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The Daily Edge: 3/2 NBA Props Edition
Sharp Analysis. Simple Execution. Daily Value.
Table of Contents
We kicked off March with a solid 2-1 record, keeping the bankroll growing with NBA plays and beyond. Another profitable stretch ahead as we break down today’s 9-game slate, including some early action. Stay locked in and let’s cash!
📊 WagerLens Performance Review
Yesterday (3/25): 2-1 (67%)
NBA: 66-47 (58%)
Mar ‘25: 2-1 (67%)
All-Time: 71-53 (57%)
💎 Today’s Featured Props
🎯 Tourmani Camara OVER 1.5 Assists
Best Price: -125 on DraftKings
Recent Performance
Last Game: 4 assists
Last 3-Game Average: 3 assists
Last 5-Game Average: 3.6 assists
Season Average: 2.1 assists
How Has This Prop Performed?
3 out of last 3 over
5 out of last 5 over
9 out of last 10 over
Key Analysis
Over his last five games, Toumani Camara has been dishing out 3.6 assists per game—more than double his line for today. Coming off a 4-assist performance, even a slight dip in production could still get us across the finish line. Camara’s season has seen some variance, with assist totals ranging from 0 to 6, but all we need today is an average outing to cash in.
Risk Factors
Low floor for assists in a game this season
Potential blowout could limit minutes
🎯 Lonzo Ball UNDER 4.5 Rebounds
Best Price: -120 on DraftKings
Recent Performance
Last Game: 2 rebounds
Last 3-Game Average: 2.7 rebounds
Last 5-Game Average: 3 rebounds
Season Average: 3.4 rebounds
How Has This Prop Performed?
3 out of last 3 under
5 out of last 5 under
9 out of last 10 under
Key Analysis
Over his last 10 games, Lonzo Ball has been grabbing boards right in line with his season average. However, in two matchups vs. the Pacers this season, he’s averaging just 2.5 rebounds—well below today’s line. Given his recent trends and past struggles against Indiana, the under looks like the sharp play.
Risk Factors
As many as 8 rebounds in a game this season
Team leader in rebounds Out in today’s game
🎯 Coby White UNDER 2.5 Turnovers
Best Price: -105 on DraftKings
Recent Performance
Last Game: 2 turnovers
Last 3-Game Average: 2 turnovers
Last 5-Game Average: 1.6 turnovers
Season Average: 2.3 turnovers
How Has This Prop Performed?
3 out of last 3 under
5 out of last 5 under
10 out of last 10 under
Key Analysis
Coby White has been taking care of the ball, averaging just 1.7 turnovers over his last 10 games and hasn’t recorded 3 or more in any of them. Against the Pacers this season, he’s averaging just 2 turnovers, and with Indiana forcing an NBA-average 15 turnovers per game, we just need White to stay under 3 giveaways to cash.
Risk Factors
As many as 5 turnovers in a game this season
Hefty injury report for Bulls today could increase time with the ball
🎯 Isaiah Hartenstein UNDER 23.5 PR (Points + Rebounds)
Best Price: -125 on DraftKings, ESPN Bet, Caesars
Recent Performance
Last Game: 23 PR
Last 3-Game Average: 15.7 PR
Last 5-Game Average: 17.8 PR
Season Average: 22.4 PR
How Has This Prop Performed?
3 out of last 3 under
5 out of last 5 under
9 out of last 10 under
Key Analysis
Isaiah Hartenstein has been consistently underperforming today’s line, averaging just 19 Points + Rebounds (PR) per game over his last 10 games. One factor to monitor is Chet Holmgren’s status—being ruled out could lead to increased rebounding opportunities for Hartenstein, as Holmgren is OKC’s #2 rebounder behind him. Still, based on recent trends, the under holds strong unless an unexpected boost in workload changes the outlook.
Risk Factors
As many as 31 PR in a game this season
Chet Holmgren, #2 in rebounds on OKC, out in todays game
Today's Featured Props Recap
We've identified several promising player props for tonight's slate, each showing strong statistical trends and reasonable market prices:
Best Value Plays
🔥 Coby White UNDER 2.5 Turnovers (-105 DraftKings)
Most consistent trend: 10/10 in L10
Averaging just 2 turnovers against Pacers this season
Averaging just 1.7 turnovers over last 10 games
Trending Overs
1. 📈 Tourmani Camara OVER 1.5 Assists (-125 DraftKings)
Hot streak: 9/10 in L10
Averaging 3.6 assists in L5
Coming off of a 4 assist game
Trending Unders
1. 📉 Isaiah Hartenstein UNDER 23.5 PR (-125 ESPN Bet, DraftKings, Caesars)
9/L10 games staying UNDER
Averaging 15.7 PR in last 3 games
In has last 5 career games against spurs, averaging just 11 PR
2. 📉 Lonzo Ball UNDER 4.5 Rebounds (-120 DraftKings)
9/L10 games staying UNDER
Averaging just 2.5 rebounds against Pacers this season
Averaging 3 rebounds over last 5 games
All data points are sourced through WagerLens, providing near real-time odds comparison and historical performance metrics across major sportsbooks.
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— The WagerLens Team