We’re rolling this week, after a clean 3-0 sweep on MNF, followed by 5-1 over the last 2 days, pushing us to +6.58 units so far. Tonight’s slate sets up well, with the 49ers missing key weapons in Brock Purdy, George Kittle, Ricky Pearsall, and Jauan Jennings. We’ve zeroed in on three strong props that fit the trends and matchup edges, and we’re looking to keep the momentum rolling.

Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• Today's Featured Props Recap

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (10/01): 3-0 (100%; +2.77 Units)

NFL: 33-36 (48%; +1.68 Units)

October ‘25: 3-0 (100%; +2.77 Units)

All-Time: 386-342 (53%; +55.94 Units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Davante Adams OVER 54.5 Receiving Yards

Best Price: -110 on BetMGM

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 56 Yards

• Last 3-Game Average: 72.67 Yds/G

• Season Average: 67.2 Yds/G

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

Key Analysis

Davante Adams’ receiving line is set at 54.5 yards, and the recent trends suggest solid value on the over. He’s cleared this number in three straight games, posting back-to-back 56-yard outings and a big 106-yard performance in Week 2. Even in Week 1, when he finished with 51 yards, he came just a catch shy of cashing the over. On the season, Adams is averaging 67.2 yards per game, comfortably above the line, and his role remains steady with 8.75 targets per game and an efficient 15.8 yards per reception. This combination of volume and efficiency makes 54.5 look like a beatable threshold as long as game script doesn’t cap his opportunities.

Risk Factors

• Nacua leading the team in yards, targets and receptions will take opportunity from Adams

🎯 Kyren Williams OVER 80.5 Rushing + Receiving yards

Best Price: -114 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 94 Yds

• Last 3-Game Average: 95.33 Yds/G

• Season Average: 88.8 Yds/G

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3

Key Analysis

Kyren Williams’ total yardage line of 80.5 rushing + receiving yards looks attainable given both his role and the matchup. He’s averaging 88.8 yards per game on the season and has topped this number in two of his last three, with the lone miss coming just one yard short in Week 3. Last week, he logged 94 total yards, continuing to show reliability as the Rams’ workhorse. His workload is secure with roughly 17 carries and 2 receptions per game, giving him multiple avenues to hit this mark. The matchup is favorable as well, San Francisco just surrendered 151 rushing yards to Jacksonville and currently allows an average of 115.5 rushing yards per game. With volume, efficiency, and a vulnerable defense in play, Williams has a strong path to clearing this total.

Risk Factors

• 49ers are hurting with Purdy, Pearsall, Jennings and Kittle all out. If this game turns into a blowout, Williams may see less action

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🎯 Brian Robinson OVER 17.5 Rushing Yards

Best Price: -112 on BetRivers

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 21 yards

• Last 3-Game Average: 21 Yds/G

• Season Average: 24 Yds/G

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3

Key Analysis

Brian Robinson’s rushing line sits at just 17.5 yards, a number he’s cleared in every game this season. He’s averaging 24 yards per game on 5.5 carries with an efficient 4.4 yards per attempt, giving him a solid floor despite his secondary role in the offense. Robinson has hit at least 21 yards in each of his last three, showing consistency against varying game scripts. With Mac Jones missing multiple key passing options (Pearsall, Jennings, Kittle), San Francisco may lean more heavily on the ground game to balance the offense. Given his efficiency and steady usage, Robinson needs only a handful of touches to cash this over, making the line look vulnerable.

Risk Factors

• CMC gets a heavier load than previous weeks taking opportunity from Robinson

Today's Featured Props Recap

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

1. 🔥 Davante Adams OVER 54.5 Receiving Yards (-110 BetMGM)

   • Most consistent trend: 3/3 in L3

   • Averaging 72.67 Yds/G over his last 3

   • His role remains steady with 8.75 targets per game and an efficient 15.8 yards per reception

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Kyren Williams OVER 80.5 Rushing + Receiving yards (-114 FanDuel)

• Hot streak: 2/3 in L3

• Averaging 95.33 total yards per game in L3

• His workload is secure with roughly 17 carries and 2 receptions per game, giving him multiple avenues to hit this mark

2. ⚡ Brian Robinson OVER 17.5 Rushing Yards (-112 BetRivers)

• 3/L3 games going OVER

• Averaging 21 yds/g over the first 4 games this season

• With Mac Jones missing multiple key passing options (Pearsall, Jennings, Kittle), San Francisco may lean more heavily on the ground game to balance the offense

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team