We switched up the format the last few days, and the results have spoken for themselves—multiple props have cashed, and the reads have been sharp. Today, we’re looking to keep that momentum rolling with another slate of high-confidence straight plays that show real value. It’s a full day of MLB action with games starting as early as 11:35 AM ET, so the edges come early and often. Whether you're locking in a few picks before lunch or riding the full card through the afternoon, we've got you covered with plays built to bring profit. Let’s stay sharp and stack some wins—time to get this money.

Ready to Raise Your Betting Game?

Step up your game at WagerLens.com, where sharp bettors find their edge.

🔥 Unlock killer tools, exclusive data, expert insights, and a winning community.

Join WagerLens now and bet like a pro.

Don’t miss a play. Follow WagerLens on X for daily drops!

Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

• Today's Featured Props Recap

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

MLB: 109-102 (52%; +9.62 Units)

June ‘25: 22-19 (54%; +0.477 Units)

All-Time: 234-204 (53%; +43.8 Units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Ronald Acuna OVER 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: +100 on Caesars

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 6 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: 3.67 H/R/RBIs per game

• Last 5-Game Average: 3.4 H/R/RBIs per game

• Season Average: 3 H/R/RBIs per game

• Confidence Score: 93

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Ronald Acuña Jr. is heating up and looks primed to clear this 2.5 H/R/RBI line again. He's averaging 3.67 over his last 3 games and 3.4 over his last 5, both well above the mark. His season-long average of 3 further supports consistency, and he’s hit this line in 8 of his last 10 games. The matchup is a favorable one too — Acuña owns a .276 batting average and .999 OPS against Sandy Alcantara across 29 ABs, and he's been crushing righties with a 1.309 OPS. Alcantara has struggled mightily, posting a 6.88 ERA while surrendering 36 hits and 23 earned runs over his last 37 innings. With form, history, and matchup all lining up, this is a strong plus-money play.

Risk Factors

• Only 12 hits and 4 ER over last 3 starts for Alcantara

🎯 Brandon Lowe OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -135 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 3 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: 1.67 H/R/RBIs per game

• Last 5-Game Average: 2.6 H/R/RBIs per game

• Season Average: 2.236 H/R/RBIs per game

• Confidence Score: 93

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 1 out of last 3 over

• 3 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Brandon Lowe has been quietly consistent and offers strong value on this 1.5 H/R/RBI line. Despite hitting the over in just 1 of his last 3, he’s cleared it in 3 of his last 5 and 8 of his last 10 games — a solid 80% hit rate over that stretch. His season average sits at 2.236, and he’s posted 2.6 over his last 5, showing recent form is trending up. He faces Casey Mize, who’s allowed at least 2 earned runs and 5+ hits in three straight outings. Lowe also owns a solid .866 OPS vs righties and is 1-for-3 lifetime vs Mize. Given the matchup and recent momentum, this prop looks like a high-confidence play.

Risk Factors

• Mize carries a 2.96 ERA

🎯 Ernie Clement OVER 0.5 Singles

Best Price: -150 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 2 1B

• Last 3-Game Average: 1.33 1B/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 1.4 1B/G

• Season Average: .716 1B/G

• Confidence Score: 96

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 9 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Ernie Clement’s singles prop sits at 0.5, and he’s been one of the more reliable hitters in this market recently. He’s cleared this line in 9 of his last 10 games and 4 of his last 5, averaging 1.4 singles per game over that recent stretch. His season average is a more modest 0.716, but he’s clearly in a groove right now, especially in June where he's batting .366. He draws a favorable matchup against Adrian Houser, who has surrendered 25 hits across his last five starts and 6+ in each of his last three. With strong recent form and a hittable opponent, Clement is well-positioned to notch at least one base hit today.

Risk Factors

• Clement stats drop against RHP

🎯 Wyatt Langford OVER 0.5 Singles

Best Price: -115 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 1 1B

• Last 3-Game Average: .67 1B/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 1 1B/G

• Season Average: .562 1B/G

• Confidence Score: 92

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Wyatt Langford is in a good spot to cash this singles prop at just 0.5. He’s hit safely in 4 of his last 5 games and 8 of his last 10, averaging a single per game over that recent stretch — well above his season average of 0.562. He’s also been solid against left-handed pitching with a .824 OPS and holds a .711 OPS in June. Facing Bailey Falter, who’s allowed at least 5 hits in each of his last 3 starts and 28 total over his last 7, Langford has a favorable path to getting on base. With consistent recent form and a hittable lefty on the mound, this prop carries strong value at near-even money.

Risk Factors

• First time facing Falter

🎯 Oneil Cruz UNDER 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -135 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 2 H/R/RBIs per game

• Last 3-Game Average: .67 H/R/RBIs per game

• Last 5-Game Average: 1 H/R/RBIs per game

• Season Average: 1.824 H/R/RBIs per game

• Confidence Score: 91

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 under

• 5 out of last 5 under

• 9 out of last 10 under

Key Analysis

Oneil Cruz has been in a prolonged slump, making the under on 2.5 H/R/RBIs an appealing play. He’s gone under this line in 9 of his last 10 games, including a clean 5-for-5 stretch most recently, with a 3-game average of just 0.67 and a 5-game average of 1.0. His season mark of 1.824 still falls short of the line, and his .172 batting average in June highlights just how cold he’s been. While Jack Leiter has been hittable — giving up 30 hits and 17 runs over his last 7 starts — Cruz hasn’t taken advantage of similar spots. Despite a solid OBP vs righties, his lack of recent production makes the under the sharper side here.

Risk Factors

• Leiter 10 runs, 13 hits and 6 BB over last 2 starts

MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

MLB hitters with higher probability to hit a home run based on season stats, matchups with starting pitchers and other key stats (odds from DraftKings)

• Aaron Judge +165

• Trevor Story +475

• TJ Friedl +450

• Eugenio Suarez +225

• Alec Bohm +550

Today's Featured Props Recap

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

1. 🔥 Ronald Acuna OVER 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+100 Caesars)

   • Most consistent trend: 8/10 in L10

   • Averaging 2.4 H/R/RBIs per game over last 5

   • Acuña owns a .276 batting average and .999 OPS against Sandy Alcantara across 29 ABs, and he's been crushing righties with a 1.309 OPS

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Brandon Lowe OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-135 ESPN Bet)

• Hot streak: 8/10 in L10

• Averaging 2.6 H/R/RBIs per game in L5

• Facing Casey Mize, who’s allowed at least 2 earned runs and 5+ hits in three straight outings

2. ⚡ Ernie Clement OVER 0.5 Singles (-150 FanDuel)

• 9/L10 games going OVER

• Averaging 1.4 1B/G over last 5

• Draws a favorable matchup against Adrian Houser, who has surrendered 25 hits across his last five starts and 6+ in each of his last three

3. 💥 Wyatt Langford OVER 0.5 Singles (-115 ESPN Bet)

• 8/L10 games going OVER

• Averaging 1 1B/G over last 5 games

• Facing Bailey Falter, who’s allowed at least 5 hits in each of his last 3 starts and 28 total over his last 7

Trending Unders

1. 📉 Oneil Cruz UNDER 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-135 DraftKings)

• 5/L5 games staying UNDER

• Averaging 1 H/R/RBIs per game over last 5

• His season mark of 1.824 still falls short of the line, and his .172 batting average in June highlights just how cold he’s been

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team