Yesterday didn’t go as planned, an 0-3 slate cooled off the momentum we built earlier in the week. No panic, though. We’re keeping it simple today with four focused plays and 3.53 units of potential profit on the board. Over on X, we also dropped two bonus plays for the London game with 2.77 units of upside. With Wentz questionable to return at halftime, we’re likely starting the day 1-1, but the main card sets up nicely to bounce back and finish the week strong.

Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (10/4): 0-3 (0%; -3 Units)

NFL: 35-37 (49%; +2.44 Units)

October‘25: 5-4 (56%; +0.54 Units)

All-Time: 388-346 (53%; +53.7 Units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Javonte Williams OVER 87.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards

Best Price: -114 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 100 yds

• Last 3-Game Average: 107.33 Yds/G

• Season Average: 96.5 Yds/G

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

Key Analysis

Javonte Williams’ line of 87.5 rushing + receiving yards looks highly attainable given his recent workload and matchup. He’s gone over this number in three straight games, averaging 107.3 yards per game during that stretch and 96.5 on the season. Williams has been heavily involved in both phases, averaging 15.75 carries per game at 5.0 yards per attempt along with 4 receptions per game, giving him consistent dual-threat volume. The matchup is ideal, the Jets have allowed the 8th-most rushing yards per game and a staggering 156.3 per game over their last three. With that kind of defensive vulnerability and Williams’ balanced usage, this sets up as a strong over spot backed by both data and matchup context.

Risk Factors

• Lamb/Pickens duo take some action away from Williams

🎯 Daniel Jones OVER 229.5 Passing Yards

Best Price: -110 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 262 yards

• Last 3-Game Average: 268.67 yds/g

• Season Average: 269.5 yds/g

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

Key Analysis

Daniel Jones’ passing line of 229.5 yards looks favorable based on both consistency and recent form. He’s averaging 269.5 passing yards per game on the season and 268.7 over his last three, comfortably above this number. Jones has gone over in two of his last three games, and even in the lone miss, he finished just two yards shy of the mark, showing a dependable baseline of production. His efficiency and steady passing volume have kept him in range regardless of game flow, and against a defense that’s been prone to giving up chunk plays through the air, 229.5 sets up as a beatable line.

Risk Factors

• Raiders defense will likely bring pressure

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🎯 AJ Barner OVER 18.5 Receiving Yards

Best Price: -112 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 32 yards

• Last 3-Game Average: 27 yds/g

• Season Average: 20.2 yds/g

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

Key Analysis

AJ Barner’s receiving line of 18.5 yards presents solid value given his recent consistency and matchup. He’s cleared this number in three straight games, averaging 27 yards per game over that span and 20.2 on the season. Barner continues to carve out a steady role as a short-to-intermediate target, and his production trend shows growing involvement in the passing game. The matchup supports another strong outing, the Buccaneers are allowing 4.5 receptions per game to opposing TE1s, often struggling to contain tight ends on play-action and middle-field routes. With reliable volume and a soft coverage matchup, Barner has multiple paths to clear this modest line.

Risk Factors

• Limited target volume

🎯 James Cook OVER 16.5 Rushing Attempts

Best Price: -117 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 16.5 attempts

• Last 3-Game Average: 20.67 carries/g

• Season Average: 18.8 carries/g

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

Key Analysis

James Cook’s rushing attempts line of 16.5 looks very attainable given his recent workload. He’s averaged 20.7 carries over his last three games and 18.8 per game on the season, clearing this line in three straight outings. Cook’s role as the Bills’ primary back has been steady, with consistent early-down usage and a clear commitment to establishing the run. His balanced workload also gives him leeway even if game flow shifts slightly, Buffalo continues to lean on him to control tempo and keep defenses honest. With a strong touch trend and no sign of reduced volume, this over aligns well with both data and coaching tendencies.

Risk Factors

• New England defense stronger against the run so far this season

Think line movement doesn’t matter? Think again.

Price shifts are where the market shows its hand. Knowing how to read them can be the edge between cashing and chasing.

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team