We bounced back in a big way last Sunday, cashing 7 of 9 props to start the NFL season strong. This week, we’ve zeroed in on 6 props with favorable matchups, many of which look mispriced compared to Week 1 performances. The edges are there if you know where to look, and these spots stand out as the best opportunities heading into the slate.

Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• Ready to Raise Your Betting Game?

• NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer Edge

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

NFL: 15-11 (58%; +3.18 Units)

September ‘25: 20-21 (49%; -1.7 Units)

All-Time: 353-306 (54%; +51.75 Units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Aaron Jones OVER 18.5 Receiving Yards

Best Price: -113 on BetRivers

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 44 Receiving Yards

Key Analysis

Aaron Jones’ line of 18.5 receiving yards is set low considering he more than doubled this total last week. With McCarthy still getting comfortable under center in the NFL, check-downs to Jones are a good way for him to avoid a sack and get positive yards. Jones achieved last weeks total with just 3 receptions meaning he was averaging 14.7 yards per catch, just below today’s total.

Risk Factors

• Falcons allowed limited rushing and receiving yards to RB last week against the Buccaneers

🎯 Lamar Jackson UNDER 26.5 Pass Attempts

Best Price: -105 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 19 Pass Attempts

Key Analysis

Lamar Jackson’s UNDER 26.5 pass attempts sets up well when you consider both his usage patterns and the defensive matchup. He threw just 19 times in his last game, and historically he averages fewer attempts per game than most top quarterbacks, relying more on Baltimore’s run-heavy scheme. The Browns’ defense adds another layer of support: they held Joe Burrow, who averaged nearly 10 more attempts per game than Jackson last season, to just 23 attempts and 113 yards last week. With Cleveland’s ability to pressure quarterbacks and Baltimore’s tendency to lean on their ground game to control tempo, the game script projects fewer dropbacks for Jackson. At -105 on ESPN Bet, the under looks like a strong angle if the Ravens stick to their identity.

Risk Factors

• Ravens fall behind and need to pass more to gain larger chunks of yards

Ready to Raise Your Betting Game?

Step up your game at WagerLens.com, where sharp bettors find their edge.

🔥 Unlock killer tools, exclusive data, expert insights, and a winning community.

Join WagerLens now and bet like a pro.

Don’t miss a play. Follow WagerLens on X for daily drops!

🎯 James Cook OVER 13.5 Receiving Yards

Best Price: -112 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 58 Receiving Yards

Key Analysis

James Cook’s OVER 13.5 receiving yards looks appealing given both his recent involvement and the matchup. He hauled in 5 catches for 58 yards last week, showing he’s being trusted as a reliable outlet in the passing game. That usage aligns well with his skillset, as he averaged 11.6 yards per catch in the opener. The Steelers just allowed opposing running backs to grab 5 receptions for 26 yards, suggesting checkdowns and screens can be effective against their defense. While Cook’s 2023 season average sat at 15 receiving yards per game, his current role signals an uptick in passing involvement. With even a couple of targets, Cook has the ability to clear this modest line of 13.5, making the over at -112 on FanDuel a reasonable play.

Risk Factors

• Cook gets less targets or is unable to turn his targets into gains

🎯 Aaron Rodgers OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns

Best Price: +134 on Pinnacle

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 4 Passing Touchdowns

Key Analysis

Aaron Rodgers’ OVER 1.5 passing touchdowns at +134 on Pinnacle offers strong value when you line up his recent form with the matchup. He threw 4 TD passes in his last game, showing both efficiency and comfort in finishing drives through the air. The Seahawks’ secondary just allowed the 49ers to post 2 passing touchdowns, 26 completions, and 277 yards, indicating vulnerability against competent passing attacks. Rodgers has the weapons and red-zone chemistry to exploit those weaknesses, and if Seattle commits resources to stopping the run, the passing lanes should open up further. Given the plus-money price, this over is an appealing spot for bettors looking to capitalize on Rodgers’ ability to find the end zone multiple times.

Risk Factors

• Jets have a strong backfield who could hog the TDs if the Jets get deep into the red zone

🎯 Jahmyr Gibbs OVER 3.5 Receptions

Best Price: -117 on BetRivers

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 10 Receptions

Key Analysis

Jahmyr Gibbs’ OVER 3.5 receptions at -117 on BetRivers looks like a strong angle based on usage and matchup. He caught 10 passes in his last game, far exceeding this line and showing how central he is as a checkdown and designed passing option in Detroit’s offense. The Bears’ defense just allowed 4 receptions to running backs last week, and given their struggles in coverage against backs, Gibbs should continue to see high-percentage targets. With his explosiveness and the Lions’ willingness to scheme him into space, it may only take a couple of drives for him to get close to this number. The line sits modestly at 3.5, making the over very attainable if his involvement stays anywhere near last week’s level.

Risk Factors

• Ground game is effective and there is less need for RB to get involved in the pass game

🎯 Puka Nacua OVER 82.5 Receiving Yards

Best Price: -111 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 130 Receiving Yards

Key Analysis

Puka Nacua’s OVER 82.5 receiving yards at -111 on DraftKings looks very manageable given his role in the Rams’ offense. He exploded for 130 yards on 10 catches from 11 targets in his last game, showing both volume and efficiency. That kind of target share makes him a focal point rather than a secondary option, which is key when betting a high yardage line. Even if defenses adjust, his usage in short, intermediate, and deep routes gives him multiple paths to production. With double-digit targets, Nacua doesn’t need to break big plays to clear 82.5, steady volume alone could get him there.

Risk Factors

• Titans held Broncos to just 176 receiving yards last week

NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer Edge

NFL players most likely to reach the end zone, backed by stats and matchups.

• Breece Hall

• Javonte Williams

• Chase Brown

• Saquon Barkley

• Jonathan Taylor

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team