NFL Week 1 War Rooms: Read This Before You Bet

Analyzing 3 key NFL matchups that bring profitable edges

AuthorAuthor

Sage Davis & Brian McAbee
September 05, 2025

The NFL is back, and Week 1 wastes no time delivering fireworks. From Mahomes lighting it up in São Paulo, to a primetime duel between Lamar and Josh Allen, to Aaron Rodgers debuting in Pittsburgh, opening weekend has no shortage of storylines. We’ve broken down the biggest matchups and highlighted the props with the most value.

Table of Contents

🏈 Week 1 is underway and we’ve analyzed three key matchups

The NFL season kicks off with a slate of heavyweight matchups, and we’re diving into three of the biggest: Chiefs vs. Chargers, Jets vs. Steelers, and Bills vs. Ravens. Each game brings its own storyline, from star quarterbacks in spotlight roles to defenses trying to establish dominance early. In this breakdown, we’ll highlight the key players, analyze strengths and weaknesses on both sides, and pinpoint props worth targeting.

Keep in mind that prices and lines don’t stay still, odds shift right up until kickoff. That’s why WagerLens now offers a new tool to track how prop prices move over time, giving you a sharper edge in spotting value before the market adjusts.

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🏈 Chiefs vs. Chargers (Friday – São Paulo)

Mahomes owns Week 1, with 2,059 yards and 21 TDs across seven openers. Herbert remains the Chargers’ core after a 3,870-yard season, but KC gets the edge if Pacheco exploits LA’s shaky run defense.

Props

  • ✅ Chiefs -3 spread

  • 📈 Justin Herbert Over 224.5 Passing Yards

  • 📈 Isiah Pacheco Over 49.5 Rushing Yards

🏈 Steelers @ Jets (Sunday Afternoon)

Rodgers makes his Pittsburgh debut with Metcalf and Warren in the mix, looking to spark a Steelers offense that averaged just 18.8 PPG last year. Fields leads the Jets, with Garrett Wilson headlining his WR group.

Props

  • ✅ Game Total Over 36.5 Points

  • 📈 Aaron Rodgers Over 1.5 Passing TDs

  • 📈 Garrett Wilson Over 55.5 Receiving Yards

🏈 Ravens @ Bills (Sunday Night Football)

Lamar vs. Allen always delivers fireworks. Lamar comes off a 41-TD season plus 1,000 rush yards, while Allen adds 28 passing TDs and 12 rushing scores. Zay Flowers and Derrick Henry birng juice for Baltimore, but Buffalo’s red-zone defense (6th last year) is no joke.

Props

  • ✅ Over 48.5 Total Points

  • 📈 Lamar Jackson Over 47.5 Rushing Yards

  • 📈 Josh Allen Over 1.5 Passing TDs

We kept the heavy lifting in the blog so this email stays bite-sized. Dive into “NFL Week 1 War Rooms: Read This Before You Bet” for the full breakdown on starters, parks, and bankroll discipline:

👉 Read the full breakdown to see how we’re doing it, and how you can, too.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team