We’re rolling into the Sunday slate on fire—8-2 over the last two days, racking up +5.52 units of profit and reading the board with precision. The momentum is real, and we’re not looking to slow down anytime soon. Today's slate is loaded with high-confidence props, and we’ve lined up plays with 5 units of potential profit on the table. The trends are sharp, the matchups are ripe, and we’re locked in. Let’s keep riding the hot hand and cash in again!

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Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• Today's Featured Props Recap

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (07/05): 4-1 (80%; +2.74 Units)

MLB: 139-115 (55%; +23.76 Units)

July ‘25: 10-4 (71%; +5.41 Units)

All-Time: 264-216 (55%; +58.95 Units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Spencer Steer OVER 0.5 Hits

Best Price: -139 on BetRivers

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 2 Hits

• Last 3-Game Average: 1 H/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 1.2 H/G

• Season Average: 0.938 H/G

• Confidence Score: 96

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 9 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Spencer Steer has been quietly consistent at the plate, making the over on 0.5 hits a strong play at -139. He’s recorded a hit in 9 of his last 10 games, including 4 of his last 5, with a 5-game average of 1.2 and a season average of 0.938 hits per game. He owns a .324 OBP vs right-handed pitching and faces Zack Wheeler, who—despite being dominant overall—has allowed 3+ hits in every start this season except his first, including 6 in his last outing. With Steer in rhythm and Wheeler hittable for contact, the over looks like a smart, high-confidence spot.

Risk Factors

• Wheeler’s high K rate

🎯 Miguel Vargas UNDER 1.5 Total Bases

Best Price: -110 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 3 TB

• Last 3-Game Average: 1 TB/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 0.60 TB/G

• Season Average: 1.471 TB/G

• Confidence Score: 92

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 under

• 4 out of last 5 under

• 9 out of last 10 under

Key Analysis

Miguel Vargas has struggled to generate consistent offense, making the under on 1.5 total bases a strong play at -110. He’s stayed under this line in 9 of his last 10 games, with a 5-game average of just 0.6 total bases and a 3-game average of 1.0. His season average sits at 1.471, and he’s batting just .228 against right-handed pitching. While he had a 3-TB game recently, it’s been the exception rather than the norm. With limited extra-base potential and inconsistent contact, Vargas is in a tough spot to clear this number.

Risk Factors

• Dollander has been very hittable

🎯 Royce Lewis OVER 0.5 Hits

Best Price: -110 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 2 Hits

• Last 3-Game Average: 1.33 H/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 1 H/G

• Season Average: 0.714 H/G

• Confidence Score: 92

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

• 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Royce Lewis has been consistently getting on base, making the over on 0.5 hits a solid play at -110. He’s recorded at least one hit in 8 of his last 10 games, including 4 of his last 5 and each of his last 3. He’s averaging 1.33 hits over his last 3 and 1 per game over his last 5, outpacing his season average of 0.714. While his OBP vs righties sits at .253, he faces Drew Rasmussen, who has allowed 4+ hits in 4 of his last 5 starts. With Lewis in form and facing a hittable arm, he’s in a good spot to keep his streak alive.

Risk Factors

• Lewis’ stats drop some against RHP

🎯 Houston Astros Moneyline

Best Price: +155 on BetMGM

Recent Performance

• Last Game: Won

• Last 3-Game Average: 2-1

• Last 5-Game Average: 4-1

• Season Average: 54-35

• Confidence Score: 91

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 won

• 4 out of last 5 won

• 8 out of last 10 won

Key Analysis

The Astros have been rolling, and at +155, their moneyline offers strong value in this matchup. They’ve won 4 of their last 5 and 8 of their last 10, riding serious momentum into tonight’s game. Offensively, Houston is surging—averaging 10 runs per game over their last three, while the Dodgers have struggled to keep pace, putting up just 3.67 RPG in that span. Ryan Gusto (5-3, 4.90 ERA) is the likely starter for the Astros, and while he’s not elite, he’s been serviceable with solid run support. Emmet Sheehan will take the mound for L.A. in just his second start of the season after going 4 innings and allowing 1 ER in his first. With the bats red-hot and recent results in their favor, Houston is a live dog worth backing.

