-Game Average: 1.67 H/R/RBIs per game
Last 5-Game Average: 2 H/R/RBIs per game
Season Average: 1.977 H/R/RBIs per game
Confidence Score: 89
How Has This Prop Performed?
2 out of last 3 over
4 out of last 5 over
8 out of last 10 over
Key Analysis
Jake Mangum has been producing steadily, making the over on 1.5 H/R/RBIs a solid play. He’s hit this mark in 4 of his last 5 games and 8 of his last 10, with a 5-game average of 2 per game—well above the line. His season average of 1.977 supports the consistency, and he’s showing strong on-base ability with a .377 OBP vs right-handed pitching. He faces Michael Wacha, who’s struggled mightily of late, allowing 41 hits and 16 runs over his last 7 starts. With Mangum’s recent form and a hittable arm on the mound, he’s in a great spot to stay productive.
Risk Factors
Wacha has been unpredictable, only allowed 2 H and 1 R in last start
🎯 Seattle Mariners Moneyline
Best Price: +116 on FanDuel

Recent Performance
Last Game: Win
Last 3-Game Average: 2-1
Last 5-Game Average: 3-2
Season Average: 40-37
Confidence Score: 80
How Has This Prop Performed?
2 out of last 3 won
3 out of last 5 won
7 out of last 10 won
Key Analysis
The Mariners are trending in the right direction and look like a solid value play on the moneyline at +116. They've won 7 of their last 10, including back-to-back wins in this series, and are going for the sweep today. Offensively, their bats have come alive, giving them the edge in a matchup against Joe Ryan, who—despite a strong 7-3 record—has allowed 2+ runs in each of his last 4 starts. The Twins’ bullpen has also been shaky with a 4.41 ERA. While George Kirby has been hittable at times, Seattle’s recent momentum and plus-money value make this a live dog worth backing.
Risk Factors
Uneven pitching matchup
Today's Featured Props Recap
We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:
Best Value Plays
🔥 Zack Wheeler UNDER 5.5 Hits Allowed (-125 DraftKings)
Most consistent trend: 10/10 in L10
Allowing an average of just 3.6 H/G over last 5 starts
The Astros have averaged just 7 hits per game over their last 3 and 8.59 on the season, trending slightly down
Trending Overs
1. 📈 Christian Yelich OVER 0.5 Total Bases (-140 ESPN Bet)
Hot streak: 5/5 in L5
Averaging 3.6 TB/G in L5
He owns a .357 OBP vs righties and faces Paul Skenes, who’s allowed 3+ hits in 9 of his last 10 starts
2. ⚡ Jake Mangum OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-135 DraftKings)
8/L10 games going OVER
Averaging 2 H/R/RBIs per game over last 5
His season average of 1.977 supports the consistency, and he’s showing strong on-base ability with a .377 OBP vs right-handed pitching
Watch List
1. ⚠️ Seattle Mariners Moneyline (+116 FanDuel)
Strong trend but features a lopsided pitching matchup favoring the Twins
Offensively, their bats have come alive, giving them the edge in a matchup against Joe Ryan, who—despite a strong 7-3 record—has allowed 2+ runs in each of his last 4 starts
The Twins’ bullpen has also been shaky with a 4.41 ERA and the Mariners bats have been hot
All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.
As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!
— The WagerLens Team