Hot Streak Report: MLB Edges That Sizzle

Back-to-back winning days—8-1 and heating up.

We kept the heat on with a 3-1 night, pushing our two-day record to 8-1. Momentum is clearly on our side, and it feels great to be dialed in. With a full 15-game MLB slate today, we’re locked in and ready to keep the streak alive.

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Table of Contents

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (05/08): 3-1 (75%; +2.12 Units)

MLB: 54-53 (50%; +9.84 Units)

NBA: 115-85 (58%; +42.38 Units)

May ‘25: 15-11 (58%; +.334 Units)

All-Time: 179-153 (54%; +46.03 Units)

🎯 Jonathan India OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -140 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 7 H/R/RBIs

  • Last 3-Game Average: 3.67 H/R/RBIs per Game

  • Last 5-Game Average: 3.4 H/R/RBIs per Game

  • Season Average: 1.6 H/R/RBIs per Game

  • Confidence Score: 91

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 over

  • 5 out of last 5 over

  • 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Jonathan India’s OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs at -140 on ESPN Bet is a data-backed pick with strong recent trends and a manageable matchup. India has cleared this line in 5 straight games and 8 of his last 10, averaging 3.4 H/R/RBIs over his last five—a full two units above the prop line. His last game explosion of 7 H/R/RBIs highlights his current form, and although his season average sits at 1.6, his recent surge clearly suggests he's well above that baseline right now. He faces Dobbins, who’s allowed 7 runs on 18 hits over his last 16.2 innings, signaling vulnerability that India is well-positioned to exploit.

Risk Factors

  • First time facing Dobbins

🎯 Jose Trevino OVER 0.5 Hits

Best Price: -145 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 3 Hits

  • Last 3-Game Average: 1 H/G

  • Last 5-Game Average: 1 H/G

  • Season Average: .897 H/G

  • Confidence Score: 91

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 1 out of last 3 over

  • 3 out of last 5 over

  • 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Jose Trevino’s OVER 0.5 Hits at -145 on FanDuel is a high-confidence play, supported by strong splits and a favorable pitching matchup. Trevino has recorded a hit in 8 of his last 10 games, maintaining a consistent 1 hit per game average over his last 3 and 5-game spans. He’s coming off a 3-hit performance, and although he’s only hit this line in 1 of his last 3, his overall rhythm and matchup suggest upside. He faces Hunter Brown, who has allowed 28 hits over his last 7 starts, and Trevino's bat heats up in the right spots—hitting .365 against righties and .372 on the road.

Risk Factors

  • Brown has a high K rate

🎯 Steven Kwan OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -125 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 3 H/R/RBIs

  • Last 3-Game Average: 3.0 H/R/RBIs per Game

  • Last 5-Game Average: 3.0 H/R/RBIs per Game

  • Season Average: 2.432 H/R/RBIs per Game

  • Confidence Score: 86

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 over

  • 5 out of last 5 over

Key Analysis

Steven Kwan’s OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs at -125 on ESPN Bet is well-supported by both his recent performance and matchup history. Kwan has cleared this line in five straight games, averaging a sharp 3.0 H/R/RBIs over both his last 3 and 5-game stretches—well above the required total. On the season, he's averaging 2.432, showing he's been consistent, not just hot. He also has a strong track record against Aaron Nola, going 3-for-3 with an RBI in their previous meetings. Nola has been hittable lately, allowing 21 runs on 41 hits over his last 41 innings, and Kwan thrives in these spots with a .336 average vs RHP and an impressive .407 with RISP.

Risk Factors

  • Nola has been returning to his usual form allowing just 1 run on 7 hits over his last 2 starts (13IP)

🎯 Bryse Wilson UNDER 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown

Best Price: +108 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 4 Ks

  • Last 3-Game Average: 2.33 K/G

  • Last 5-Game Average: 1.4 K/G

  • Season Average: 1.25 K/G

  • Confidence Score: 85

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 2 out of last 3 under

  • 4 out of last 5 under

  • 8 out of last 10 under

Key Analysis

Bryse Wilson’s UNDER 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown at +108 on FanDuel offers strong value backed by consistent trends and a low strikeout ceiling. Wilson has stayed under this number in 8 of his last 10 outings, averaging just 1.4 Ks over his last 5 games and 1.25 Ks on the season. Although he recorded 4 strikeouts in his most recent start, that appears to be more of an outlier than a trend. The matchup also leans toward the under: yesterday’s starter for the White Sox managed only 2 Ks, and 5 of the last 10 starters against Miami have thrown under 3.5 Ks.

Risk Factors

  • Marlins High K rate

MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

MLB hitters with higher probability to hit a home run based on season stats, matchups with starting pitchers and other key stats (odds from DraftKings)

  • Gleyber Torres +500

  • Pete Alonso +235

  • Steven Kwan +1200

  • Wilmer Flores +700

  • Freddie Freeman +550

  • Cal Raleigh +240

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

  1. 🔥 Steven Kwan OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-125 ESPN Bet)

    • Most consistent trend: 5/5 in L5

    • Averaging 3 H/R/RBIs per game over last 5 games

    • Strong track record against Aaron Nola, going 3-for-3 with an RBI in their previous meetings. Nola has been hittable lately, allowing 21 runs on 41 hits over his last 41 innings, and Kwan thrives in these spots with a .336 average vs RHP and an impressive .407 with RISP

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Jonathan India OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-140 ESPN Bet)

  • Hot streak: 5/5 in L5

  • Averaging 3.4 H/R/RBIs per game in L5

  • Facing Dobbins, who’s allowed 7 runs on 18 hits over his last 16.2 innings

2. ⚡ Jose Trevino OVER 0.5 Hits (-145 FanDuel)

  • 8/L10 games going OVER

  • Averaging 1 H/G over his last 5 games

  • Facing Hunter Brown, who has allowed 28 hits over his last 7 starts, and Trevino's bat heats up in the right spots—hitting .365 against righties and .372 on the road

Watch List

1. ⚠️ Bryse Wilson UNDER 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+108 FanDuel)

  • Strong trend but Marlins have a high K rate (8.94 K/G)

  • Wilson has stayed under this number in 8 of his last 10 outings, averaging just 1.4 Ks over his last 5 games and 1.25 Ks on the season

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team