Targeting Blowouts: Bad Teams on the Road

Sharp Analysis. Simple Execution. Daily Value.

Author

Samuel Garmoe
March 16, 2025

Table of Contents

Welcome in to today’s WagerLens NBA Props breakdown! Yesterday featured a 1-1 record, as Ja Morant was a surprise inactive. We suffered a rare spike game from VanVleet, while Josh Hart failed to score a single point. Tough to hit your PA line without any of those elusive points to help out. Not a bad result overall even with the VanVleet aberration, and today will be better!

🚨 Bracket Challenge Alert! 🚨

We’re launching a March Madness Bracket Challenge for both the men's and women's tournaments! The winner of each bracket will score $100 and a 6-month WagerLens subscription ($60 value)—completely free. In addition, the 2nd and 3rd place entries will get a 6-month WagerLens subscription ($60 value)—completely free.

Join the action now! Links to both brackets are below. Let’s cash some winners! 💰🏀

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (3/15): 1-1 (50%)

NBA: 91-59 (60.67%)

March ‘25: 27-13 (67.50%)

All-Time: 96-66 (59.26%)

🎯 Max Christie UNDER 18.5 PR

Best Price: -125 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 6 PR

  • Last 3-Game Average: 10.7 PR

  • Last 5-Game Average: 12.0 PR

  • Season Average: 12.4 PR

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 under

  • 5 out of last 5 under

  • 10 out of last 10 under

Key Analysis

The Mavericks are in an absolute freefall since trading Luka, and Max Christie is no exception. Their roster depth is struggling and losing Kyrie has really taken the bottom out of their offense. Even in a home game against the paltry 76ers, we are still going to target one of the league’s coldest teams whenever we can.

Risk Factors

  • Home game against a bad team can inflate stats

🎯 Miles Bridges OVER 25.5 PA

Best Price: -115 on DraftKings

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 29 PA

  • Last 3-Game Average: 35 PA

  • Last 5-Game Average: 36.8 PA

  • Season Average: 25.2 PA

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 over

  • 5 out of last 5 over

  • 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Miles Bridges is on a mini heater recently, evidenced by his 5 game PA average of nearly 37. Tonight the Hornets will likely be playing from behind, as they will need to keep up with the superior Clippers on the road. As the Hornets work to keep the pace, look for Bridges to shoulder the load and share the ball with LaMelo.

Risk Factors

  • Huge blowout could cause starts to hit the bench early

🎯 Donte DiVincenzo OVER 21.5 PRA

Best Price: -117 on Caesars

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 22 PRA

  • Last 3-Game Average: 22 PRA

  • Last 5-Game Average: 22.6 PRA

  • Season Average: 19.1 PRA

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 over

  • 5 out of last 5 over

  • 9 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Here we target another likely blowout in the Jazz v Timberwolves. DiVincenzo is a glue man in the Timberwolves lineup, showing off his well-known intense gameplay and focus on team success over personal stats. Thankfully, that tends to pay off in the stat sheet and we see this game as yet another target.

Risk Factors

  • Early blowout may favor low overall stats for starters

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Miles Bridges OVER 25.5 PA (-115 on DraftKings)

  • Hot streak: 5/L5 over

  • Averaging 35 PA over L3

2. ⚡ Donte DiVincenzo OVER 21.5 PRA (-117 on Caesar’s)

  • 5/L5 games going OVER

  • Key cog in balanced MIN offense

Trending Unders

1. 📉 Max Christie UNDER 18.5 PR (-125 on ESPN Bet)

  • 10/L10 games staying UNDER

  • Stats declining as Dallas plummets

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

Ready to Raise Your Betting Game?

Join the sharpest sports bettors in the game at WagerLens.com. Our cutting-edge platform gives you the tools, data, and insights you need to make smarter bets.

With WagerLens, you'll unlock access to:

  • Advanced analytics & proprietary algorithms

  • Intuitive tools for market analysis

  • Expert educational content

  • A passionate community of winning bettors

Join WagerLens now and start betting smarter!

For daily NBA plays and insights, be sure to follow WagerLens on X as we keep you updated on the action!

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team