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Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

• Today's Featured Props Recap

Yesterday, we went 1-1, with a void on most sportsbooks for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. due to his absence from the starting lineup. It was another action-packed day in sports, with 15 NBA games and 13 MLB matchups on the slate. Let's break down the action, find the edge, and turn a profit today.

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (04/10): 1-1 (50%)

MLB: 8-9 (47%)

NBA: 108-82 (57%)

April ‘25: 16-14 (53%)

All-Time: 126-106 (54%)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Mike Yastrzemski OVER 0.5 Hits

Best Price: -135 on ESPN Bet and DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 2 Hits

• Last 3-Game Average: 1.333 Hits per Game

• Last 5-Game Average: 1.2 Hits per Game

• Season Batting Average: .344 average

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 5 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Mike Yastrzemski is swinging one of the hottest bats in the Giants' lineup right now, making his over 0.5 hits prop an appealing play. He's hit safely in 80% of his last 10 games, showing a strong level of consistency. Over his last three games, he’s averaging 1.33 hits, backed by an impressive .344 batting average overall. This isn’t just a streak—it’s backed by solid contact and results. Additionally, Marcus Stroman has allowed 8 hits and 7 runs over hs first 2 starts. At -135 odds on DraftKings and ESPN Bet, you’re getting fair value on a prop that’s been hitting at a high clip. Given his recent production and favorable price, Yaz looks like a smart addition to the board today.

Risk Factors

• .214 average against Stroman

🎯 Ryan McMahon OVER 0.5 Hits

Best Price: -125 on FanDuel, ESPN Bet and DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 2 Hits

• Last 3-Game Average: 1.33 Hits per Game

• Last 5-Game Average: 1.4 Hits per Game

• Season Batting Average: .295 average

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 5 out of last 5 over

• 7 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Ryan McMahon has quietly been one of the most consistent hitters in the Rockies lineup, making his over 0.5 hits prop a sharp look today. He’s riding a 5-game hit streak and he’s cleared this line in 70% of his last 10. His recent production backs it up too—he’s averaging 1.4 hits over his last 5 games, with a solid .295 batting average on the season. Further backing this prop, Pivetta allowed 6 hits through 3 innings in his last start. At -125 across multiple books, you’re getting great value for a hitter in rhythm. In a favorable matchup, McMahon's bat is one to trust.

Risk Factors

• 0 hits in 2 AB against Pivetta

🎯 LaMonte Wade UNDER 0.5 Singles

Best Price: -148 on Caesars

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 0 Singles

• Last 3-Game Average: 0 Singles per Game

• Last 5-Game Average: 0 Singles per Game

• Season Batting Average: .114

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 under

• 5 out of last 5 under

• 10 out of last 10 under

Key Analysis

LaMonte Wade has been ice cold at the plate, making his under 0.5 singles prop a strong fade spot. Wade has failed to hit a single in 10 straight games and is batting just .114. Wade has a .200 batting average in his career facing Stroman. Books have adjusted slightly, but at -148 on Caesars and -150 on DraftKings, there's still value in riding the cold streak. Until Wade shows signs of life at the plate, the under remains the sharp side.

Risk Factors

• Could find a gap in the defense

🎯 Tyrese Haliburton OVER 27.5 Points + Assists

Best Price: -106 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 33 PA

• Last 3-Game Average: 28 PA/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 28.8 PA/G

• Season Average: 27.8 PA/G

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Tyrese Haliburton’s over 27.5 Points + Assists prop is right in his wheelhouse, and the trends support another strong showing. He’s cleared this number in 8 of his last 10 games, with recent performances well above the line — including a 33 PA outing last game. His season average sits at 27.8, right on the number, but his 3- and 5-game averages (28.0 and 28.8) show he’s heating up at the right time. At -106 on FanDuel, this is a near-even money price on a player who’s been producing consistently and in rhythm.

Risk Factors

• Averaging 23.3 PA/G against Orlando

🎯 Obi Toppin OVER 8.5 Points

Best Price: -120 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 10 Points

• Last 3-Game Average: 14.7 PPG

• Last 5-Game Average: 11.6 PPG

• Season Average: 10.7 PPG

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 3 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Obi Toppin’s over 8.5 points looks like a strong value today, especially at -120 on ESPN Bet. He’s scored 10+ in three straight and is averaging 14.7 PPG over his last 3, showing a clear uptick in usage and efficiency. Even across his last 5, he’s at 11.6 PPG, well above the line, and his season average of 10.7 PPG suggests this number is a touch too low. Toppin has cleared tonights line in 2 of 3 matchups with Orlando this season. He’s hit this prop in 8 of his last 10, and with his role steady, this line feels like a good buy-before-it-moves spot.

Risk Factors

• Low floor for points scored

🎯 Derrick White OVER 19.5 Points + Rebounds

Best Price: -120 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 22 PR

• Last 3-Game Average: 21 PR/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 21 PR/G

• Season Average: 20.9 PR/G

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 5 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Derrick White has been a model of consistency lately, making his over 19.5 Points + Rebounds prop one of the more reliable looks on the board. He’s cleared this number in 8 of his last 10, including a perfect 5-for-5 run over his last five games. Both his 3- and 5-game averages sit at 21 PR, just like his last game (22 PR), and even his season average (20.9) supports the over. White is also averaging 22.5 PR/G against the Hornets this season. Jaylen Brown’s absence tonights should boost production as White averages 22.6 PR/G without Brown in the lineup. With a well-rounded role and steady minutes, this prop has hit with regularity — and at -120 on ESPN Bet, it’s a solid price for his current form.

Risk Factors

• Blowout could limit production

MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

MLB hitters with higher probability to hit a home run based on season stats, matchups with starting pitchers and other key stats (odds from DraftKings)

• Aaron Judge +210

• Ryan Mountcastle +750

• Logan O’Hoppe +475

• Jake Cronenworth +650

• Corey Seager +300

• Brent Rooker +360

Today's Featured Props Recap

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

1. 🔥 Tyrese Haliburton OVER 27.5 Points + Assists (-106 FanDuel)

   • Most consistent trend: 5/5 in L5

   • Averaging 28.8 PA/G over last 5

   • 33 PA against Cavs last game, a stronger matchup than tonights game against the Magic

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Mike Yastrzemski OVER 0.5 Hits (-135 ESPN Bet/DraftKings)

• Hot streak: 5/5 in L5

• Averaging 1.2 Hits per Game in L5

• Marcus Stroman has allowed 8 hits and 7 runs over hs first 2 starts allowing strong opportunity for the Giants hottest bat

2. ⚡ Ryan McMahon OVER 0.5 Hits (-125 on FanDuel/ESPN Bet/DraftKings)

• 5/L5 games going OVER

• 1.4 Hits per Game over last 5

• Pivetta allowed 6 hits through 3 innings in his last start

3. 💥 Derrick White OVER 19.5 Points + Rebounds (-120 ESPN Bet)

• 9/L10 games going OVER

• 21 PR/G over last 5

• Averaging 22.5 PR/G against the Hornets this season and Jaylen Brown’s absence tonights should boost production as White averages 22.6 PR/G without Brown

Trending Unders

1. 📉 LaMonte Wade UNDER 0.5 Singles (-148 Caesars)

• 10/L10 games staying UNDER

• .144 current season batting average

• 200 batting average in his career facing Stroman

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team