Yesterday’s card came up short with a -1 unit slip, but the confidence hasn’t wavered. Today’s slate is packed with high-confidence trends backed by matchup data, giving us a strong edge to bounce back. With the numbers on our side and the plays lined up, we’re ready to get back on the win train and keep August moving in the right direction.

Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• Ready to Raise Your Betting Game?

• Today's Featured Props Recap

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (08/22): 2-3 (40%; -1.04 Units)

MLB: 196-170 (54%; +21.44 Units)

August ‘25: 37-30 (55%; +3.5 Units)

All-Time: 321-271 (54%; +56.6 Units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Francisco Lindor OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -140 on Caesars

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 5 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: 4 H/R/RBIs per game

• Last 5-Game Average: 3.6 H/R/RBIs per game

• Season Average: 2.34 H/R/RBIs per game

• Confidence Score: 99

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 5 out of last 5 over

• 10 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Francisco Lindor’s OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs at -140 on Caesars stands out as one of the strongest plays on the board. He’s been on a tear, clearing this line in 10 straight games while averaging 4 H/R/RBIs over his last three and 3.6 over his last five, well above his 2.34 season average. Lindor is fresh off a 5 H/R/RBI game and brings an .851 OPS against right-handed pitching, a split that sets up well against Cal Quantrill. Quantrill owns a 5.50 ERA and has been knocked around recently, allowing 8+ hits and 7+ runs in two of his last three starts. With Lindor’s elite form, favorable matchup, and production far exceeding this line, the 99 confidence score highlights this as a top-tier prop with multiple paths to cash.

Risk Factors

• Cal Quantrill has the ability to bring a quality start (4 of last 10 with 1 or less ER and 2 or less Hits)

🎯 Dean Kremer OVER 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown

Best Price: -125 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 7 SO

• Last 3-Game Average: 6.33 SO/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 5.8 SO/G

• Season Average: 4.92 SO/G

• Confidence Score: 92

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 5 out of last 5 over

• 9 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Dean Kremer’s OVER 4.5 strikeouts at -125 on DraftKings looks like a strong play given both his recent form and the matchup. He’s cleared this number in 9 of his last 10 starts, including each of his last five, while averaging 6.33 Ks over his last three games and 5.8 over his last five, both above his 4.92 season average. Kremer is coming off a 7-strikeout outing and draws a Houston lineup that just punched out 9 times against Baltimore yesterday, with 5 of those strikeouts coming from the starter in just 4.2 innings. With consistent swing-and-miss stuff lately and a favorable opponent trend, the 92 confidence score reflects a strong chance for Kremer to get at least five punchouts again.

Risk Factors

• Kremer allows 5.68 H/G, if the Astros offense is lively early he may not go deep enough to clear today’s line

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🎯 Tyler Soderstrom OVER 0.5 Singles

Best Price: +110 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 1 single

• Last 3-Game Average: 1.33 1B/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 1.2 1B/G

• Season Average: 0.597 1B/G

• Confidence Score: 91

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Tyler Soderstrom’s OVER 0.5 singles at +110 on FanDuel comes with solid value backed by recent form and matchup. He’s recorded a single in 8 of his last 10 games, including 4 of his last 5, averaging 1.33 over his last three games and 1.2 over his last five, which is well above his 0.597 season average. At the plate, Soderstrom has handled right-handed pitching with a .365 OBP, giving him a strong split advantage. He’ll face George Kirby, who is usually efficient but just gave up 12 hits in his last start, showing some vulnerability. With consistent contact lately and a hittable spot, the 91 confidence score reflects strong plus-money value for Soderstrom to grab at least one single.

Risk Factors

• XBH will not cash

🎯 Kansas City Royals OVER 4.5 Team Total Runs

Best Price: +116 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 5 Runs

• Last 3-Game Average: 3.67 R/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 4.6 R/G

• Season Average: 3.83 R/G

• Confidence Score: 85

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 3 out of last 5 over

• 7 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

The Royals’ OVER 4.5 team total runs at +116 on FanDuel carries good value with the way this matchup sets up. Kansas City has hit this number in 7 of their last 10 games, averaging 4.6 runs per game over their last five, slightly above their 3.83 season average. They’re coming off a 5-run performance and now face Chris Paddack, who has struggled with consistency, holding a 5.10 ERA and coming off a rough outing where he allowed 8 earned runs. With KC’s offense trending up and Paddack showing vulnerability, the 85 confidence score reflects a solid chance for the Royals to push across five or more runs again.

Risk Factors

• Today’s line is in line with their season average

Today's Featured Props Recap

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

1. 🔥 Kansas City Royals OVER 4.5 Team Total Runs (+116 FanDuel)

   • Most consistent trend: 7/10 in L10

   • Averaging 4.6 R/G over last 5 games

   • They’re coming off a 5-run performance and now face Chris Paddack, who has struggled with consistency, holding a 5.10 ERA and coming off a rough outing where he allowed 8 earned runs

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Francisco Lindor OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-140 Caesars)

• Hot streak: 10/10 in L10

• Averaging 3.6 H/R/RBIs per game in L5

• Quantrill owns a 5.50 ERA and has been knocked around recently, allowing 8+ hits and 7+ runs in two of his last three starts

2. ⚡ Dean Kremer OVER 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-125 DraftKings)

• 9/L10 games going OVER

• Averaging 6.33 SO/G over last 3 starts

• Kremer is coming off a 7-strikeout outing and draws a Houston lineup that just punched out 9 times against Baltimore yesterday, with 5 of those strikeouts coming from the starter in just 4.2 innings

3. 💥 Tyler Soderstrom OVER 0.5 Singles (+110 FanDuel)

• 8/L10 games going OVER

• Averaging 1.2 singles per game over last 5

• Facing George Kirby, who is usually efficient but just gave up 12 hits in his last start, showing some vulnerability

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team