August has been a profitable month, and now we’re looking to finish it off strong. Today’s slip lines up with 4.48 units of potential profit, built on a mix of hot hitters and cold lineups that the trends love. The data is pointing us in the right direction, and with just a few days left in August, the focus is on closing out the month on a high note. Let’s stay disciplined, trust the edges, and keep the bankroll growing.

Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• Ready to Raise Your Betting Game?

• MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

• Today's Featured Props Recap

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

MLB: 200-174 (53%; +21.06 Units)

August‘25: 41-34 (55%; +3.12 Units)

All-Time: 325-275 (54%; +56.25 Units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Ryan Ritter OVER 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -110 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 2 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: 1.33 H/R/RBIs per game

• Last 5-Game Average: 1.4 H/R/RBIs per game

• Season Average: 1.707 H/R/RBIs per game

• Confidence Score: 98

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 5 out of last 5 over

• 10 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Ryan Ritter’s OVER 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs at -110 on DraftKings lines up as one of the most reliable looks on today’s slate. He’s been a model of consistency, cashing this prop in 10 straight games, including each of his last five. Ritter is averaging 1.33 H/R/RBIs over his last three and 1.4 over his last five, both comfortably in line with his 1.707 season average. His matchup is favorable as well as Ritter owns a .353 OBP against left-handed pitching, and he’ll face Framber Valdez, who has been shaky lately, allowing 7+ hits and 4+ runs in four straight starts. With Ritter consistently finding ways to contribute and Valdez struggling to limit damage, the 98 confidence score reflects this as a high-probability prop backed by both form and matchup.

Risk Factors

• Valdez has the potential to be lights out

🎯 Francisco Lindor OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -130 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 3 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: 1.33 H/R/RBIs per game

• Last 5-Game Average: 2.2 H/R/RBIs per game

• Season Average: 2.315 H/R/RBIs per game

• Confidence Score: 92

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 1 out of last 3 over

• 3 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Francisco Lindor’s OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs at -130 on DraftKings is backed by both consistent production and a hittable matchup. He’s cleared this number in 8 of his last 10 games, averaging 2.2 H/R/RBIs over his last five and 2.315 on the season, right in line with his long-term baseline. Lindor is fresh off a 3 H/R/RBI performance and brings an .843 OPS against right-handed pitching, giving him a strong split advantage. He’ll face Taijuan Walker, who despite a 3.44 ERA, has been giving up steady contact, allowing 3+ hits in seven straight starts. With Lindor’s ability to contribute across multiple stat categories and Walker’s recent tendency to allow traffic, the 92 confidence score reflects a solid edge for him to stay productive.

Risk Factors

• Walker’s ability to limit damage, often allowing hits but working out of jams

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🎯 Mike Tauchman OVER 0.5 Singles

Best Price: +115 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 2 1B

• Last 3-Game Average: 1.67 1B/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 1.6 1B/G

• Season Average: 0.711 1B/G

• Confidence Score: 92

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 5 out of last 5 over

• 7 out of last 7 over

Key Analysis

Mike Tauchman’s OVER 0.5 singles at +115 on DraftKings looks like a strong plus-money value backed by both form and matchup. He’s been red hot at the plate, recording singles in 7 straight games and averaging 1.67 over his last three and 1.6 over his last five, more than double his 0.711 season average. Tauchman has been effective against right-handed pitching with a .369 OBP, and he’ll face Ryan Bergert, who has struggled since joining Kansas City, allowing 15 hits across four starts. With Tauchman consistently getting on base and a hittable pitcher on the mound, the 92 confidence score reflects a high-probability spot, especially given the plus-money price.

Risk Factors

• Tauchman could be walked and XBH will not cash

🎯 Sal Frelick OVER 0.5 Singles

Best Price: -125 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 2 1B

• Last 3-Game Average: 1 1B/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 0.8 1B/G

• Season Average: 0.862 1B/G

• Confidence Score: 92

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 3 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Sal Frelick’s OVER 0.5 singles at -125 on DraftKings is a strong play supported by both recent form and matchup data. He’s picked up singles in 8 of his last 10 games, including 2 in his most recent outing, and is averaging 1 per game over his last three and 0.8 over his last five, both close to his 0.862 season average. Frelick has been solid against right-handed pitching with a .363 OBP, and he’ll face Ryne Nelson, who’s been hittable, allowing 6.2 hits per game over his last five starts. With Frelick consistently putting the ball in play and Nelson prone to giving up contact, the 92 confidence score reflects a strong chance for Frelick to grab at least one single.

Risk Factors

• Frelick’s ability to hit for power and XBH not cashing

🎯 Cleveland Guardians UNDER 3.5 Team Total Runs

Best Price: -118 on BetMGM

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 3 Runs

• Last 3-Game Average: 1 R/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 1.2 R/G

• Season Average: 3.85 R/G

• Confidence Score: 89

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 under

• 5 out of last 5 under

• 8 out of last 10 under

Key Analysis

The Guardians’ UNDER 3.5 team total runs at -118 on BetMGM is strongly supported by both recent results and the pitching matchup. Cleveland has been ice cold at the plate, staying under this mark in 6 straight games, including 3 shutouts. They’re averaging just 1 run over their last three games and 1.2 over their last five, well below their 3.85 season average. Drew Rasmussen presents a tough test, especially on the road where he owns a 2.68 ERA and has allowed just 6 earned runs across his last five starts. With the Guardians’ bats struggling to generate consistent offense and Rasmussen in steady form, the 89 confidence score reflects strong value on another under performance.

Risk Factors

• Guardians’ offense has the ability to be powerful and score runs

MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

MLB hitters with higher probability to hit a home run based on season stats, matchups with starting pitchers and other key stats

• CJ Abrams

• Gunnar Henderson

• Randy Arozarena

• Vinnie Pasquantino

• Adolis Garcia

Today's Featured Props Recap

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

1. 🔥 Mike Tauchman OVER 0.5 Singles (+115 DraftKings)

   • Most consistent trend: 7/7 in L7

   • Averaging 1.6 singles per game over last 5 including 3 multi-single games

   • Tauchman has been effective against right-handed pitching with a .369 OBP, and he’ll face Ryan Bergert, who has struggled since joining Kansas City, allowing 15 hits across four starts

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Ryan Ritter OVER 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-110 DraftKings)

• Hot streak: 10/10 in L10

• Averaging 1.4 H/R/RBIs per game in L5

• His matchup is favorable as well as Ritter owns a .353 OBP against left-handed pitching, and he’ll face Framber Valdez, who has been shaky lately, allowing 7+ hits and 4+ runs in four straight starts

2. ⚡ Francisco Lindor OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-130 DraftKings)

• 8/L10 games going OVER

• Averaging 2.2 H/R/RBIs per game over last 5

• Lindor is fresh off a 3 H/R/RBI performance and brings an .843 OPS against right-handed pitching, giving him a strong split advantage

3. 💥 Sal Frelick OVER 0.5 Singles (-125 DraftKings)

• 8.L10 games going OVER

• Averaging 0.8 singles per game over his last 5

• Frelick has been solid against right-handed pitching with a .363 OBP, and he’ll face Ryne Nelson, who’s been hittable, allowing 6.2 hits per game over his last five starts

Trending Unders

1. 📉 Cleveland Guardians UNDER 3.5 Team Total Runs (-108 BetMGM)

• 5/L5 games staying UNDER

• Averaging just 1.2 R/G over last 5, including 3 games being shutout

• Drew Rasmussen presents a tough test, especially on the road where he owns a 2.68 ERA and has allowed just 6 earned runs across his last five starts

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team