Three Trending Overs: Have the Books Caught Up?

Sharp Analysis. Simple Execution. Daily Value.

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Not the night we envisioned. Tennessee basketball forgot how to score in the first half, making the over a long shot. The Pistons and Timberwolves turned into a boxing match, leading to multiple ejections and a narrow miss on the total. And Jose Alvarado? One last defensive rebound with three seconds left put him just over his line—leaving us with a brutal hook. But today's a new day, and the last one of the month. We started hot—let's finish even hotter.

šŸ“Š WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (03/30): 0-4 (0%)

NBA: 99-75 (57%)

March ā€˜25: 40-38 (51%)

All-Time: 109-90 (55%)

šŸŽÆ Jalen Green OVER 34.5 PRA (Points + Rebounds + Assists)

Best Price: +160 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 37 PRA

  • Last 3-Game Average: 39.7 PRA/G

  • Last 5-Game Average: 33.4 PRA/G

  • Season Average: 29.7 PRA/G

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 over

  • 4 out of last 5 over

  • 9 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Jalen Green has been on fire, hitting this prop in 9 of his last 10 games. His last three-game average of 39.7 PRA suggests he's well above the 34.5 line. Even though his 5-game average (33.4 PRA) is slightly below, his most recent performance (37 PRA) keeps the over looking strong. Most importantly, he torched the Lakers for 43 PRA in their last matchup. If he gets similar opportunities, this line could be too low. Considering his form, strong hit rate, and previous success against the Lakers, the over remains a solid bet.

Risk Factors

  • Season average well below tonights line

šŸŽÆ Coby White OVER 23.5 Points

Best Price: -130 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 25 points

  • Last 3-Game Average: 29.3 PPG

  • Last 5-Game Average: 31.8 PPG

  • Season Average: 20.4 PPG

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 over

  • 5 out of last 5 over

  • 9 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Coby White has been on a serious scoring surge, averaging 31.8 PPG over his last five games, which is nearly 8 points above this 23.5 line. Even his last three games, where he is averaging 29.3 PPG, indicate he’s comfortably clearing this number. Despite a season average of just 20.4 PPG, his recent form is undeniable—he’s hit this prop in 9 of his last 10 games and is consistently outperforming expectations. OKC is coming into tonights game with a hefty injury report which should change their game plan and coverage against White’s shooting. With his current hot streak and a perfect 5-for-5 over the last five games, the over looks like a strong play as long as his volume and efficiency remain high.

Risk Factors

  • Just 9 points in last matchup with OKC

šŸŽÆ Ja Morant OVER 30.5 PA (Points + Assists)

Best Price: -129 on Caesars

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 32 PA

  • Last 3-Game Average: 39.3 PA/G

  • Last 5-Game Average: 39.4 PA/G

  • Season Average: 29.8 PA/G

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 over

  • 5 out of last 5 over

  • 9 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Ja Morant has been consistently clearing this line, hitting the over in 9 of his last 10 games, and averaging nearly 40 PA over his last five games. His last matchup against the Celtics, where he put up 41 PA, suggests he can thrive against a strong opponent. His season average of 29.8 PA is slightly below the mark, but his recent form is significantly stronger, making this prop look like a great spot. Given his hot streak, elite playmaking, and strong history against Boston, the over is a strong play.

Risk Factors

  • Celtics have been limiting opponents points scored

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

  1. šŸ”„ Coby White OVER 23.5 Points (-130 DraftKings)

    • Most consistent trend: 9/10 in L10

    • averaging 31.8 PPG over his last five games

    • OKC is coming into tonights game with a hefty injury report which should change their game plan and coverage against White’s shooting

Trending Overs

1. šŸ“ˆ Ja Morant OVER 30.5 PA (-129 Caesars)

  • Hot streak: 9/10 in L10

  • Averaging 39.8 PA/G in L5

  • 41 PA in last matchup with the Celtics

Watch List

1. āš ļø Jalen Green OVER 34.5 PRA (+160 ESPN Bet)

  • Strong trend but 5 PRA above season average

  • Torched the Lakers for 43 PRA in their last matchup

  • Crazy fluctuations in Green’s performance but he has been hot and surpassed this line by 8 PRA last time he played the Lakers.

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

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