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Table of Contents

Welcome back to another day in the sports betting world! We’ve got a full slate of MLB day games and another round of NBA play-in action on deck. The Warriors and Grizzlies battled in a nail-biter, leaving everything on the floor, while the Hawks looked flat against the Magic. Let’s break it all down, lock in the day’s best props, and go make some money!

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (04/15): 1-2 (33%)

MLB: 17-15 (53%)

NBA: 110-84 (57%)

April ‘25: 27-22 (55%)

All-Time: 137-114 (55%)

🎯 Corbin Carroll OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Best Price: +105 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 6 TB

  • Last 3-Game Average: 4 TB/G

  • Last 5-Game Average: 3.6 TB/G

  • Season Batting Average: .338 average

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 over

  • 4 out of last 5 over

  • 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Corbin Carroll is dialed in at the plate right now, and this Over 1.5 Total Bases prop at +105 on DraftKings looks like strong value. He’s cleared this number in 3 straight games, 4 of his last 5, and 8 of his last 10 overall. Over his last 3 games, he’s averaging 4 total bases per game, and he's hitting a red-hot .338 on the season. Carroll also crushes righties—he’s hit all 6 of his homers, plus 7 doubles and a triple, against RHPs. Today he faces Max Meyer, who’s allowed 15 hits in just 18 innings across his first three starts. With Carroll seeing the ball well and in a favorable matchup, this prop has both the stats and the momentum behind it.

Risk Factors

  • Meyer averaging over 1 K per Inning

🎯 Anthony Santander OVER 0.5 Total Bases

Best Price: -150 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 5 TB

  • Last 3-Game Average: 3 TB/G

  • Last 5-Game Average: 2.8 TB/G

  • Season Batting Average: .211 average

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 over

  • 5 out of last 5 over

  • 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Anthony Santander’s Over 0.5 Total Bases at -150 on ESPN Bet may not come with plus money, but it’s backed by consistent recent production and a favorable pitching situation. Santander has hit this prop in 8 of his last 10 games, including 5 straight, and is averaging 3 total bases per game over his last three outings. Despite a slow start to the season (.211 average), he’s clearly heating up at the plate. He’ll face Spencer Strider, who’s making his first start of the year after returning from UCL surgery and will likely be on a pitch count. With limited innings from Strider and Santander swinging a hot bat, this looks like a smart play to include in your slip.

Risk Factors

  • Blue Jays bullpen rebuild proving to be successful

🎯 Yainer Diaz UNDER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -110 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 0 H/R/RBIs

  • Last 3-Game Average: .33 H/R/RBIs per game

  • Last 5-Game Average: 2.4 H/R/RBI per game

  • Season Batting Average: .120 average

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 under

  • 4 out of last 5 under

  • 9 out of last 10 under

Key Analysis

Yainer Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs at -110 on DraftKings is shaping up as a sharp play given his recent struggles and a tough pitching matchup. Diaz has stayed under this number in 9 of his last 10 games, including three straight, and his current 3-game average is just 0.33 H/R/RBIs per game. While his 5-game average is skewed by one massive 10 H/R/RBI performance, he's hitting just .120 on the season. He faces Steven Matz, who’s been solid out of the gate, allowing only 11 hits and 3 runs across 11.2 innings. With Diaz in a cold stretch and Matz keeping hitters in check, the under looks like a solid value here.

Risk Factors

  • Struggling STL bullpen

🎯 Josh Giddey OVER 26.5 Points + Assists

Best Price: -138 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 39 PA

  • Last 3-Game Average: 32.33 PA/G

  • Last 5-Game Average: 30.2 PA/G

  • Season Average: 21.8 PA/G

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 over

  • 4 out of last 5 over

  • 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Josh Giddey Over 26.5 Points + Assists at -138 on FanDuel is backed by both recent form and matchup history. He’s cleared this number in 8 of his last 10 games, including 3 straight, and is averaging 32.3 PA over his last three. Even more compelling, Giddey has averaged 36 PA/G against the Heat, who he faces again in this high-stakes play-in matchup. With his season average sitting at 21.8, the recent spike in production—especially in meaningful games—suggests he's stepping up when it matters. In a win-or-go-home setting, expect the Bulls to lean on Giddey’s playmaking even more. This over has strong momentum and situational upside.

Risk Factors

  • Line sits above season average

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

  1. 🔥 Corbin Carroll OVER 1.5 Total Bases (+105 DraftKings)

    • Most consistent trend: 8/10 in L10

    • Averaging 3.6 TB/G over his last games

    • Max Meyer has allowed 15 hits in just 18 innings across his first three starts

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Anthony Santander OVER 0.5 Total Bases (-150 ESPN Bet)

  • Hot streak: 5/5 in L5

  • Averaging 2.8 TB/G in L5

  • Facing Spencer Strider, who’s making his first start of the year after returning from UCL surgery and will likely be on a pitch count

2. âš¡ Josh Giddey OVER 26.5 Points + Assists (-138 FanDuel)

  • 8/L10 games going OVER

  • Averaging 32.3 PA/ over his last three

  • Averaging 36 PA/G against the Heat

Trending Unders

1. 📉 Yainer Diaz UNDER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-110 DraftKings)

  • 9/L10 games staying UNDER

  • Season batting average sits at just .120

  • Steven Matz has been solid out of the gate, allowing only 11 hits and 3 runs across 11.2 innings

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team