We’ve been on an unfortunate run of near misses, but things are starting to turn. After going 2-1 on TNF, we’re looking to carry that momentum into today’s slate. The London game picks (posted earlier on X) are already trending in the right direction, setting the tone for what could be a strong day ahead. Let’s lock in, trust the data, and make some money.

Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

NFL: 44-49 (47%; -1.7 Units)

October ‘25: 16-21 (43%; -6 units)

All-Time: 399-363 (52%; +47 units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Christian McCaffrey OVER 45.5 Receiving Yards

Best Price: -110 on Pinnacle

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 57 rec yds

• Last 3-Game Average: 77 rec yds/g

• Last 5-Game Average: 74.2 yds/g

• Season Average: 74 rec yds/g

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 5 out of last 5 over

Key Analysis

Christian McCaffrey’s receiving line of 45.5 yards looks like a strong over spot given his recent usage and consistency. He’s cleared this number in five straight games, averaging 74 receiving yards per game on the season and an even higher 77 over his last three. McCaffrey continues to be a central piece in the passing attack, seeing steady target volume on checkdowns, screens, and designed routes that keep him heavily involved regardless of game script. His versatility gives him multiple paths to production, whether it’s creating yards after the catch on short passes or exploiting mismatches against linebackers in coverage. With his recent trends and dependable role, 45.5 sits well below his current pace.

Risk Factors

• Jennings and Kittle are active for tonight’s game

🎯 Rashid Shaheed OVER 3.5 Receptions

Best Price: +104 BetRivers

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 4 recs

• Last 3-Game Average: 4 recs/g

• Last 5-Game Average: 4 recs/g

• Season Average: 4 recs/g

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 5 out of last 5 over

Key Analysis

Rashid Shaheed’s receptions line of 3.5 at +104 presents strong value given both his consistency and matchup. He’s averaging exactly 4 catches per game on the season and has hit this mark in five straight games, showing a reliable role in the Saints’ passing offense. Over his last three outings, Shaheed has maintained steady volume with quick-hitting targets that fit well within New Orleans’ offensive rhythm. The matchup also leans in his favor, the Bears are allowing 20.6 completions per game, leaving plenty of opportunity for Shaheed to continue seeing short-to-intermediate targets. With stable involvement and a favorable passing environment, the over offers plus-money appeal backed by strong trends.

Risk Factors

• Exactly 4 receptions in each of 5 games

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🎯 Travis Kelce OVER 38.5 Receiving Yards

Best Price: -111 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 78 yds

• Last 3-Game Average: 62.33 yds/g

• Last 5-Game Average: 54.8 yds/g

• Season Average: 53.5 yds/g

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

Key Analysis

Travis Kelce’s receiving line of 38.5 yards feels low given his recent production and matchup outlook. He’s cleared this number in four of his last five games, averaging 62.3 yards over his last three and 53.5 on the season. Coming off a 78-yard performance, Kelce remains a key part of the Chiefs’ passing attack, particularly on third downs and in red-zone situations where Mahomes relies on his timing and route precision. The Raiders have allowed 45 receiving yards per game to opposing TE1s over their last two contests, which lines up well with Kelce’s usage profile. With his steady target share and proven chemistry with Mahomes, this number sits well below his typical output.

Risk Factors

• Rice is back from suspension and will take some target share

Think line movement doesn’t matter? Think again.

Price shifts are where the market shows its hand. Knowing how to read them can be the edge between cashing and chasing.

💰 Moneyline Parlay

New England Patriots ML

Chicago Bears ML

Carolina Panters ML

Cleveland Browns ML

+484 total odds on DraftKings

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team