The reads weren’t far off yesterday, but we ended up on the wrong side of the margins. Russell Wilson finished just 2 pass attempts shy, Rhamondre Stevenson missed by 3 yards, and the Cowboys were the lone leg to bust our moneyline parlay after letting the Bears run wild. That swung the day to a 3.25-unit loss. Today we’re keeping things simple and leaning on the data. Three plays we trust to put us back on track and back in the green for September.

Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• Ready to Raise Your Betting Game?

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (09/21): 2-5 (29%; -3.25 Units)

NFL: 23-25 (48%; +3.14 Units)

September ‘25: 34-41 (45%; -2.01 Units)

All-Time: 367-326 (53%; +51.45 Units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Lamar Jackson UNDER 19.5 Pass Completions

Best Price: -125 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 19 Completions

• Season Average: 16.5 Completions/G

Key Analysis

Jackson needed 29 pass attempts last week just to hit 19 completions, and he’s averaging a 69% completion rate so far this season. To clear 19.5, he’d likely need another ~29 attempts. That’s tough to bank on considering his career average is only 25 attempts per game. Baltimore’s offense still leans on the run, keeping his volume capped more often than not.

Risk Factors

• Run game gets shut down again and Lamar has to use his arm to stay in the game

🎯 DeAndre Hopkins OVER 19.5 Receiving Yards

Best Price: -107 BetRivers

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 64 Yards

• Season Average: 49.5 Yds/G

Key Analysis

Hopkins has been ultra-efficient to start the season, 4 catches on 4 targets for an average of 24.75 yards per reception. That means he technically only needs one catch to cash this line. With a season average nearly 2.5x higher than tonight’s number, this prop feels like a clear case of the books not fully adjusting to his role and usage.

Risk Factors

• Lions allowing the 12th lowest passing yards in the NFL

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🎯 Jared Goff OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

Best Price: -114 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 5 TDs

• Season Average: 3 TD/G

Key Analysis

Goff is distributing the ball well, with 6 passing touchdowns already spread across 4 different receivers this season. The Ravens have been vulnerable through the air, giving up 2 passing TDs per game. With Detroit’s offense clicking and multiple red-zone threats, Goff has multiple avenues to clear this number.

Risk Factors

• Run game is working and limited possessions to get 2+ passing TD

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team