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Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

• Today's Featured Props Recap

What a weekend! We closed things out with a 4-1 Sunday, bringing our Saturday/Sunday record to 7-2. Today’s MLB slate is a bit lighter, but there are still some strong hitter vs. pitcher matchups worth targeting.

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (04/20): 4-1 (80%)

MLB: 28-22 (56%)

NBA: 111-84 (57%)

April ‘25: 39-29 (57%)

All-Time: 149-121 (55%)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Marcell Ozuna OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -140 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 4 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: 2.33 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Last 5-Game Average: 2 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Season Average: 2.22 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Confidence Score: 86

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 3 out of last 5 over

• 7 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Marcell Ozuna’s prop for OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs looks like a strong play tonight. Ozuna has been consistently productive, averaging 2.33 H/R/RBIs over his last 3 games and 2.22 on the season, both comfortably above the 1.5 line. He’s hit this number in 7 of his last 10 games, showing reliable form. More encouraging is his track record against starter Erick Fedde—Ozuna owns a .583 average (12 ABs) against him with 2 home runs, and Fedde has been vulnerable early this year, giving up 13 hits and 8 runs in his first 4 starts. Add in a shaky 4.64 ERA from the Cardinals bullpen, and Ozuna should have multiple chances to deliver. With a confidence score of 86, this is one of the more solid edges on the board.

Risk Factors

• Could depend on others around him in the lineup

🎯 Kyle Stowers OVER 0.5 Hits

Best Price: -125 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 2 Hits

• Last 3-Game Average: 1 H/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 1 H/G

• Season Average: 1.05 H/G

• Confidence Score: 85

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 3 out of last 5 over

• 7 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Kyle Stowers' OVER 0.5 Hits prop at -125 on DraftKings offers sneaky value based on recent form and matchup. He’s recorded a hit in 7 of his last 10 games, including 2 hits in his last outing, and is averaging 1 hit per game over his last 5, right in line with his season average of 1.05 hits per game. What really stands out, though, is his dominance against left-handed pitching—Stowers is batting .500 in 24 ABs vs LHP this season. He faces Nick Lodolo, a lefty who's been solid but hittable, allowing 17 hits in 23.1 innings. With a strong recent trend and elite splits vs lefties, Stowers needs just one knock to cash this.

Risk Factors

• 0-2 career against Lodolo

🎯 Pete Alonso OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -110 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 2 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: 2.67 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Last 5-Game Average: 2.4 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Season Average: 2.909 H/R/RBIs per game

• Confidence Score: 76

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 over

• 3 out of last 5 over

Key Analysis

Pete Alonso’s OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs at -110 on DraftKings looks like a sharp play, especially considering his strong history against Aaron Nola. Alonso owns a .320 career average in 50 ABs against Nola with 5 home runs, showing he’s not just making contact—he’s doing damage. He’s hit this line in 3 of his last 5 games, and his recent averages—2.67 over the last 3 and 2.4 over the last 5—are well above the 1.5 mark. On the season, he’s averaging a robust 2.91 H/R/RBIs per game. Nola, while still capable, has been hittable early on, allowing 27 hits and 16 runs in 21.2 innings.

Risk Factors

• Has missed this line twice in last 5 games

• Can be dependent on others performance

MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

MLB hitters with higher probability to hit a home run based on season stats, matchups with starting pitchers and other key stats (odds from DraftKings)

• Pete Alonso +425

• Spencer Torkelson +475

• Juan Soto +370

• Marcell Ozuna +300

Today's Featured Props Recap

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

1. 🔥 Pete Alonso OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-110 DraftKings)

   • Most consistent trend: 2/3 in L3

   • Averaging 2.67 H/R/RBIs per Game over L3

   • Alonso owns a .320 career average in 50 ABs against Nola with 5 home runs

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Kyle Stowers OVER 0.5 Hits (-125 DraftKings)

• Hot streak: 2/3 in L3

• Averaging 1 hit per game over his last 5, right in line with his season average of 1.05 hits per game

• Stowers is batting .500 in 24 ABs vs LHP this season

2. ⚡ Marcell Ozuna OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-140 ESPN Bet)

• 7/L10 games going OVER

• Season average of 2.22 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Ozuna owns a .583 average (12 ABs) against Fedde with 2 home runs

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team