- The WagerLens Newsletter
- Posts
- The Daily Edge: 3/7 NBA Props Edition
The Daily Edge: 3/7 NBA Props Edition
Sharp Analysis. Simple Execution. Daily Value.
Table of Contents
Another sweep to keep pushing our March success rate up! Yesterday’s success puts us at 8-1 over the last three days. You can get used to that kind of quantified analysis here at WagerLens. Let’s keep it going headed into the weekend.
📊 WagerLens Performance Review
Yesterday (03/06): 3-0 (100%)
NBA: 78-50 (61%)
Mar ‘25: 14-4 (77.7%)
All-Time: 83-57 (59.2%)
💎 Today’s Featured Props
🎯 Isaiah Joe UNDER 17.5 Points
Best Price: -120 on DraftKings
Recent Performance
Last Game: 8 points
Last 3-Game Average: 6.7 PPG
Last 5-Game Average: 7.0 PPG
Season Average: 9.4 PPG
How Has This Prop Performed?
3 out of last 3 under
5 out of last 5 under
10 out of last 10 under
Key Analysis
Isaiah Joe has not exceeded 15 points in over a month, making this play a strong wager. His minutes have steeply declined since February, even in instances of a blowout win. The books have yet to adjust for his diminished role, making all of his unders a clear target.
Risk Factors
Bench players often play more in blowout wins
🎯 Jaden McDaniels OVER 15.5 Points + Assists
Best Price: -110 on ESPN Bet
Recent Performance
Last Game: 33 PA
Last 3-Game Average: 23 PA
Last 5-Game Average: 22 PA
Season Average: 14.5 PA
How Has This Prop Performed?
3 out of last 3 over
5 out of last 5 over
9 out of last 10 over
Key Analysis
Jaden McDaniels has become a staple in the Minnesota lineup, with increased minutes since Rudy Gobert’s injury. Even if Gobert returns tonight, McDaniels’ hot streak is likely to continue with the Wolves in need of wins. He has smashed this line recently, with his only miss coming in a tough matchup against OKC.
Risk Factors
Minutes could reduce if Gobert returns from injury
🎯 Josh Hart UNDER 6.5 Assists
Best Price: -140 on DraftKings
Recent Performance
Last Game: 2 assists
Last 3-Game Average: 2.7 APG
Last 5-Game Average: 3.6 APG
Season Average: 5.6 APG
How Has This Prop Performed?
3 out of last 3 under
5 out of last 5 under
9 out of last 10 under
Key Analysis
In addition to a downward swing in his assists recently, Jalen Brunson is in line to miss time with an ankle injury. We see the loss of the offense’s best playmaker as a hit to overall assist potential, making this a line to target.
Risk Factors
New lineup could introduce volatility to stat lines
Today's Featured Props Recap
We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:
Trending Overs
1. 📈 Jaden McDaniels OVER 15.5 Points + Assists (-110 on ESPN Bet)
Hot streak: 9/10 in L10
Averaging 23 PA IN L3
Key contributor without Gobert healthy
Trending Unders
1. 📉 Isaiah Joe UNDER 17.5 Points (-120 on DraftKings)
10/L10 games hitting UNDER
Minutes have declined significantly over last month
2. 📉 Josh Hart UNDER 6.5 Assists (-140 on DraftKings)
9/L10 games hitting UNDER
Brunson’s injury reduces potential for assists
All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.
Ready to Raise Your Betting Game?
Join the sharpest sports bettors in the game at WagerLens.com. Our cutting-edge platform gives you the tools, data, and insights you need to make smarter bets.
With WagerLens, you'll unlock access to:
Advanced analytics & proprietary algorithms
Intuitive tools for market analysis
Expert educational content
A passionate community of winning bettors
Join WagerLens now and start betting smarter!
For daily NBA plays and insights, be sure to follow WagerLens on X as we keep you updated on the action!
As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!
— The WagerLens Team