Targeting Power Hitters Ahead of Superstars (4/15)

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Table of Contents

Good afternoon to our loyal subscribers! We went 2-1 on newsletter picks yesterday, coming very close to a sweep. Our pick on Trevor Larnach was unfortunately a miss, but the only barely. He provided nearly all the offense for the paltry Twins’ lineup, and we won’t hesitate to keep trusting out analysis today. Our numbers for MLB picks are starting to accumulate, and that will only continue to improve.

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (04/14): 2-1 (67%)

NBA: 110-84 (56.7%)

Apr ‘25: 26-20 (56.6%)

All-Time: 136-112 (54.8%)

🎯 Nolan Schanuel OVER 0.5 Total Bases

Best Price: -150 on ESPNBet

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 5 TB

  • Last 3-Game Average: 3.7 TB

  • Last 5-Game Average: 3 TB

  • Season Average: 1.9 TB

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 over

  • 5 out of last 5 over

  • 9 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Nolan Schanuel appears to be settling into the season after a questionable start. He has the unique benefit of sharing a lineup with a healthy Mike Trout, which always lifts up the ancillary pieces like Schanuel. The Angels are off to a surprisingly strong start and this wager is a reasonable bet to expect it to continue.

Risk Factors

  • No starting pitcher announced for Texas yet

🎯 Paul Goldschmidt OVER 1.5 Hits Runs RBIs

Best Price: -120 on ESPNBet

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 2 H R RBI

  • Last 3-Game Average: 2 H R RBI

  • Last 5-Game Average: 2.2 H R RBI

  • Season Average: 2.3 H R RBI

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 2 out of last 3 over

  • 4 out of last 5 over

  • 7 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Goldy has started the season strong, often batting leadoff and helping the Yankees generate some offense around Aaron Judge. Similar to the appeal with Schanuel, hitters that are near superstars in the lineup tend to get better pitches to hit. This occurs because pitchers cannot afford to put runners on base ahead of major power hitters, forcing them to play more in the zone against inferior matchups. Look for Goldschmidt to get plenty of pitches to hit today.

Risk Factors

  • Facing competent starter in Michael Wacha

🎯 Michael Harris II UNDER 0.5 Runs

Best Price: -125 on Caesars

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 1 run

  • Last 3-Game Average: 0.7 runs

  • Last 5-Game Average: 0.4 runs

  • Season Average: 03 runs

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 1 out of last 3 under

  • 3 out of last 5 under

  • 7 out of last 10 under

Key Analysis

Don’t let the runs over the weekend fool you - Harris II is off to a terrible start. He stumbled into a couple runs, but his individual numbers do not lie. He is barely above a .200 BA and is around a .550 OPS, which is about 200 points off of respectable. Atlanta is floundering and faces a tough matchup with Gausman today, making Harris II an appealing target.

Risk Factors

  • L3 trends look better for Harris than our usual picks

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Nolan Schanuel OVER 0.5 Total Bases (-150 on ESPNBet)

  • Hit over in 9/L10

  • 9 total bases in last 2 games

  • Buoyed by a healthy Mike Trout

2. âš¡ Paul Goldschmidt OVER 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

  • 4/L5 hit the over

  • Benefits by batting ahead of Judge daily

  • Early season data show his numbers bouncing back from last season

Trending Unders

1. 📉 Michael Harris II UNDER 0.5 runs (-125 on Caesars)

  • 7/L10 games under

  • Braves facing tough matchup on road against Gausman

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team