Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• MLB Home Run Hitters

• Today's Featured Props Recap

• WagerLens.com Promo

Tough outing yesterday with an 0-3 run—sometimes the analysis doesn’t line up, and that’s part of the game. But today brings a loaded slate and a fresh shot to bounce back and build some momentum.

Big congrats to our March Madness Bracket Challenge winners: Picklen8er (Women’s) and iKracky (Men’s)! Well played!

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (04/08): 0-3 (0%)

MLB: 4-7 (36%)

April ‘25: 9-12 (43%)

All-Time: 119-104 (53%)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Danny Jansen UNDER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -135 on ESPN Bet, BetMGM and DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 1 H/R/RBI

• Last 3-Game Average: .33 H/R/RBI per Game

• Last 5-Game Average: .40 H/R/RBI per Game

• Season Batting Average: .050 average

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 under

• 5 out of last 5 under

Key Analysis

Danny Jansen's Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs prop looks like a strong play given his recent lack of production at the plate. Over his last game, he recorded just 1 combined H/R/RBI, and when you zoom out to his recent form, the numbers are even more telling—he's averaging just 0.40 over his last 5. Jansen’s season batting average sits at a dismal .050, which speaks volumes about his struggles at the plate. Most importantly, this prop has hit the under in 5 out of his last 5 games, showing a consistent trend of low offensive output. With such limited contribution lately, the under continues to look like the smarter side here.

Risk Factors

• Batters around Jansen in possible lineup hitting well

🎯 Vinny Capra UNDER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -110 on BetMGM

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 0 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: .667 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Last 5-Game Average: .40 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Season Batting Average: .158 average

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 under

• 5 out of last 5 under

Key Analysis

Vinny Capra’s Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs prop has been a reliable trend lately, with the under hitting in each of his last 5 games. He went scoreless in his most recent outing and is averaging just 0.667 H/R/RBI over his last 3 games and 0.40 over his last 5, both well below the 1.5 mark. His season batting average of .158 also suggests he's struggling to consistently contribute offensively. Given this combination of poor recent performance and low overall production, the under continues to be the clear value side for this prop.

Risk Factors

• Kyle Freeland gave up 9 hits in last start

🎯 Jake McCarthy UNDER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -145 on DraftKings and BetMGM

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 0 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: 0 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Last 5-Game Average: 0 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Season Batting Average: .000 average

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 under

• 5 out of last 5 under

Key Analysis

Jake McCarthy has been ice cold at the plate, making the Under 1.5 H/R/RBI a sharp look once again. He’s posted 0 H/R/RBI in each of his last five games, and his season batting average sits at a flat .000, highlighting his complete lack of offensive production. Over both his last 3 and 5 games, he's averaging 0.0 H/R/RBI, and the prop has hit the under in 5 straight. Until he shows any sign of life at the plate, riding the under here continues to be a smart and data-backed play.

Risk Factors

• .250 average against Charlie Morton

🎯 Kawhi Leonard OVER 29.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

Best Price: -122 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 38 PRA

• Last 3-Game Average: 33.3 PRA/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 34 PRA/G

• Season Average: 29.7 PRA/G

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 9 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Kawhi Leonard has been stuffing the stat sheet lately, making the Over 29.5 PRA a strong play backed by both recent form and historical trends. He’s coming off a 38 PRA performance and is averaging 34 PRA over his last 5—well above this line. His season average sits right around the number at 29.7, but he’s gone over in 4 of his last 5 and 9 of his last 10, showing a consistent upward trend. He also dropped 40 PRA in his last matchup with the Spurs, further boosting confidence in this spot. With usage high and production steady, Kawhi looks poised to clear this number again.

Risk Factors

• Questionable to play tonight

• Blowout could limit minutes

🎯 Derrick White OVER 23.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

Best Price: -120 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 24 PRA

• Last 3-Game Average: 26 PRA/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 27.4 PRA/G

• Season Average: 25.5 PRA/G

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 5 out of last 5 over

• 9 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Derrick White has been quietly crushing this PRA line, hitting the over in 9 of his last 10 games, including 5 straight. He’s averaging 26 PRA over his last 3 and 27.4 over his last 5, both comfortably above tonight’s number. On the season, he’s putting up 25.5 PRA per game, and he’s been even better against the Knicks—averaging 30 PRA in three matchups, clearing this 23.5 line in 2 of those 3. Celtics are also coming into tonights game with a lengthy injury report which could open up more opportunity for White. With consistent production across all stat categories and a favorable matchup, White looks primed to keep the streak alive.

Risk Factors

• Probable on injury report

• Higher than average minutes in recent games, could regress

MLB Home Run Hitters

MLB hitters with higher probability to hit a Home Run today based on season stats, matchups with starting pitchers and other key stats (odds from DraftKings)

• Bryan Reynolds +1000

• Paul Goldschmidt +650

• Seiya Suzuki +550

• Aaron Judge +250

Today's Featured Props Recap

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

1. 🔥 Vinny Capra UNDER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-110 BetMGM)

   • Most consistent trend: 5/5 in L5

   • Averaging just 0.667 H/R/RBI over his last 3 games

   • Season batting average of .158 also suggests he's struggling to consistently contribute offensively

2. 🔥 Derrick White OVER 23.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-120 ESPN Bet)

   • Most consistent trend: 9/10 in L10

   • Averaging 27.4 PRA over his 5 games

   • Against the Knicks, white is averaging 30 PRA in three matchups, clearing this 23.5 line in 2 of those 3

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Kawhi Leonard OVER 29.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-122 FanDuel)

• Hot streak: 9/10 in L10

• Averaging 36 PRA/G in L7

• Dropped 40 PRA in his last matchup with the Spurs

Trending Unders

1. 📉 Danny Jansen UNDER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-135 ESPN Bet, BetMGM and DraftKings)

• 5/L5 games staying UNDER

• Averaging just 0.4 H/R/RBI per Game in last 5

• Season batting average sits at a dismal .050

2. 📉 Jake McCarthy UNDER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-145 DraftKings and BetMGM)

• 5/L5 games staying UNDER

• Has yet to record a hit this season

• Just 2 H/R/RBIs over 8 games played

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

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