MNF Double-Header: Bengals @ Broncos and Jets @ Dolphins

Targeting Value: 3 Props Backed by Clear Trends

It’s been a tough month, no question, but we’re still grinding and looking to flip the momentum. Yesterday we came up just short, missing profit by only 5 rushing yards from Baker Mayfield, and finished down just over a unit. Tonight we’re keeping it simple with three focused props across two contests, aiming for a clean 3.12 units of profit. Tomorrow kicks off the MLB postseason, and we’ll have a full breakdown of the bracket and matchups ready for you.

Don’t forget to jump into our MLB Postseason Bracket Challenge where the winner takes home $50!

Table of Contents

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (09/28): 5-6 (50%; -1.42 Units)

NFL: 30-36 (45%; -1.44 Units)

September ‘25: 45-56 (45%; -7.15 Units)

All-Time: 378-341 (53%; +49.36 Units)

🎯 Garrett Wilson OVER 63.5 Receiving Yards

Best Price: -112 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 84 yards

  • Last 3-Game Average: 76.3 Yds/G

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 2 out of last 3 over

Key Analysis

Garrett Wilson’s receiving line sits at 63.5 yards, and the over looks well-supported by both usage and production. He’s averaging more than 76 yards across his last three games, with an 84-yard performance last week, and has gone over this mark in two of those three contests. The volume is what really stands out, he’s averaging seven catches per game and just hauled in 10 receptions in his last outing. At 10.9 yards per reception, the combination of steady targets and efficient gains gives him multiple paths to clear this number, making it a strong angle in the current form he’s showing.

Risk Factors

  • Justin Fields was just 3/11 before going out with a concussion in his last game

🎯 J.K. Dobbins OVER 64.5 Rushing Yards

Best Price: -114 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 83 yards

  • Last 3-Game Average: 74 Yds/g

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 2 out of last 3 over

Key Analysis

J.K. Dobbins’ rushing line is set at 64.5 yards, and the over looks reasonable given his current workload and efficiency. He’s averaging 74 rushing yards across his last three games, with 83 last week, and has cleared this number in two of those outings. The Bengals’ run defense showed cracks recently, giving up 116 yards to Jordan Mason, and they allow a similar yards-per-carry rate to the Chargers, a matchup where Dobbins ripped off 7.5 yards per attempt. On the season, he’s averaging 13.7 carries per game at 5.3 yards per rush, giving him both volume and explosiveness. With a favorable matchup and strong form, this line looks well within his range.

Risk Factors

  • RJ Harvey gets more touches than previous games decreasing Dobbins volume

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🎯 Courtland Sutton Anytime TD

Best Price: +135 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 1 TD

  • Last 3-Game Average: 0.67 TD/G

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 2 out of last 3 TD

Key Analysis

Courtland Sutton’s Anytime TD prop at +135 offers solid value considering his role in Denver’s passing attack. He’s found the end zone in two of his last three games and is averaging nearly seven targets per contest, making him a consistent red-zone option. The Bengals have struggled to contain opposing passing attacks, allowing two passing touchdowns per game on average, which sets up well for Sutton’s chances. With steady volume and a quarterback who looks his way in scoring situations, Sutton has a clear path to cashing this plus-money play.

Risk Factors

  • JK Dobbins has a TD in each game this season and could steal red zone opportunity

Think line movement doesn’t matter? Think again.

Price shifts are where the market shows its hand. Knowing how to read them can be the edge between cashing and chasing.

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

  1. 🔥 Garrett Wilson OVER 63.5 Receiving Yards (-112 FanDuel)

    • Most consistent trend: 2/3 in L3

    • Averaging 76.3 Yds/G over the last 3 games

    • The volume is what really stands out, he’s averaging seven catches per game and just hauled in 10 receptions in his last outing

Trending Overs

1. 📈 J.K. Dobbins OVER 64.5 Rushing Yards (-114 FanDuel)

  • Hot streak: 2/3 in L3

  • Averaging 74 Yds/G in L3 games

  • On the season, he’s averaging 13.7 carries per game at 5.3 yards per rush, giving him both volume and explosiveness

Watch List

1. ⚠️ Courtland Sutton Anytime TD (+135 DraftKings)

  • Strong trend but JK Dobbins has been extremely productive and has scored a TD in every game this season

  • The Bengals have struggled to contain opposing passing attacks, allowing two passing touchdowns per game on average

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team