We wrapped up October in the green and are looking to keep that momentum rolling into November. Today’s slate brings a strong mix of competitive matchups and a few lopsided spots that present clear edges to exploit. The goal remains the same; stay disciplined, trust the data, and capitalize where the value shows up. Let’s lock in, stay sharp, and make some money.

Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• NFL Moneyline Parlay

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

NFL: 62-63 (50%; +6.42 Units)

All-Time: 417-377 (53%; +55.2 Units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 C.J. Stroud OVER 15.5 Rushing Yards

Best Price: -112 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 30 rush yds

• Last 3-Game Average: 28.33 rush yds/g

• Last 5-Game Average: 23.6 rush yds/g

• Season Average: 25.3 rush yds/g

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

Key Analysis

C.J. Stroud’s rushing line of 15.5 yards looks like a strong over spot given his recent consistency and efficiency. He’s averaged 25.3 rushing yards per game this season and has gone over this number in four of his last five, including three straight. Over that stretch, he’s averaging 3.86 carries per game and an impressive 6.6 yards per carry, showing both confidence and burst when escaping the pocket. The matchup also works in his favor, Denver has allowed multiple quarterbacks to clear this line this season, struggling to contain scrambles on broken plays. With Stroud’s growing comfort extending drives with his legs, 15.5 feels like a modest hurdle in a game where he should have room to run.

Risk Factors

• Negative rushing plays could alter this line

🎯 Justin Jefferson OVER 73.5 Receiving Yards

Best Price: -111 on Pinnacle

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 74 yards

• Last 3-Game Average: 92 yds/g

• Last 5-Game Average: 95.4 yds/g

• Season Average: 86 yds/g

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 5 out of last 5 over

Key Analysis

Justin Jefferson’s receiving line of 73.5 yards looks like one of the stronger overs on the slate given his elite consistency and matchup upside. He’s cleared this mark in five straight games, averaging 95.4 yards over his last five and 92 per game across his last three, while sitting at 86 on the season. Jefferson remains the focal point of Minnesota’s passing attack, averaging nearly 6 receptions per game at a strong 14.7 yards per catch, giving him steady volume and explosive play potential. The matchup also aligns well, Detroit is allowing 212.3 passing yards per game and has struggled against top-tier wideouts, giving up 110 yards to Ja’Marr Chase and 128 to Rome Odunze earlier this year. With Jefferson’s route volume and proven track record against aggressive secondaries, 73.5 looks a few yards too low.

Risk Factors

• Detroits pass rush could limit deep passes

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🎯 Daniel Jones OVER 253.5 Passing Yards

Best Price: -115 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 272 pass yds

• Last 3-Game Average: 257.33 yds/g

• Last 5-Game Average: 249.2 yds/g

• Season Average: 257.8 yds/g

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 3 out of last 5 over

Key Analysis

Daniel Jones’ passing line of 253.5 yards looks like a strong over opportunity based on both consistency and matchup. He’s averaging 257.8 yards per game on the season, with 257.3 over his last three and 249.2 across his last five, showing a steady floor of production. Jones has cleared this number in two of his last three and just hit 272 yards in his most recent outing. He’s averaging just over 30 pass attempts per game at 8.7 yards per completion, maintaining efficient downfield production. The matchup adds more upside, the Steelers are allowing the most passing yards per game in the NFL, often getting burned by explosive plays and struggling to contain intermediate routes. With Jones’ recent rhythm and the defense’s weaknesses, this line appears several yards too low.

Risk Factors

• Jonathan Taylor leads the NFL in rushing yards and will get a large share of work

🎯 Matthew Golden OVER 2.5 Receptions

Best Price: -119 on Pinnacle

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 3 receptions

• Last 3-Game Average: 3.33 rec/g

• Last 5-Game Average: 3.8 rec/g

• Season Average: 3 rec/g

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 5 out of last 5 over

Key Analysis

Matthew Golden’s receptions line of 2.5 looks like a solid over play based on both usage and consistency. He’s averaging 3 catches per game on the season and has gone over this number in five straight, including three in his most recent outing. Over his last five games, Golden has averaged 3.8 receptions, showing steady involvement in the passing game regardless of matchup. His chemistry with the quarterback continues to build, and his routes have been diversified to include both short and intermediate looks, giving him multiple paths to production. With his recent trend of consistency and a modest line set below his season average, the over holds clear value.

Risk Factors

• Jordan Love has many reliable targets

Think line movement doesn’t matter? Think again.

Price shifts are where the market shows its hand. Knowing how to read them can be the edge between cashing and chasing.

NFL Moneyline Parlay

• Indianapolis Colts ML

• Cincinatti Bengals ML

• New England Patriots ML

• San Francisco 49ers ML

• +739 total odds on DraftKings

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team