Happy Memorial Day! 🇺🇸⚾ We hope you're enjoying the holiday and soaking in a full day of baseball action. Today's MLB slate is packed, and we've got some exciting hitter props lined up that bring both value and upside. From Seiya Suzuki's scorching bat to Drew Waters quietly racking up hits, we're targeting matchups where the numbers—and the recent form—are all pointing our way. Let’s celebrate with some smart swings and (hopefully) cash some tickets along the way!

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Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

• Today's Featured Props Recap

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

MLB: 83-75 (53%; +12.7 Units)

May ‘25: 44-34 (56%; +2.18 Units)

All-Time: 208-176 (54%; +47.9 Units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Dansby Swanson OVER 0.5 Singles

Best Price: -110 on BetMGM

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 1 1B

• Last 3-Game Average: 0.33 1B/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 0.8 1B/G

• Season Average: 0.623 1B/G

• Confidence Score: 92

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 1 out of last 3 over

• 3 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Dansby Swanson's OVER 0.5 singles prop at -110 on BetMGM looks like solid value, supported by both recent trends and a favorable matchup. While his 3-game average is just 0.33 singles per game, Swanson has recorded a single in 3 of his last 5 and 8 of his last 10 games, with a recent game logging 1 single. His 5-game average of 0.8 singles per game is also well above the line. He’s heating up in May with a strong .338 batting average, and his .776 OPS against lefties suggests he handles southpaws well. Facing Carson Palmquist, who has allowed 16 hits over his last two starts (8.1 IP), gives Swanson an excellent opportunity to continue his momentum.

Risk Factors

• XBH will not cash

🎯 Drew Waters OVER 0.5 Singles

Best Price: +110 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 2 1B

• Last 3-Game Average: 1 1B/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 1 1B/G

• Season Average: .684 1B/G

• Confidence Score: 85

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 7 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Drew Waters’ OVER 0.5 singles prop at +110 on DraftKings offers strong value with both recent form and matchup indicators aligning in his favor. Waters is averaging 1 single per game over his last 3 and 5 contests, and has gone over this line in 4 of his last 5 and 7 of his last 10 games. His season average of 0.684 singles per game reinforces his consistency. He’s been productive in May with a .315 OBP and holds a solid .304 batting average against right-handed pitching. He faces Nick Martinez, who has given up 37 hits over his last 7 starts, making this a favorable spot for Waters to stay hot. With a confidence score of 85 and plus money odds, this prop looks like a strong value play.

Risk Factors

• XBH will not cash

🎯 Sal Frelick OVER 0.5 Total Bases

Best Price: -111 on Pinnacle

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 2 TB

• Last 3-Game Average: 1 TB/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 1 TB/G

• Season Average: 1.353 TB/G

• Confidence Score: 85

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 3 out of last 5 over

• 7 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Sal Frelick’s OVER 0.5 total bases prop at -111 on Pinnacle stands out as a strong option backed by consistent production and a favorable matchup. Frelick is averaging 1 total base per game over his last 3 and 5 outings, with a season average of 1.353 TB/G—well above the line. He’s cleared this number in 7 of his last 10 games, including 2 of his last 3. His splits are especially encouraging: a .396 batting average and .920 OPS against left-handed pitching make him a serious threat against southpaw Garrett Crochet, who has allowed 36 hits across his last 7 starts. With a confidence score of 85 and solid recent form, Frelick is well-positioned to record at least one base hit in this matchup.

Risk Factors

• Crochet high K rate

🎯 Seiya Suzuki OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Best Price: +142 on Pinnacle

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 7 TB

• Last 3-Game Average: 5.33 TB/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 4.8 TB/G

• Season Average: 2.327 TB/G

• Confidence Score: 72

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 7 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Seiya Suzuki’s OVER 1.5 total bases prop at +142 on Pinnacle presents high-upside value given his explosive recent form and strong matchup. Suzuki has been on a tear, averaging 5.33 total bases over his last 3 games and 4.8 over his last 5—both well above the line. He’s gone over in 3 straight games, 4 of his last 5, and 7 of his last 10. On the season, he’s averaging 2.327 TB/G, and his splits are dominant: a .370 batting average and 1.270 OPS against left-handed pitching. With Carson Palmquist allowing 16 hits in his last 8.1 innings, Suzuki has a prime opportunity to continue his hot streak. Despite a moderate confidence score of 72, the +142 odds make this a high-reward prop backed by both data and recent dominance.

Risk Factors

• Will need multi-hit game or XBH

MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

MLB hitters with higher probability to hit a home run based on season stats, matchups with starting pitchers and other key stats (odds from DraftKings)

• Dillon Dingler +850

• Seiya Suzuki +500

• Bobby Witt Jr. +500

• Brandon Nimmo +450

• Ketel Marte +250

Today's Featured Props Recap

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

1. 🔥 Seiya Suzuki OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+142 Pinnacle)

   • Most consistent trend: 4/5 in L5

   • Averaging 4.8 TB/G over last 5 including three 7 TB performances

   • Dominant against LPH with a .370 batting average and 1.270 OPS and Carson Palmquist allowing 16 hits in his last 8.1 innings

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Dansby Swanson OVER 0.5 Singles (-110 BetMGM)

• Hot streak: 7/10 in L10

• Averaging .8 in L5

• Swanson heating up in May with a strong .338 batting average, and his .776 OPS against lefties suggests he handles southpaws well

2. ⚡ Drew Waters OVER 0.5 Singles (+110 DraftKings)

• 4/L5 games going OVER

• Averaging 1 TB/G over last 5

• Waters has been productive in May with a .315 OBP and holds a solid .304 batting average against right-handed pitching. He faces Nick Martinez, who has given up 37 hits over his last 7 starts

3. 💥 Sal Frelick OVER 0.5 Total Bases (-111 Pinnacle)

• 7/L10 games going OVER

• Averaging 1.353 TB/G over the season

• Frelick’s splits are especially encouraging: a .396 batting average and .920 OPS against left-handed pitching make him a serious threat against southpaw Garrett Crochet, who has allowed 36 hits across his last 7 starts

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team