We went 2-2 yesterday, narrowly missing profitability thanks to a brutal baserunning blunder by the ever-chaotic Yankees. But today’s card brings clarity — and it’s all about the arms. We’ve dug deep into the pitching matchups, hunting value in strikeouts, outs recorded, and even some juicy earned run spots. Confidence is high, the data checks out, and we’re ready to bounce back with a strong day on the bump.

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Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• Today's Featured Props Recap

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (08/02): 2-2 (50%; -0.21 Units)

MLB: 163-145 (53%; +16.3 Units)

August ‘25: 4-5 (44%; -1.6 Units)

All-Time: 288-246 (54%; +51.5 Units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Jacob DeGrom OVER 1.5 Earned Runs

Best Price: -145 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 5 ER

• Last 3-Game Average: 2.67 ER/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 2.6 ER/G

• Season Average: 1.667 ER/G

• Confidence Score: 75

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

Key Analysis

Jacob deGrom hasn’t looked quite like his dominant self lately, allowing 5 earned runs in his last outing and averaging 2.67 ER over his last 3 starts. He’s gone over this 1.5 mark in 4 of his last 5, and while his season ERA sits at 1.667, recent form suggests he's more hittable than the numbers imply. The Mariners come in averaging 4.67 runs per game over their last 3, and with deGrom still finding his rhythm, there’s a solid window for Seattle to scratch out a couple runs. Backed by a 75 confidence score, this over leans into current trends over long-term reputation.

Risk Factors

• DeGrom has been inconsistent

🎯 Edward Cabrera OVER 15.5 Outs

Best Price: -105 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 18 Outs

• Last 3-Game Average: 15.67 Outs/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 17.8 Outs/G

• Season Average: 15.667 Outs/G

• Confidence Score: 85

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 7 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Edward Cabrera has shown solid length in recent starts, averaging 17.8 outs over his last 5 games and logging two 7-inning outings in that span. He’s cleared this line in 4 of his last 5 and 7 of his last 10, with a season average of 15.67 outs per game. He faces a Yankees lineup that was shut out yesterday and has struggled to find consistency at the plate. With Cabrera showing good form and efficiency, this is a great spot to back him to get through at least 5.1 innings, especially at near-even money.

Risk Factors

• Yankees offense has the ability to turn up the heat

🎯 Sean Burke OVER 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown

Best Price: -135 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 8 SO

• Last 3-Game Average: 6 SO/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 5 SO/G

• Season Average: 4.429 SO/G

• Confidence Score: 93

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Sean Burke has been finding his rhythm, clearing this line in 8 of his last 10 starts and averaging 6 strikeouts over his last 3 games. He’s coming off an 8-strikeout performance and holds a 93 confidence score heading into today’s matchup. He faces an Angels lineup that’s averaging just over 9 strikeouts per game, including 8 Ks yesterday against the White Sox starter in just 6.1 innings. With recent form trending up and a strikeout-prone opponent, Burke is in a strong spot to hit the over once again.

Risk Factors

• Todays line is higher than season average

Today's Featured Props Recap

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

1. 🔥 Edward Cabrera OVER 15.5 Outs (-105 DraftKings)

   • Most consistent trend: 4/5 in L5

   • Averaging 17.8 outs per game over his lat 5 starts

   • He faces a Yankees lineup that was shut out yesterday and has struggled to find consistency at the plate

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Jacob DeGrom OVER 1.5 Earned Runs (-145 DraftKings)

• Hot streak: 4/5 in last 5

• Averaging 2.6 ER/G in L5

• The Mariners come in averaging 4.67 runs per game over their last 3, and with DeGrom still finding his rhythm, there’s a solid window for Seattle to scratch out a couple runs

2. ⚡ Sean Burke OVER 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-135 DraftKings)

• 8/L10 games going OVER

• Averaging 6 SO/G over L3

• He faces an Angels lineup that’s averaging just over 9 strikeouts per game, including 8 Ks yesterday against the White Sox starter in just 6.1 innings

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team