Lakers @ Pacers: Tonight's Exciting Showdown

#5 Lakers take on #4 Pacers in Indiana

March 26, 2025

Table of Contents

Yesterday we went 1-2, but we’re still staying profitable for the month and ready to get back to our winning ways today. We've got two exciting matchups on the slate: the Celtics taking on the Suns in Phoenix and the Lakers facing the Pacers. Plus, with March Madness returning tomorrow and MLB’s Opening Day right around the corner, it’s shaping up to be a jam-packed week of action. Let’s dive in and keep the momentum rolling!

📊 WagerLens Performance Review

Yesterday (03/25): 1-2 (33%)

NBA: 94-68 (58%)

March ‘25: 33-28 (54%)

All-Time: 102-81 (55.7%)

🎯 Luka Doncic OVER 45.5 PRA (Points + Rebounds + Assists)

Best Price: -112 on FanDuel

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 46 PRA

  • Last 3-Game Average: 46.7 PRA/G

  • Last 5-Game Average: 47.2 PRA/G

  • Season Average: 44 PRA/G

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 over

  • 4 out of last 5 over

  • 8 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Luka Dončić has been on a tear, surpassing tonight’s PRA line in 8 of his last 10 games while averaging 48.7 PRA over his last 7—3 PRA higher than the set line. In his previous matchup against the Pacers, he erupted for 56 PRA (while playing for the Mavs). This season, he has hit this mark in roughly 50% of his games. Indiana plays at the 8th fastest pace in the NBA, and Dončić thrives in up-tempo matchups, averaging 47.9 PRA per game against the league’s fastest teams. With this game shaping up to be a high-scoring affair, the over looks like a strong play.

Risk Factors

  • Possibly regressing towards his season average

  • Fully healthy Lakers lineup

🎯 Tyrese Haliburton OVER 9.5 Assists

Best Price: -136 on Pinnacle

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: 11 assists

  • Last 3-Game Average: 12.7 APG

  • Last 5-Game Average: 11.6 APG

  • Season Average: 9.1 APG

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 over

  • 5 out of last 5 over

  • 10 out of last 10 over

Key Analysis

Tyrese Haliburton has been a key facilitator for the Indiana Pacers this season, averaging 9.1 assists per game over 64 games. The Lakers allow the 9th most assists per game to opponents, providing a favorable playmaking environment. In his last matchup with Los Angeles, Haliburton recorded 9 assists, just shy of tonight’s line. However, he has consistently demonstrated his ability to rack up double-digit assists, surpassing 9.5 in 55% of his games this season. With tonight’s game expected to be a close contest, Haliburton should have plenty of opportunities to create for his teammates and push past this mark.

Risk Factors

  • Just missed tonight’s line last matchup

  • Assists dependent on teammates scoring

🎯 Phoenix Suns Moneyline

Best Price: -150 on ESPN Bet

Recent Performance

  • Last Game: Won

  • Last 3-Game Average: 100% win rate

  • Last 5-Game Average: 100% win rate

  • Season Average: 73.6% win rate

How Has This Prop Performed?

  • 3 out of last 3 won

  • 5 out of last 5 won

  • 9 out of last 10 won

Key Analysis

The Celtics enter tonight’s matchup as 4.5-point favorites against the Suns, despite missing their leading scorer, Jayson Tatum, who is listed as doubtful. While the Suns boast a higher shooting percentage, Boston has consistently outscored Phoenix on average this season. Phoenix comes in riding a four-game win streak, including six straight home victories. However, they have struggled against top-tier teams, and their defense remains inconsistent. Although Jalen Brown, Derrick White, and Al Horford have been underperforming in recent games, Boston’s depth and defensive edge give them a strong chance to secure the win. If key role players step up in Tatum’s absence, the Celtics should be able to snap the Suns’ home streak and cover the moneyline.

Risk Factors

  • Tatum likely out

  • Suns win streak

We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:

Best Value Plays

  1. 🔥 Luka Doncic OVER 45.5 PRA (-112 FanDuel)

    • Most consistent trend: 4/5 in L5

    • Averaging 48.7 PRA over L7

    • Indiana plays at the 8th fastest pace in the NBA, and Dončić thrives in up-tempo matchups, averaging 47.9 PRA per game against the league’s fastest teams

Trending Overs

1. 📈 Tyrese Haliburton OVER 9.5 Assists (-136 Pinnacle)

  • Hot streak: 10/10 in L10

  • Averaging 12.1 APG in L7

  • The Lakers allow the 9th most assists per game to opponents, providing a favorable playmaking environment

Watch List

1. ⚠️ Boston Celtics Moneyline (-150 ESPN Bet)

  • Strong trend but Jason Tatum is out and key players have been underperforming their potential in recent games

  • Celtics are on a hot streak and have won all but 1 of their games without Tatum this year.

  • Suns are on a 4 game win streak and have a 6 home game win streak

All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.

Ready to Raise Your Betting Game?

Join the sharpest sports bettors in the game at WagerLens.com. Our cutting-edge platform gives you the tools, data, and insights you need to make smarter bets.

With WagerLens, you'll unlock access to:

  • Advanced analytics & proprietary algorithms

  • Intuitive tools for market analysis

  • Expert educational content

  • A passionate community of winning bettors

Join WagerLens now and start betting smarter!

For daily NBA plays and insights, be sure to follow WagerLens on X as we keep you updated on the action!

As always, bet responsibly and let’s make some money!

— The WagerLens Team