Sunday Kickoff: Best Props to Start the Season

Spotlighting players and matchups with sharp value today

We closed out yesterday with a profitable MLB slate, and now it’s time to shift gears to the first full NFL Sunday of the season. Today’s breakdown will look a little different than what you’ll see in the weeks ahead, without fresh-season data points, we’re leaning more on matchups, personnel, and historical performance. As the season unfolds and trends take shape, our NFL analysis will sharpen with the same statistical edges you’ve come to expect from WagerLens.

Table of Contents

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (09/06): 2-1 (67%; +1.15 Units)

September ‘25: 6-10 (38%; -3.87 Units)

All-Time: 339-295 (53%; +49.6 Units)

🎯 Bucky Irving OVER 95.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards

Best Price: -112 on DraftKings

Key Analysis

Irving draws a favorable spot against an Atlanta defense that gave up 120.6 rushing yards per game last season. Tampa Bay’s ground game was one of the most efficient in football, ranking top-3 in yards per carry, and they return the same offensive line that paved the way in 2024. With his dual-threat ability as both a rusher and receiver, Irving is well positioned to clear this line.

🎯 Jayden Daniels OVER 44.5 Rushing Yards

Best Price: -110 on DraftKings

Key Analysis

Daniels has already shown he can move the ball on the ground against New York, recording 44 and 35 rushing yards in their two matchups last season. The Giants struggled to contain rushing attacks in 2024, allowing 136.2 yards per game, the 7th most in the league. With his mobility being a key part of Washington’s offense, Daniels has a strong chance to surpass this line.

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🎯 Joe Burrow OVER 268.5 Passing Yards

Best Price: -110 on Pinnacle

Key Analysis

Burrow averaged 289 passing yards per game last season and enters 2025 with his full receiving corps intact. The continuity with Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Andrei Iosivas gives him plenty of downfield firepower, while Chase Brown adds another dimension as a checkdown option who can turn short passes into explosive gains. With volume and weapons on his side, Burrow is well-positioned to clear this line.

NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer Edge

NFL players most likely to reach the end zone, backed by stats and matchups.

  • Aaron Jones

  • Bucky Irving

  • Justin Jefferson

  • Derrick Henry

  • Brock Bowers

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team