Locked In and Dialed Up: Staying Hot with Today’s Best Edges

Jazz stays hot, Berríos looks to go deep, and Naylor keeps mashing vs RHP

We’re heating up with a 59% win rate in June and momentum on our side. Day 1 of the ladder challenge cashed, and now we’re rolling into Day 2 with confidence. It’s a full MLB slate packed with high-potential matchups, and we’re dialed in for a big day. Let’s sweep the board and keep climbing that ladder.

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Table of Contents

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

MLB: 118-105 (53%; +13.92 Units)

June ‘25: 31-22 (59%; +4.77 Units)

All-Time: 243-207 (54%; +48.11 Units)

🪜 WagerLens Ladder Challenge

A betting ladder challenge is where you start with a small stake and try to grow it by making a series of consecutive bets, reinvesting all winnings each time. You usually bet on heavy favorites to lower the risk. If you win every step, your small start can turn into a big payout — but if you lose once, the ladder ends.

  • Day 1: $20 -> $36.96 ✅

  • Day 2: $36.96 → $ ❓

  • Josh Naylor OVER 0.5 Hits (-250 DraftKings)

  • Nico Hoerner OVER 0.5 Hits (-215 DraftKings)

🎯 Jazz Chisholm OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: +100 on Caesars

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 4 H/R/RBIs

  • Last 3-Game Average: 2.33 H/R/RBIs per game

  • Last 5-Game Average: 3 H/R/RBIs per game

  • Season Average: 2.02 H/R/RBIs per game

  • Confidence Score: 92

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 2 out of last 3 over

  • 4 out of last 5 over

  • 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Jazz Chisholm is locked in at the plate, and the over on 1.5 H/R/RBIs offers strong value at even money. He’s cleared this number in 8 of his last 10 games, including 4 of his last 5, with a 5-game average of 3 and a season average of 2.02. He also holds a .333 OBP vs right-handed pitching and faces Mitch Spence, who has allowed 7+ hits in each of his last two outings. With Jazz swinging a hot bat and drawing a hittable arm, he’s in a great position to stay productive and clear this line once again.

Risk Factors

  • .240 Batting Average against RHP

🎯 Jose Berrios OVER 17.5 Outs

Best Price: -116 on Pinnacle

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 23 Outs

  • Last 3-Game Average: 19 Outs/G

  • Last 5-Game Average: 18.6 Outs/G

  • Season Average: 17.812 Outs/G

  • Confidence Score: 89

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 2 out of last 3 over

  • 4 out of last 5 over

  • 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

José Berríos has been reliable deep into games, and the over on 17.5 outs is well-supported by recent trends. He’s cleared this line in 4 of his last 5 starts and 8 of his last 10, averaging 18.6 outs over his last 5 and 19 over his last 3. His season average sits just above the mark at 17.812, showing he consistently hovers around this line. He faces a Red Sox team that has lost five straight and is striking out 9.34 times per game, which should help keep his pitch count manageable. With recent form, matchup momentum, and a solid pitch efficiency track record, Berríos looks poised to go six full innings or more once again.

Risk Factors

  • Boston averaging 2.54 runs in first 5 this season

🎯 Josh Naylor OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -137 on Caesars

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 5 H/R/RBIs

  • Last 3-Game Average: 3.67 H/R/RBIs per game

  • Last 5-Game Average: 3 H/R/RBIs per game

  • Season Average: 2.421 H/R/RBIs per game

  • Confidence Score: 98

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 over

  • 4 out of last 5 over

  • 9 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Josh Naylor is on an absolute tear, and the over on 1.5 H/R/RBIs looks like one of the strongest plays on the board. He’s cleared this number in 9 of his last 10 games, including 4 of his last 5 and each of the last 3, with a scorching 3.67 average over his last 3 outings. His season mark sits at 2.421, and he’s been crushing right-handed pitching with a .335 batting average. He faces Eury Pérez, who’s struggled since returning—posting a 6.17 ERA and allowing at least 4 hits in each of his 3 starts. With elite recent production and a soft matchup, Naylor is in a prime spot to stay hot.

Risk Factors

  • Cashing could depend on others in the lineup to perform

MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

MLB hitters with higher probability to hit a home run based on season stats, matchups with starting pitchers and other key stats (odds from DraftKings)

  • Ben Rice +300

  • Pete Alonso +400

  • Junior Caminero +400

  • Manny Machado +275

  • Steven Kwan +750

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

  1. 🔥 Jazz Chisholm OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+100 Caesars)

    • Most consistent trend: 8/10 in L10

    • Averaging 3 H/R/RBIs per game over last 5

    • Jazz holds a .333 OBP vs right-handed pitching and faces Mitch Spence, who has allowed 7+ hits in each of his last two outings

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Jose Berrios OVER 17.5 Outs (-116 Pinancle)

  • Hot streak: 8/10 in L10

  • Averaging 18.6 outs per game in L5

  • He faces a Red Sox team that has lost five straight and is striking out 9.34 times per game, which should help keep his pitch count manageable

2. ⚡ Josh Naylor OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-137 Caesars)

  • 9/L10 games going OVER

  • Averaging 3.67 H/R/RBIs per game over last 3

  • He faces Eury Pérez, who’s struggled since returning—posting a 6.17 ERA and allowing at least 4 hits in each of his 3 starts

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team