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Table of Contents

• 📊 WagerLens Performance Review

• 💎 Today’s Featured Props

• MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

• Today's Featured Props Recap

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (05/07): 5-0 (100%; +3.65 Units)

MLB: 51-52 (50%; +8.53 Units)

NBA: 115-85 (58%; +42.38 Units)

May ‘25: 12-10 (55%; -0.97 Units)

All-Time: 176-152 (53.7%; +44.7 Units)

💎 Today’s Featured Props

🎯 Byron Buxton OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -125 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 6 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: 5.67 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Last 5-Game Average: 4.2 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Season Average: 2.618 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Confidence Score: 91

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 5 out of last 5 over

• 7 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Byron Buxton’s prop of OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs at -125 on DraftKings looks like a sharp play backed by strong recent form and a favorable matchup. He’s gone over this line in 7 of his last 10 games, including a perfect 5-for-5 streak in his last five, averaging 4.2 H/R/RBIs in that span. His season average of 2.618 still clears the line, and his last game total of 6 highlights his current momentum. Buxton is especially dangerous with runners on, hitting .364 with RISP, and faces Dean Kremer, who has allowed 24 runs on 43 hits over his last 37.2 IP. With 21 of Buxton’s 25 RBIs coming against right-handed pitching and a confidence score of 91, the over has a strong data-backed case.

Risk Factors

• Others in line up may need to help this prop cash

🎯 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Best Price: -130 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 3 H/R/RBIs

• Last 3-Game Average: 2.33 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Last 5-Game Average: 2.2 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Season Average: 2.028 H/R/RBIs per Game

• Confidence Score: 85

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 3 out of last 3 over

• 4 out of last 5 over

Key Analysis

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs at -130 on ESPN Bet is supported by consistent production and a favorable matchup. He's cleared this line in 3 straight games and 4 of his last 5, averaging 2.2 H/R/RBIs over that five-game stretch—comfortably above the threshold. His season average of 2.028 also suggests the over is well within reach. Vlad is batting .300 with RISP, contributing 16 RBIs in those spots, and now faces Jose Soriano, who's given up 17 runs on 41 hits over his last 40 innings, while allowing a .290 average to right-handed hitters.

Risk Factors

• Vlad’s BA dips against RHP

🎯 Dean Kremer UNDER 17.5 Outs

Best Price: -123 on Pinnacle

Recent Performance

• Last Game: 21 outs

• Last 3-Game Average: 18 Outs/G

• Last 5-Game Average: 16.8 Outs/G

• Season Average: 16.143 Outs/G

• Confidence Score: 85

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 under

• 4 out of last 5 under

Key Analysis

Dean Kremer’s UNDER 17.5 Outs prop at -123 on Pinnacle presents solid value given both his recent trends and the matchup against a disciplined Twins lineup. Kremer has gone under this line in 4 of his last 5 starts, averaging just 16.8 outs in that span and 16.143 outs per start on the season. While he did log 21 outs in his most recent outing, that appears to be the exception rather than the norm. The Twins have consistently limited opposing starters, holding them to an average of 15.5 outs over their last 10 games. Additionally, Kremer’s 24 earned runs and 43 hits allowed over his last 37.2 innings suggest continued volatility and inefficiency, both of which support the under.

Risk Factors

• Strong last outing (21 outs)

🎯 Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline

Best Price: -136 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

• Last Game: won

• Last 3-Game Average: 2-1

• Last 5-Game Average: 4-1

• Season Average: 21-15

• Confidence Score: 91

How Has This Prop Performed?

• 2 out of last 3 won

• 4 out of last 5 won

• 8 out of last 10 won

Key Analysis

The Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline at -136 on FanDuel stands out as a strong play, backed by consistent team performance and an edge at the plate. The Phillies have won 4 of their last 5 and 8 of their last 10, pushing their season record to 21-15. Offensively, they’re producing 4.83 runs per game, notably better than the Rays’ 3.75. Phillies starter Jesús Luzardo has been sharp lately (3-0 with a 1.94 ERA over his last 7) and their overall momentum and run production should give them the edge, especially against Pepiot, who has a 4.23 ERA and a 2-4 record.

Risk Factors

• Allow more runs per game than Rays on average

MLB Home Run Hitters Edge

MLB hitters with higher probability to hit a home run based on season stats, matchups with starting pitchers and other key stats (odds from DraftKings)

• Byron Buxton +300

• Vinnie Pasquantino +600

• Spencer Torkelson (Game 1) +295

• Freddie Freeman +330

Today's Featured Props Recap

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

1. 🔥 Byron Buxton OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-125 DraftKings)

   • Most consistent trend: 5/5 in L5

   • Averaging 4.2 H/R/RBIs per game over last 5

   • Buxton is especially dangerous with runners on, hitting .364 with RISP, and faces Dean Kremer, who has allowed 24 runs on 43 hits over his last 37.2 IP

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-130 ESPN Bet)

• Hot streak: 6/7 in L7

• Averaging 2.2 H/R/RBIs per game in L5

• Vlad is batting .300 with RISP, contributing 16 RBIs in those spots, and now faces Jose Soriano, who's given up 17 runs on 41 hits over his last 40 innings

Trending Unders

1. 📉 Dean Kremer UNDER 17.5 Outs (-123 Pinnacle)

• 6/L7 games staying UNDER

• Averaging just 16.14 outs per game this season

• Twins have consistently limited opposing starters, holding them to an average of 15.5 outs over their last 10 games.

Watch List

1. ⚠️ Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline (-136 FanDuel)

• Strong trend but Phillies allow more runs to opponents than Rays

• 4-1 over last 5 and they’re producing 4.83 runs per game, notably better than the Rays’ 3.75

• Phillies starter Jesús Luzardo has been sharp lately (3-0 with a 1.94 ERA over his last 7) and their overall momentum and run production should give them the edge, especially against Pepiot, who has a 4.23 ERA and a 2-4 record

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team