Risk Factors

• Dodgers have stronger season long offensive stats

🎯 Jo Adell OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -106 on Caesars

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 6 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: 4.33 H/R/RBIs per game

• Last 5-Game Average: 4 H/R/RBIs per game

• Season Average: 1.888 H/R/RBIs per game

• Confidence Score: 99

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 5 out of last 5 over

• 9 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Jo Adell is scorching hot, and even though we backed this same prop yesterday, the value is just too good to pass up again. He’s cleared 1.5 H/R/RBIs in 9 of his last 10 games—including five straight—and is averaging a monster 4.33 over his last 3. His season average of 1.888 and .500 SLG vs righties point to legit staying power, and he faces Kevin Gausman, who’s allowed 4+ hits in 8 of his last 10 starts and 2+ earned runs in 7 of them. With Adell seeing the ball as well as anyone right now, we’re riding him to cash in back-to-back days at near even money.

Risk Factors

• Cashing may depend on others in the lineup to cash

❓ Tampa Bay Rays @ Minnesota Twins NRFI… Does it hit?

Best Price: -135 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: NRFI

• Last 3-Game Average: 2/3 games NRFI

• Last 5-Game Average: 3/5 games NRFI

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 NRFI

• 3 out of last 5 NRFI

• 7 out of last 10 NRFI

Key Analysis

Will the Tampa Bay Rays @ Minnesota Twins NRFI hit?

The recent trends suggest it might. This prop has cashed in 7 of the last 10 matchups, including 3 of the last 5 and 2 of the last 3, showing a strong lean toward quiet first innings between these teams. At -135, the books are also leaning slightly toward another NRFI.

Of course, the real question comes down to today’s starters and the top of each lineup. Are the arms sharp out of the gate? Are the leadoff hitters disciplined or aggressive? While the data points in favor of another NRFI, we know how volatile the first inning can be—so it has a solid chance, but it’s far from guaranteed.

Today's Featured Props Recap

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

1. 🔥 Jo Adell OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-106 Caesars)

   • Most consistent trend: 9/10 in L10

   • Averaging 4 H/R/RBIs per game over last 5

   • His season average of 1.888 and .500 SLG vs righties point to legit staying power, and he faces Kevin Gausman, who’s allowed 4+ hits in 8 of his last 10 starts and 2+ earned runs in 7 of them

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Spencer Steer OVER 0.5 Hits (-139 BetRivers)

• Hot streak: 9/10 in L10

• Averaging 1.2 H/G in L5

• He owns a .324 OBP vs right-handed pitching and faces Zack Wheeler, who—despite being dominant overall—has allowed 3+ hits in every start this season except his first, including 6 in his last outing

2. ⚡ Royce Lewis OVER 0.5 Hits (-110 ESPN Bet)

• 8/L10 games going OVER

• Averaging 1 H/G over last 5

• While his OBP vs righties sits at .253, he faces Drew Rasmussen, who has allowed 4+ hits in 4 of his last 5 starts

Trending Unders

1. 📉 Miguel Vargas UNDER 1.5 Total Bases (-110 DraftKings)

• 9/L10 games staying UNDER

• Averaging 0.6 TB/G over last 5

• His season average sits at 1.471, and he’s batting just .228 against right-handed pitching

Watch List

1. ⚠️ Houston Astros Moneyline (+155 BetMGM)

• Strong trend but Dodgers have the stronger season long offensive stats

• They’ve won 4 of their last 5 and 8 of their last 10, riding serious momentum into tonight’s game. Offensively, Houston is surging—averaging 10 runs per game over their last three, while the Dodgers have struggled to keep pace, putting up just 3.67 RPG in that span

• Houston has not officially announced their starting pitcher. However, Ryan Gusto (5-3, 4.90 ERA) is the likely starter, and while he’s not elite, he’s been serviceable with solid run support

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team