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Sharp Sticks: Riding the Hottest Bats in Baseball
Ramirez, Taylor, Butler lead today’s card
Sage Davis & Brian McAbee
May 28, 2025
Tough one yesterday—we took the reverse sweep and went 0-3. Not what we’re aiming for, but we’re bouncing back strong today. We've got some favorable pitcher vs. hitter matchups and a few hot bats we're riding with. Quick note: our stat provider is experiencing a slight delay, so the trend cards don’t yet include data from 5/27. That said, today’s analysis does factor in those latest results.
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Table of Contents
📊 WagerLens Performance Review
Yesterday (05/27): 0-3 (0%; -3 Units)
MLB: 84-79 (52%; +10.11 Units)
May ‘25: 45-38 (54%; -0.39 Units)
All-Time: 209-180 (54%; +45.3 Units)
💎 Today’s Featured Props
🎯 Tyrone Taylor OVER 0.5 Total Bases
*Taylor had 1 PH AB 5/27 0 TB
Best Price: -130 on ESPN Bet
Recent Performance
Last Game: 2 TB
Last 3-Game Average: 1 TB/G
Last 5-Game Average: 1.2 TB/G
Season Average: 1.106 TB/G
Confidence Score: 92
How Has This Prop Performed?
2 out of last 3 over
4 out of last 5 over
8 out of last 10 over
Key Analysis
Tyrone Taylor's prop of OVER 0.5 Total Bases at -130 (ESPN Bet) presents strong value based on recent performance and matchup context. Taylor has exceeded this line in 8 of his last 10 games, including 4 of the last 5, with a steady 1.2 TB average over that span—well above the threshold. He’s also coming off a 2-total-base game and maintains a season average of 1.106 TB/G, further affirming consistency. His matchup against Shane Smith is favorable: Smith has yielded 32 hits over his last 7 starts (35.2 IP), indicating vulnerability. Taylor's splits back this up as well—he’s hitting .265 vs right-handed pitchers and a strong .281 in May, suggesting both handedness and current form are in his favor. Coupled with a 92 Confidence Score, this prop shows high potential for another cash.
Risk Factors
Smith averaging about 1 K/IP over last 7 starts
🎯 Lawrence Butler OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
*trend card missing 5/27 data (5 H/R/RBIs)
Best Price: -105 on ESPN Bet
Recent Performance
Last Game: 5 H/R/RBIS
Last 3-Game Average: 3.67 H/R/RBIs per game
Last 5-Game Average: 3.6 H/R/RBIs per game
Season Average: 1.92 H/R/RBIs per game
Confidence Score: 90
How Has This Prop Performed?
3 out of last 3 over
5 out of last 5 over
Key Analysis
Lawrence Butler’s OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs prop at -105 (ESPN Bet) stands out as a high-upside play, especially given his recent surge. Butler has cleared this line in 5 straight games, averaging 3.6 H/R/RBIs over that span—nearly double his season average of 1.92. He’s delivering consistent run production, evidenced by 12 RBIs in May, and his .274 road batting average adds further appeal in this spot. The matchup enhances the edge: Lance McCullers has been shaky, giving up 9 earned runs, 10 walks, and 15 hits over his last 12.1 innings, pointing to potential for Oakland’s offense. With a 90 Confidence Score and a very reasonable price at near even odds, this prop shows excellent value for bettors riding Butler’s hot streak.
Risk Factors
Butler’s stats drop some against LHP
🎯 Jose Ramirez OVER 1.5 Total Bases
*trend card missing 5/27 data (1 TB)
Best Price: -110 on BetRivers
Recent Performance
Last Game: 1 TB
Last 3-Game Average: 2 TB/G
Last 5-Game Average: 2.2 TB/G
Season Average: 1.98 TB/G
Confidence Score: XX
How Has This Prop Performed?
1 out of last 3 over
3 out of last 5 over
7 out of last 10 over
Key Analysis
Jose Ramirez’s OVER 1.5 Total Bases prop at -110 (BetRivers) offers solid upside thanks to both recent form and a favorable matchup. Ramirez is averaging 2.2 TB over his last 5 games, comfortably clearing the line and aligning with his strong season average of 1.98 TB/G. While he’s gone over in just 3 of his last 5 games, he’s hit this mark in 7 of his last 10, showing longer-term consistency. The matchup vs. Clayton Kershaw is intriguing—Ramirez is 2-for-6 with a home run in their head-to-head history and boasts elite splits with a .419 BA and 1.134 OPS vs lefties. Add in a .367 average in May, and he’s clearly locked in at the plate. Kershaw has been solid but hittable in limited action (5 hits over 6 IP in each of his first two starts), making this a strong value play for Ramirez to tally 2+ total bases.
Risk Factors
Kershaw gave up 0 hits and 0 runs in last start (only 2 IP)
MLB Home Run Hitters Edge
MLB hitters with higher probability to hit a home run based on season stats, matchups with starting pitchers and other key stats (odds from DraftKings)
Aaron Judge +180
Julio Rodriguez +260
Shohei Ohtani +205
Today's Featured Props Recap
We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:
Best Value Plays
🔥 Lawrence Butler OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-105 ESPN Bet)
Most consistent trend: 5/5 in L5
Averaging 3.6 H/R/RBIs per game over last 5
Lance McCullers has been shaky, giving up 9 earned runs, 10 walks, and 15 hits over his last 12.1 innings, pointing to potential for Oakland’s offense
Trending Overs
1. 📈 Tyrone Taylor OVER 0.5 Total Bases (-130 ESPN Bet)
Hot streak: 8/10 in L10
Averaging 1.106 TB/G this season
matchup against Shane Smith is favorable: Smith has yielded 32 hits over his last 7 starts (35.2 IP), indicating vulnerability
2. ⚡ Jose Ramirez OVER 1.5 Total Bases (-110 BetRivers)
7/L10 games going OVER
Averaging 2.2 TB/G over last 5 games
Ramirez is 2-for-6 with a home run against Kershaw and boasts elite splits with a .419 BA and 1.134 OPS vs lefties
All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.
As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!
— The WagerLens Team