We’ve started October hot, 10-2 on the week and up +7.34 units, and the goal now is to keep that momentum rolling into the Division Series. The ALDS and NLDS always bring fresh opportunities for value, with teams tightening rotations, leaning on bullpens, and matchups becoming more defined. We’ve identified several props that stand out as strong edges, and with playoff intensity in full swing, the board is setting up for another profitable run.

Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• Today's Featured Props Recap

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

MLB: 232-207 (53%; +19.43 Units)

October ‘25: 5-1 (83%; +3.54 Units)

All-Time: 388-343 (53%; +56.7 Units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Luis Gil OVER 12.5 Outs

Best Price: -117 on Pinnacle

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 15 outs

• Last 3-Game Average: 15.67 outs

• Last 5-Game Average: 16.6 outs

• Season Average: 15.545 outs

• Confidence Score: 93

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 5 out of last 5 over

• 10 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Luis Gil’s outs line is set at 12.5, and the data screams value on the over. He’s cleared this mark in 10 straight games, including all of his last five, averaging 15.5 outs per start on the season. His recent form is just as strong, with 15.67 outs over his last three and 16.6 over his last five, consistently working deep enough to surpass this line with room to spare. In his last start against the Blue Jays, he went 18 outs, showing he can handle this exact matchup. With a 93 confidence score and a proven track record of efficiency and durability, 12.5 looks like a soft number for a pitcher who’s been automatic at covering this line.

Risk Factors

• Strong Blue Jays offense is well rested

🎯 J.P. Crawford OVER 0.5 Total Bases

Best Price: -120 on Caesars

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 1 TB

• Last 3-Game Average: 0.67 TB/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 0.6 TB/G

• Season Average: 1.344 TB/G

• Confidence Score: 85

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 3 out of last 5 over

• 7 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

J.P. Crawford’s total bases line is set at just 0.5, and the numbers suggest value on the over. He’s averaging 1.34 TB per game this season and has gone over in 7 of his last 10, including 2 of his last 3. While his short-term averages (0.6–0.67 TB over his last 3–5 games) show some volatility, Crawford has a solid track record against right-handed pitching with a .745 OPS vs RHP. The projected matchup is favorable too, Troy Melton has allowed 9 hits and 8 earned runs over his last 10 innings, giving Crawford a strong opportunity to capitalize. With a confidence score of 85, this sets up as a high-probability spot for him to notch at least a single base hit and clear the number.

Risk Factors

• With Tigers starting a rookie reliever they will likely be making use of their bullpen

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🎯 Ben Rice OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: +106 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 0 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: 3.67 H/R/RBIs per game

• Last 5-Game Average: 2.8 H/R/RBIs per game

• Season Average: 1.87 H/R/RBIs per game

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 3 out of last 5 over

• 7 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Ben Rice’s line of 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs offers appealing value at plus money. Despite going hitless in his last outing, he’s been highly productive recently, averaging 3.67 H/R/RBIs over his last three games and 2.8 over his last five, both well above this line. On the season, he sits at 1.87 H/R/RBIs per game, showing consistent involvement in the Yankees’ offense. He’s cleared in 7 of his last 10 games, including 2 of the last 3, making him a strong candidate to stay hot. The matchup adds confidence: Rice owns an .869 OPS vs right-handed pitching, and he’ll face Kevin Gausman, who has a 3.59 ERA but has given up 5.8 hits per game over his last five starts. Given Rice’s recent form and platoon edge, this looks like a strong spot for him to contribute across multiple categories.

Risk Factors

• Gausman is well rested and has as many as 10 strikeouts in a single game this season

Think line movement doesn’t matter? Think again.

Price shifts are where the market shows its hand. Knowing how to read them can be the edge between cashing and chasing.

Today's Featured Props Recap

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

1. 🔥 Ben Rice OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+106 DraftKings)

   • Most consistent trend: 7/10 in L10

   • Averaging 2.8 H/R/RBIs per game over last 5 games

   • The matchup adds confidence: Rice owns an .869 OPS vs right-handed pitching, and he’ll face Kevin Gausman, who has a 3.59 ERA but has given up 5.8 hits per game over his last five starts

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Luis Gil OVER 12.5 Outs (-117 Pinancle)

• Hot streak: 10/10 in L10

• Averaging 16.6 outs per game in L5

• In his last start against the Blue Jays, he went 18 outs, showing he can handle this exact matchup

2. ⚡ J.P. Crawford OVER 0.5 Total Bases (-120 Caesars)

• 7/L10 games going OVER

• Averaging 1.344 TB/G this season

• The projected matchup is favorable too, Troy Melton has allowed 9 hits and 8 earned runs over his last 10 innings, giving Crawford a strong opportunity to capitalize

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team