We’ve been holding steady in July, staying profitable overall with two razor-close days this week where we just missed adding to the bankroll. The reads have been sharp, the edges have been real, and now we’re lining up three high-confidence trends with one goal in mind: the sweep. The board is talking, and we’re listening. Let’s lock in, trust the data, and go get this money.

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Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• Today's Featured Props Recap

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

MLB: 144-122 (54%; +22.2 Units)

July ‘25: 15-11 (58%; +3.85 Units)

All-Time: 269-223 (55%; +57.4 Units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Ceddanne Rafaela OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -110 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 5 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: 4 H/R/RBIs per game

• Last 5-Game Average: 4.8 H/R/RBIs per game

• Season Average: 2 H/R/RBIs per game

• Confidence Score: 96

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 5 out of last 5 over

• 9 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Ceddanne Rafaela is red-hot right now, and the over on 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs at -110 is backed by elite recent form. He’s cleared this line in 9 of his last 10 games, including five straight, with a scorching 5-game average of 4.8 H/R/RBIs and a season average of 2.0. He owns a .317 OBP vs right-handed pitching and faces Drew Rasmussen, who, despite a 2.82 ERA, has given up 21 hits and 11 earned runs over his last 5 starts, including two outings under 3 innings. With Rafaela locked in and producing across all categories, he’s in a prime spot to keep the streak alive.

Risk Factors

• Rasmussen has been strong this season

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🎯 German Marquez OVER 5.5 Hits Allowed

Best Price: -110 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 11 Hits

• Last 3-Game Average: 6.67 H/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 6.4 H/G

• Season Average: 6.5 H/G

• Confidence Score: 94

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Germán Márquez has consistently allowed contact, making the over on 5.5 hits allowed a strong look at -110. He’s gone over this line in 8 of his last 10 starts, including 4 of his last 5, with a 5-game average of 6.4 hits allowed and a season average of 6.5. In his most recent outing, he gave up 11 hits, and he now faces a Reds team averaging 8.66 hits per game over their last three, including back-to-back games with 9 and 11 hits. With Márquez trending toward high-contact outings and Cincinnati swinging it well, he’s likely to give up his share of base knocks again today.

Risk Factors

• Has hit the under against strong offenses like Phillies, Padres, Brewers this season

🎯 Adolis Garcia OVER 0.5 Singles

Best Price: +115 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 1 1B

• Last 3-Game Average: 0.67 1B/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 0.80 1B/G

• Season Average: 0.517 1B/G

• Confidence Score: 92

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Adolis García has been finding ways to get on base, and the over on 0.5 singles at +115 offers sneaky value. He’s recorded a single in 8 of his last 10 games, including 4 of his last 5, with a 5-game average of 0.8 singles—well above his season average of 0.517. He owns a .284 OBP vs right-handed pitching and faces Lance McCullers, who has allowed 3+ hits in 8 of his last 9 starts. With García in good form and a hittable starter on the mound, he’s in a strong position to tally at least one base knock today.

Risk Factors

• XBH does not cash

Today's Featured Props Recap

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

1. 🔥 Adolis Garcia OVER 0.5 Singles (+115 ESPN Bet)

   • Most consistent trend: 8/10 in L10

   • Averaging 0.80 singles per game over last 5

   • He owns a .284 OBP vs right-handed pitching and faces Lance McCullers, who has allowed 3+ hits in 8 of his last 9 starts

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Ceddanne Rafaela OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-110 DraftKings)

• Hot streak: 9/10 in L10

• Averaging 4.8 H/R/RBIs per game in L5

• He owns a .317 OBP vs right-handed pitching and faces Drew Rasmussen, who, despite a 2.82 ERA, has given up 21 hits and 11 earned runs over his last 5 starts

2. ⚡ German Marquez OVER 5.5 Hits Allowed (-110 DraftKings)

• 8/L10 games going OVER

• Allowing an average of 6.5 H/G this season

• In his most recent outing, he gave up 11 hits, and he now faces a Reds team averaging 8.66 hits per game over their last three, including back-to-back games with 9 and 11 hits

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team