Reading Between the Lines: Monday’s Small Slate

Rengifo Slumping, Machado Raking, Elly Running Wild

AuthorAuthor

Sage Davis & Brian McAbee
June 02, 2025

We’re kicking off June on the right foot! A solid 4-2 weekend has us in the green, and it feels good to start the new month with some momentum. With just 7 games on the MLB slate today, it's a lighter card—but that doesn't mean we’re taking the day off. Fewer games means more focus, and we’re dialed in. Let’s keep the good vibes rolling and find some winners on this short Monday slate!

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Table of Contents

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (06/01): 2-1 (67%; +0.7 Units)

MLB: 89-84 (51%; +9.85 Units)

June ‘25: 2-1 (67%; +0.7 Units)

All-Time: 214-185 (54%; +45.05 Units)

🎯 Luis Rengifo UNDER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -120 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 2 H/R/RBIs

  • Last 3-Game Average: .67 H/R/RBIs per game

  • Last 5-Game Average: .60 H/R/RBIs per game

  • Season Average: 1.226 H/R/RBIs per game

  • Confidence Score: 94

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 2 out of last 3 under

  • 4 out of last 5 under

  • 9 out of last 10 under

Key Analysis

Luis Rengifo’s UNDER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs prop presents strong value given his recent performance trends and matchup context. Despite hitting this mark in his last game, Rengifo has stayed under in 9 of his last 10 games, including 4 of the last 5 and 2 of the last 3, showing a consistent pattern of low offensive output. His 3-game and 5-game averages sit well below the line at 0.67 and 0.60 respectively, and his season average of 1.226 is still under the 1.5 threshold. He's was also cold in May, batting just .187 with only 4 RBIs. Adding to the case, Rengifo faces Richard Fitts, who has allowed just 6 runs on 16 hits over his last 20 innings—a sign of strong form and a tough matchup. With a confidence score of 94, this prop looks like a solid fade at the -120 price on DraftKings.

Risk Factors

  • Cleared this line in last game

🎯 Manny Machado OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -125 on BetMGM

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 4 H/R/RBIs

  • Last 3-Game Average: 2 H/R/RBIs per game

  • Last 5-Game Average: 2.6 H/R/RBIs per game

  • Season Average: 2.316 H/R/RBIs per game

  • Confidence Score: 92

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 2 out of last 3 over

  • 4 out of last 5 over

  • 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Manny Machado’s OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs prop stands out as a strong play, backed by both recent form and favorable historical matchup data. Machado has gone over this line in 8 of his last 10 games, including 4 of the last 5 and 2 of the last 3, showcasing consistent offensive production. His 3-game and 5-game averages sit at 2.0 and 2.6 respectively, both comfortably above the 1.5 mark, while his season average is a solid 2.316. The matchup further boosts confidence—Machado owns a .371 batting average with 5 RBIs in 35 career at-bats against Logan Webb, who has allowed 15 runs on 48 hits over his last 7 starts. With a 92 confidence score and a favorable -125 price on BetMGM, this prop offers strong value for bettors riding Machado’s hot streak.

Risk Factors

  • Cashing may depend on others in the lineup

🎯 Elly De La Cruz OVER 0.5 Runs Scored

Best Price: +100 on BetRivers

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 2 Runs

  • Last 3-Game Average: 1 R/G

  • Last 5-Game Average: 1.4 R/G

  • Season Average: .75 R/G

  • Confidence Score: 91

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 2 out of last 3 over

  • 4 out of last 5 over

  • 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Elly De La Cruz’s OVER 0.5 Runs Scored prop offers solid value at even money (+100) on BetRivers, especially given his recent surge and favorable matchup. He’s crossed the plate in 8 of his last 10 games, including 4 of the last 5 and 2 of the last 3, with recent averages of 1.0 run over his last 3 games and 1.4 over his last 5—nearly double the prop line. His season average of 0.75 runs per game already suggests value, and he’s especially dangerous against right-handed pitching with an .899 OPS. He faces Brady Singer, who’s been shaky lately, allowing 21 earned runs on 37 hits and 14 walks across his last 7 starts. With a confidence score of 91, De La Cruz is well-positioned to score again, making this a strong plus-money play.

Risk Factors

  • Cashing may depend on others in the lineup

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

  1. 🔥 Elly De La Cruz OVER 0.5 Runs Scored (+100 betRivers)

    • Most consistent trend: 8/10 in L10

    • Averaging 1.4 Runs per game over last 5

    • Facing Brady Singer, who’s been shaky lately, allowing 21 earned runs on 37 hits and 14 walks across his last 7 starts

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Manny Machado OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-125 BetMGM)

  • Hot streak: 8/10 in L10

  • Averaging 2.6 H/R/RBIs per game in L[5

  • Machado owns a .371 batting average with 5 RBIs in 35 career at-bats against Logan Webb, who has allowed 15 runs on 48 hits over his last 7 starts

Trending Unders

1. 📉 Luis Rengifo UNDER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-120 DraftKings)

  • 9/L10 games staying UNDER

  • Averaging just .60 H/R/RBIs per game over last 5

  • Rengifo was cold in May, batting just .187 with only 4 RBIs and is facing Richard Fitts, who has allowed just 6 runs on 16 hits over his last 20 innings

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team